Comments on: Awards Circuit Staff Updates Oscar Predictions

By: Clint

Clint — Thu, 13 Sep 2012 07:10:45 +0000

PICTURE:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. The Silver Linings Playbook
4. The Master
5. Les Miserables

6. Beasts of the Southern Wild
7. Life of Pi

8. Zero Dark Thirty
9. Promised Land

10. ??? Amour? Django? Sessions? Exotic Marigold Hotel? Anna Karenina?

Personally, I only see 5 or 6 nomiees, unless the Academy wants to push the 9-10 nominee thing on us.

DIRECTOR:
1. Ben Affleck- Argo
2. Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
3. Steven Spielberg- Lincoln
4. Tom Hooper- Les Miserables
5. Ang Lee- Life of Pi

If say Lincoln wins best picture, for some strange reason I see PTA winning Best Director, unless Argo wins then it goes to Affleck. Tom Hooper is basically the next Stephen Daldry.

ACTOR:
Joaquin Phoenix
John Hawkes
Daniel Day Lewis
Bill Murray
Denzel Washington

ACTRESS:
Jennifer Lawrence
Quvenzhane Wallis
Maggie Smith- Quartet
Marion Coitillard
Emmanuelle Riva

I’m not too keen on Riva. Amour has been one of the most acclaimed films, but 2 foreign language nominees in one year? The word on Anna Karenina is muted, so Knightley is on the bubble. Ditto with Watts. If Frances Ha gets picked up by a strong distributorand the cards are played right, Gerwig could be a surprise. No trailer for Guilt Trip still, so I guess we’ll just have to wait on Barbra.

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Robert De Niro
Leonardo DiCaprio
Hal Holbrook
Russell Crowe

This is a tough category. I doubt Weinstein will push The Master both in leads, but will he send Hoffman here to take votes away from his other film and Leo? Hal Holbrook could be a von Sydow with Promised Land and Bobby Milk could surely get awarded once more. Will Dwight Henry sneak in?

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Anne Hathaway
Helen Hunt
Amy Adams
Sally Field
Judi Dench

Weak field. Amy Adams could be the Dano per se, but mostly every review I’ve read laments her strong, but small performance. She is the best actress working today IMO. Will Oscar be kind to Hathaway after her hosting performance, or was that mostly on Franco? Will Vanessa Redgrave find a place in here for ‘Song for Marion’? From all the commercials for ‘Never Back Down’, it seems Maggie G is lead and Davis is co-lead/supporting, but will them nominate her after denying her last year?

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Master
Amour
Moonrise Kingdom
Promised Land
Django Unchained

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
The Sessions

By: John

John — Sat, 25 Aug 2012 17:10:09 +0000

Here the list of the live action and animated short films that compete at the next Oscars and the possible nominations:

http://www.imdb.com/list/–Aj0TA7c14/

By: Joseph Braverman

Joseph Braverman — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 18:14:40 +0000

@Tyler & @Jerry, thanks for also believing in the strong possibility of ‘Best Exotic Marigold Hotel’ sneaking in. It has all the ingredients that an Academy voter gravitates towards. The only detractor is the early release date, but with the DVD hitting in September…watch out!

By: Joey Magidson

Joey Magidson — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 15:17:35 +0000

Peter- I saw and loved his performance, and I’d have it in my personal Top 40, but I highly doubt Langella is going to crack the Top 5…

By: Jerry

Jerry — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 14:35:05 +0000

I agree that The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel will be one the best picture nominees. A feel good hit always sneaks in there.

By: Peter

Peter — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 14:31:55 +0000

You guys are overlooking Frank Langella in Robot and Frank. Not even in Claytons Top 40 list. Really??? Are you all aware of the movies out there??

By: Joey Magidson

Joey Magidson — Thu, 23 Aug 2012 21:28:35 +0000

We try our best…

By: Jessie Makowski

Jessie Makowski — Thu, 23 Aug 2012 07:17:06 +0000

Some very interesting predictions all around!

By: Tyler

Tyler — Thu, 23 Aug 2012 05:43:04 +0000

PICTURE:
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Anna Karenina
The Master
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Zero Dark Thirty
Lfe of Pi
Hyde Park on Hudson
Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

ACTOR:
Daniel Day Lewis- Lincoln
joaquin Phoenix- The Master
Bill Murra- Hyde Park on Hudson
John Hawkes- The Sessions
Denzel Washington- Flight

ACTRESS:
Quvenzhane Wallis- Beasts of the Southern Wild
Keira Knightley- Anna Karenina
Laura Linney- Hyde Park on Hudson
Maggie Smith- Quartet
Marion Coitillard- Rust and Bone

SUPPORTING ATOR:
Philip Seymour Hoffman-The Master
Leonardo DiCaprio- Django Unchained
Russell Crowe- Les Miserables
John Goodman- Argo
Matthew McConegheny- Magic Mike

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Helen Hunt- The Sessions
Anne Hathaway- Les Miserables
Vanessa Redgrave- Song for Marion
Judi Dench- Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Sally Field- Lincoln

DIRECTING:
Steven Spielberg- Lincoln
Tom Hooper- Les Miserables
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
Ben Affleck- Argo
Ang Lee- Life of Pi

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Master
The Sessions
Amour
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Lincoln
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Silver Linings Playbook
Quartet

CINEMATOGRAPHY:
The Master
Life of Pi
To the Wonder
Les Miserables
Django Unchained

EDITING:
Zero Dark Thirty
Argo
The Master
The Dark Knight Rises
Les Miserables

ART DIRECTION:
Les Miserables
Anna Karenina
Life of Pi
The Hobbit
Mirror Mirror

MUSIC:
The Master-unless ruled out bcause of use of previously recorded score
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom
Anna Karenina
Life of Pi