My Oscar Predictions are due this weekend and I’ve been playing with them quite a bit. I’ve even been having mini-pow-wow’s with some of my staff talking it up with them and what we think will or will not make it. It’s funny that this time of the year I foresee many possibilities as almost assured things but that’s just my ego talking. Ain’t no way, we’re close to sewn up in any category in October. This is wide open for many surprises and this makes this year very exciting.
In my next round of predictions I’ll likely be dropping the ten Best Picture nominees. I’ve known for a while that there would be anywhere between six and eight nominees with the new ruling but I’ve stayed with ten for percentage purposes. In the big category I’m definitely staying with Steven Spielberg’s War Horse for now. It’s the safest bet, the new images that hit are actually very beautiful and the story itself will have critics and audiences cheering. Many (and I am fully aware this to happen as well) think Spielberg’s film will crash and burn. In the likely event, what would jump out in front? I’m thoroughly feeling Michel Hazanvicius’ The Artist could be the big darling of the season leading all the way to Oscar love. Many pundits out there that have seen it including critics from Telluride, Toronto, and Cannes have championed the film. Hopefully it’ll be something that will age well with audiences overtime. Do we all still think Crash was the best of 2005? Could ever fathom the Academy choosing Braveheart again with the same lineup from 1995? Hell no.
The daunting tasks lie in Supporting Actor and Actress. Many predictors have Christopher Plummer from Beginners and Vanessa Redgrave from Coriolanus winning their respective categories but let’s be serious for a second. Is it really that clear? Throw in some Albert Brooks from Drive and Kenneth Branagh from My Week with Marilyn and we got a heavy hitter in Supporting Actor ready to emerge. With the ladies, you have any of the talents from The Help particularly Octovia Spencer, the “it” girl of the year Jessica Chastain for any of her 27,034 films in contention, and Berenice Bejo who according to a review that Robert Hamer pointed out to me, you can’t vote for The Artist without voting for Bejo. That may mean something huge.
If I could have three wishes for this year’s Oscars, what would I wish for you ask? Let’s pretend I’m talking to Robin Williams from Aladdin and he’s granting these wishes. I wish that Michelle Williams changes my mind in thinking she was highly miscast and knocks it out of the park as Marilyn Monroe. I want Williams to have her Oscar one day.
My second wish Genie? I wish that Leonardo DiCaprio didn’t try to play something like J. Edgar Hoover and the Academy would have recognized him for his two powerhouse performances in his career, What’s Eating Gilbert Grape? and The Departed. If they recognized when they had the chance, we wouldn’t be dying for him to win an Oscar for what seems to be the wrong role in Clint Eastwood’s J. Edgar. Did you see the trailer? If you thought it looked good, I might wish for that good stuff that you’re smoking right now.
The third and final wish is for a million wishes. No, seriously, it’s that something, and I mean something will blow me away this season that becomes this generation’s Platoon or Dead Poets Society or Schindler’s List. Films that have made a staple for me in cinema and remain embedded in my heart and soul for all time. Films that have this potential this year could be Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close or The Artist or Breaking Dawn Part I (LMAO). Okay, I’m done joking but the first two are real.
Predictions will be updated this weekend, until then, give me your three wishes for this year’s Oscar ceremony.
Tags: Clint Eastwood, Drive, Editor, extremely loud and incredibly close, J. Edgar, Leonardo DiCaprio, michel hazanvicius, Oscar Circuit, oscar predictions, predictions, the artist, war horse