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  • Screen Actors Guild Award Predictions and Preview

    Who will the actors embrace tomorrow?

    December 11, 2012

    Final SAG Predictions have been updated.  Go to the page under the menu bar, OTHER AWARD SHOWS.

    Here are general thoughts before you go and check them out.

    • As tomorrow brings a lot of clarity, it can also shake things up considerably.  I am PRAYING for a tie in Best Actor so the top six contenders can all have their moments.  I suspect Hugh Jackman might miss in favor of NBR winner Bradley Cooper.  I feel John Hawkes can also be in serious danger of missing but I remember SAG coming to his rescue for Winter’s Bone and he wasn’t even a “name” yet.
    • As I hope Helen Mirren misses for Hitchcock, she could easily unseat a contender like Marion Cotillard and Naomi Watts.  The British voting body can be very “clicky,” which reminds me that Judi Dench can be an easy possibility for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, a film being pushed considerably by Fox Searchlight.
    • Matthew McConaughey winning with New York and Ann Dowd winning NBR came at the perfect time.  It likely gave many, if they didn’t see their films, to seek them out.  McConaughey as made a transition into a “serious” actor which many may feel inclined to reward.  Dowd has been around for years and has worked with many in the business which could help her cause.
    • I’m predicting Ben Affleck’s Argo to get a big “F.U.” tomorrow which could be foolish, but I think many of its players may miss for the curve balls that SAG often throws out like Hairspray, 3:10 to Yuma, and Hustle & Flow.
    • I’m not sure how many voting members were able to see Django Unchained before their deadlines but I suspect many of them were not able to see it.  This could cost a nomination for either Christoph Waltz and Leonardo DiCaprio.  Kerry Washington could use a huge boost from this group as she is one of the brilliant performers in the film.
    • Watch out for contenders like Kelly Reilly (making her rounds), Jean-Louis Tringnant (to accompany Emmanuelle Riva), Michael Pena (due and respected), and a big WTF? coming from something like Seven Psychopaths or The Dark Knight Rises.

    Not included on the page are Stunt Ensemble Predictions:

    1. Skyfall
    2. The Dark Knight Rises
    3. The Avengers
    4. The Amazing Spider-Man
    5. Prometheus

    Alternate: Looper

    Comment and discuss!

    About Clayton Davis


    Clayton Davis is the respected and esteemed AwardsCircuit.com editor. Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Movie Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards.

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    3 Comments

    1. Judi Dench is a strong possibility. With the huge success of Marigold Hotel, she can definitely knock one of the ladies out of the Top 5. And with Skyfall…….Miss Judi has a very good chance.

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    2. If Hugh Jackman does not get nominated, that’s the end of the road for him, I guess. I can’t see how the same people will change their minds about him for the Oscars. I mean, the same actors will be up for contention for the Oscars as well (unless a ‘Gary Oldman-like’ or ‘Javier Bardem-like’ situation arises wherein an extremely heavy amount of lobbying will have to come to the fore if he has to get nominated for the Oscars, in case he ends up missing out here).

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      • Perhaps, but would that rule also hold for say, Washington or Cooper? What makes Jackman special here?

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