2014 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress Updated!


butler_winfrey_howardNo real commentary to go along with the update for Best Supporting Actress.  I’ll offer more on Monday following the weekend updates of the Screenplays and the Techs.

Oprah Winfrey is settled at #1 until further notice with Meryl Streep as the spoiler.  Bring on Toronto.  I’m ready to take on the season.

Include your thoughts!

  • Field is ridiculously crowded this year. Still think there could be support actress nod out of Prisoners.

  • Tom

    I agree and would Love to see Garner Get a Nomination, for same reason with getting snubbed for Juno, but as Jamie Stated this field is stacked. But I would say that I believe that since she joined the club and voters clearly lover her now, and is totally deserving of future nominations, to me Octavia Spencer seems she could be vulnerable with Fruitvale Station, solely based on the early release. It could be the Beasts of the Southern Wild of this year, or she could get the Dwight Henry treatment an get snubbed thus opening the door to Martindale or Garner if there movies get the Great Responses from Critics.

  • pj

    Can’t wait to see Oprah in The Butler!

  • UBourgeois

    Your predictions look right for me, Clayton, except Spencer I’m not as comfortable with predicting… Fruitvale I think will show up elsewhere before this category. Plus, a majority non-white acting category? Has that /ever/ happened? It’d be cool, but it seems like wishful thinking. My thoughts:

    1)Oprah Winfrey
    2)Meryl Streep
    3)Cameron Diaz
    4)Lupita Nyong’o
    5)Margo Martindale OR Jennifer Garner OR June Squibb

    Sally Hawkins, Octavia Spencer, and Carey Mulligan also possible.

  • Iasi

    No way Meryl is Supporting Actress….voters will vote for her as Lead Actress…J. Roberts should be Supporting against Oprah and I bet JRoberts will loose…….

  • Ryan

    1. Oprah Winfrey
    2. Meryl Streep
    3. Carey Mulligan
    4. Cameron Diaz
    5. Octavia Spencer

    At this point, Winfrey and Streep seemed locked for a nomination. Winfrey’s snub for The Color Purple will surely come into play, and it doesn’t hurt that her return to film is being praised left and right. I am confident that Streep will get a nomination, if only because Oscar never fails to cite her (even in her worst films), and because she has been in Lead Actress territory for so long, a shift to Supporting might grant her more attention if she does well. She won’t win though. Since this would only be her first nomination after her third win, I wouldn’t expect voters to feel like she needs to be rewarded so soon. That said, Winfrey has the edge.

  • yshark87

    Jennifer Lawrence and David O Russell confirmed that the part of Rosalyn was rewritten for her, and that she is a ” manic-depressive, alcoholic”, who is ” unhinged, intense, manipulative, brilliant but also soulful and heartbreaking”. I think she might have a better shot at a spot than we think.

  • Clancy

    Saw advance screening of “The Counselor” and it’s not your typical Oscar-baity movie but it’s pretty good thriller. Very dark. And yes, Diaz knocked it out of the park but it’s not a role Academy voters usually go for. In a perfect world, she would have won by a landslide. Yup, she’s that good. It’s over the top character that’s very evil (and hot). But I don’t see snobby voters going for a sociopath that humps the car. If they indeed will go for her then I don’t see her losing.

  • Still think room will have to be made for Melissa Leo from Prisoners

  • Steve Glansberg

    Well, I’m going to keep on with my little Jennifer Lawrence prediction. yshark87 does a good job citing the potential in the role. I also think Carey Mulligan will find her way into the lineup.

    Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
    Cary Mulligan (Inside Llewyn Davis)
    Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
    Cameron Diaz (The Counselor)
    Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)

    I’m very much hoping someone from 12 Years a Slave like Lupita will make it in, but I’m a little skeptical. I think the buzz for Oprah and The Butler in general will cool considerably by December. And Sally Hawkins is in my wishful thinking spot. I’m still bummed she missed for Happy-Go-Lucky.