Oscars: Final Predictions - Will Win/Should Win

Oscars: Final Predictions – Will Win/Should Win (Clayton Davis)

The final WHO WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN series ends with the official predictions getting updated...

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OscarsThe staff writers of AwardsCircuit.com has weighed in on this year’s Academy Awards (the Oscars) and it has all come down to this.  So much pressure as the Editor-in-Chief, you are looked upon to “know” the answers which in past years has not been the case.  With a wide open race in several categories, we are in for a very tension filled Oscar night from beginning to end.  Sunday marks the end of our fiscal year at Awards Circuit and I feel it appropriate to do my Oscar-type speech.

First of all, the most important part of this site is its community.  Over 150,000 unique voices and movie lovers that come through to talk everything and anything.  You are all an integral part of the our family of movie lovers and we welcome anyone new and old to keep coming back, even after the season is over.

To my talented team of writers.  Many of them I call my friends but all that I call my family.  We’ve been through the trenches, learning and admiring one another, but most of all respecting the mission at hand.  If and when Mark Zuckerberg decides that our movie nook should be invested in (*wink wink Mark*), we will all get to sit in a room together and crack open a few beers and watch “Troll 2.”  I look forward to that day and I thank you continuously for your dedication.

Enough with the sappy crap.  You have all come here for the official Oscar Predictions for the Awards Circuit.  There’s so much to take into account and I haven’t felt less confident about my choices in previous years then I do now.  All I can do is say, “whatever happens, it was a hell of a ride.”

REMINDER: Please make sure to join us for our LIVE Blog on Sunday beginning at 7:00pm Eastern Time! ALSO, join our Oscar Pool to win prizes!

12YearsaSlave_DwightHenryBEST MOTION PICTURE
WHO WILL WIN: 12 Years a Slave

COULD WIN: Gravity
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Inside Llewyn Davis (CBS Films), Before Midnight (Sony Pictures Classics), and The Square (Netflix)

The one that will have everyone at the edge of their seat, no matter how Best Director or Editing go.  The guilds went mostly different directions.  The Producers Guild of America tied Gravity and 12 Years a Slave, on a preferential balloting system no less while the Screen Actors Guild awarded American Hustle.  The Directors Guild of America rewarded Alfonso Cuaron with the BAFTA and Golden Globes going with Steve McQueen’s film in their top categories.  I have never been a fan of “predicting” a Best Picture/Best Director split.  I’ve only done it two times since I’ve been officially writing and both times, I felt like a moron after I did it (since I know you’re wondering, I did it with Little Miss Sunshine/Martin Scorsese and The King’s Speech/David Fincher, both shortsighted).  This year, looks like I’m going with the highly acclaimed and rewarded film from Steve McQueen.  12 Years a Slave just seems like the more viable option for Oscar voters.

WHO WILL WIN: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity

COULD WIN: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
SHOULD WIN: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Joel Coen & Ethan Coen (Inside Llewyn Davis) and Spike Jonze (Her)

For someone who thoroughly appreciates everything that Alfonso Cuaron brought to the table with Gravity, I’m still surprised that all the guilds and award shows embraced him the way they did.  Even with that, I’m still not convinced that its far and away Alfonso Cuaron for the win.  I still think Steve McQueen is very much on the table, especially if voters are voting the film #1 in Best Picture.  Kristen Lopez had the gumption to choose McQueen.  I would love to join her.  I’m afraid to.

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Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor, Owner, and Founder of AwardsCircuit.com. Clayton is a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Movie Awards. He's also an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards, Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards, and in June 2014 became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com, and The New York Times) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.
  • Phillip Milner

    After all the talk against the split… you predict a split.

    • Clayton Davis

      I know. I’m ashamed. Lol

      • Dan Hogan

        Sometime your gut trumps the odds.

      • Sam Coff

        I’m ashamed of you, too!

  • Charlie

    I hope you are wrong about American Hustle for original screenplay. I’d rather have it win costume design although I hope The Great Gatsby will take it home. As much as I hate to admit it, Lawrence is going to win again.

  • Ethan

    Your love for Sandra Bullock is sickening!

    • Clayton Davis

      Haha…I think she’s a talent, especially this year. I’m not one that thinks she should have won for “The Blind Side” but this would have been an appropriate place to do it now, even over Blanchett in my opinion.

  • Sam Coff

    Well….we differ in literally every coin-flip category, but I REALLY hope you’re right about Production Design.

    Just get the gumpion an go with McQueen in Director, too!

  • http://timeforafilm.com/ Alex Thomas

    I’m also tipping Hustle for Original Screenplay.

    12 Years A Slave will win best Picture.

    • Clayton Davis

      I’m really hoping I’m wrong about “Hustle” in Screenplay

  • Roberto Hevia

    Best picture:
    Will win: Gravity
    Should win: Gravity
    Reason: It will be a MASTERPIECE in the next year. Is extremely visionary

    Best director:
    Will win: Cuaron
    Should win: Cuaron

    Will win: Leonardo Dicaprio (I think this will be the PLEASENT surprise of the night)
    Should win: Mattew McConaughey

    Will win: Cate Blancett
    Should win: Cate Blanchett (The best performance of the year. Period.)

    Supporting actor.
    Will win: Leto
    Should win: Leto (Or Jonah Hill- My personal favorite)

    Supporting actress
    Will win: Nyong’o
    Should win: Nyong’o.

    O. Screenplay:
    Will win: Her
    Should win: Her or Dallas Buyers Club

    Adapted screenplay
    Will win: 12 years a slave
    Should win: The wolf of Wall Street of Before Midnight