The ballots are all in!
After months of speculation, whining, theorizing, the Oscar ballots have been turned in and the nominations will be announced this Thursday, January 10 @ 8:30 am Eastern Time. To celebrate this momentous occasion, the staff and I will be broadcasting a LIVE Nominations Edition of Power Hour on Thursday morning. We will likely jump on at about 8:00 am ET, talk about last minute theories and give our reactions from the curve balls that Oscar is sure to throw.
As the Writers Guild of America announced their nominations yesterday, I tried to think like an Oscar voter and try to assess which films or performances could someone be passionate about on the last day of voting. Did AMPAS really look to Critics Choice, Golden Globes, and SAG for recognition? As Best Picture looks like a five-horse race, which film will be the most nominated film of the day?
I keep wondering which film will be the most nominated film of the group. Based on campaigning and pulse of the season thus far, Steven Spielberg’s Lincoln could and should be good for about eleven nominations. Feasible tech award misses would include Kaminski’s Cinematography and one or both of the Sound categories. If the film would nab those three, Lincoln would tie as the most nominated film in Oscar history with 14 assuming it doesn’t miss the other categories it seems to be locked up in.
The five films listed above seem virtually sound for nominations especially in Best Picture and we could have surprises filling out the rest of the category. Ang Lee’s Life of Pi seems ready to go for an Oscar bid but standing next to other juggernauts of the awards season, Pi may not do as well as some might think. It’s WGA and PGA nomination do prove otherwise. What seems like an emotional roller coaster, Paul Thomas Anderson’s The Master has seemed to be full of life, then dead, and then magically resurrected. While the Golden Globes cited Joaquin Phoenix and Amy Adams, the Screen Actors Guild passed on their performances. The only thing that has been constant is co-lead Philip Seymour Hoffman who has nabbed all key mentions to assist with his Supporting Actor campaign. In a similar boat as Les Miserables, Anderson’s film could land anywhere from one to ten nominations. If Django Unchained and Moonrise Kingdom didn’t pick up as much as pundits think they did, then a Best Picture nomination seems more than likely.
We’ve also have been flirting with the possibility of the return of the lone director this time around. Two likely candidates for this distinction would be Paul Thomas Anderson and Michael Haneke for Amour. The two directors are very respected in the industry and after key misses along the way, anyone from the Director’s branch could throw them a bone if the 5% doesn’t come into play for either of their films.
Final Oscar Predictions will be published on Monday by the Staff Writers while on Tuesday, the final Oscar Circuit and official Oscar Predictions from myself will be unveiled, leaving any last minute jitters to rest soundly.
What surprises are any of you foreseeing this upcoming week?!
![Zod-Man-of-Steel-Michael Shannon_thumb[1]](http://www.awardscircuit.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Zod-Man-of-Steel-Michael-Shannon_thumb1.jpg)
Henry Z.
January 5, 2013 at 2:32 pm
True – Lincoln looks like the film to carry the most nominations (my guess is 12). But if the film manages fourteen, then the entire race might be over. For some reason, I’m guessing Argo will get seven nominations. Counting one for sound. It could surge and win – kind of reminiscent of 1981 for “Chariots of Fires” who had the fourth most nominations.
Henry Z.(Quote) (Reply)
JamDenTel
January 5, 2013 at 2:35 pm
My optimistic predictions:
The Master: 10 nominations (Picture, Director, O. Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Prod. Design, Cinematography, Original Score, Editing)
Holy Motors: 9 nominations (Picture, Director, O. Screenplay, Actor, Prod. Design, Cinematography, Editing, Sound, Sound Editing)
Cosmopolis: 9 nominations (Picture, Director, A. Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actor (Paul Giamatti), Supporting Actress (Sarah Gadon), Cinematography, Editing, Sound)
Cloud Atlas: 15 nominations, setting an all-time record (Picture, Director, A. Screenplay, Actor (Hanks), Actress (Berry), Supporting Actor (Jim Broadbent, Ben Whishaw), Supporting Actress (Doona Bae), Production Design, Cinematography, Costume Design, Editing, Visual Effects, Sound, Sound Effects)
The Man with the Iron Fists: 3 nominations (Picture, Director, Sound Editing)
JamDenTel(Quote) (Reply)
berbigon
January 5, 2013 at 3:59 pm
this one seems like the most accurate of all
. i would add, maybe, Twilight: Breaking Down 2 with 3 Noms (Picture, Screenplay and Supporting Actor) and probably The Lone Ranger with 4 noms (Picture, Director, Screenplay and Actor (Johnny Depp seems inevitably the front-runner this year) again a battle between Depp and Day-Lewis like in 2008. i don’t really see Lincoln get more than two nominations (actor and original song). Great work! LOL
berbigon(Quote) (Reply)
JamDenTel
January 5, 2013 at 11:01 pm
Joking aside, I would be more far more excited for these results than what we’re likely to see on Thursday.
JamDenTel(Quote) (Reply)
Steve
January 5, 2013 at 3:11 pm
My predictions:
Picture:
Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Director:
Ben Affleck
Kathryn Bigelow
Ang Lee
David O. Russell
Steven Spielberg
Actor:
Bradley Cooper
Daniel Day-Lewis
Hugh Jackman
Joaquin Phoenix
Denzel Washington
Actress
Jessica Chastain
Marion Cotillard
Jennifer Lawrence
Emmanuelle Riva
Q. Wallis
Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin
Robert De Niro
Dwight Henry
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Tommy Lee Jones
Supporting Actress
Samantha Barks
Sally Field
Anne Hathaway
Helen Hunt
Nicole Kidman
Steve(Quote) (Reply)
Jack
January 5, 2013 at 3:22 pm
PICTURE:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Les Miserables
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Silver Linings Playbook
6. Life of Pi
7. Django Unchained
8. The Master
9. Beasts of the Southern Wild
10. Skyfall
DIRECTOR:
1. Ben Affleck
2. Steven Spielberg
3. Kathryn Bigelow
4. Tom Hooper
5. Paul Thomas Anderson
ACTOR:
1. Daniel Day Lewis
2. Hugh Jackman
3. Bradley Cooper
4. Joaquin Phoenix
5. Denzel Washington
ACTRESS:
1. Jennifer Lawrence
2. Jessica Chastain
3. Naomi Watts
4. Marion Cotillard
5. Quvenzhane Wallis
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Leonardo DiCaprio
2. Tommy Lee Jones
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman
4. Robert DeNiro
5. Alan Arkin
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Sally Field
3. Helen Hunt
4. Amy Adams
5. Maggie Smith
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1. The Master
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Django Unchained
4. Moonrise Kingdom
5. Amour
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
EDITING:
1. Argo
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Lincoln
4. Les Miserbles
5. Life of Pi
CINEMATOGRAPHY:
1. Life of Pi
2. The Master
3. Lincoln
4. Les Miserables
5. Skyfall
PRODUCTION DESIGN:
1. Les Miserables
2. Lincoln
3. Anna Karenina
4. Life of Pi
5. Django Unchained
COSTUME:
1. Les Miserables
2. Lincoln
3. Anna Karenina
4. Django Unchained
5. Mirror Mirror
SCORE:
1. The Master
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Anna Karenina
5. Argo
Jack(Quote) (Reply)
Divya
January 5, 2013 at 11:17 pm
I did my own predictions yesterday. And, summarizing my predictions:
1. ‘Lincoln’ will get the most number of nominations at 12.
2. The worst that ‘Les Mis’ can perform is 6 nominations (WITHOUT Jackman, and a few technical categories. Hooper will NOT get nominated IMO).
3. ZDT and The Master will both get 7 nods each
4. SLP will get 6 nods
5. I’m expecting at least 4 nods for ‘Skyfall’ (WITHOUT any acting nods).
6. Methinks both Maggie Smith and Judi Dench might get nominated for ‘Marigold Hotel’.
Divya(Quote) (Reply)