Oscar Circuit: ‘Interstellar’ Says “Remember, Remember the Fifth of November”

3

interstellar_movie_still_2

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: Fanboys will gawk at the vision of Hugo Weaving uttering those lines from “V for Vendetta” but I will use it as a backbone for this week’s Oscar Circuit, that will align with this week’s updated Oscar Predictions.

So many places to start.  From a box office standpoint, some films are pulling away with stunning results.  

Alejandro G. Inarritu’s “Birdman” opened in 46 more theaters and brought in the most per theater average from the weekend.  Audiences are excited, critics are on board, and Fox Searchlight is gearing up for a very focused campaign.  They’ll be hoping for their second Best Picture win in a row following “12 Years a Slave.”  The case for Michael Keaton winning Best Actor is also being spoken about quite a bit.

Damien Chazelle’s “Whiplash” also opened up with 25 more theaters, but placing 8th on the per theater average of the weekend.  The critical praise of the film continues to grow, which could result in a surprise (or not so surprising) Best Picture nomination for Sony Pictures Classics.  The studio has so many possibilities on the table with “Foxcatcher,” “Still Alice,” “Mr. Turner,” and a slew of documentary and foreign language films, they may just naturally rack in the most nominations of any studio this year.

Christopher Nolan‘s “Interstellar” began screening last week with press under strict embargo until Monday morning.  The word is mostly positive from around the beat and by the looks of the awards landscape, we may (finally) have Christopher Nolan cited in a Best Director lineup alongside some talented filmmakers.  The interviews are in full force with Kris Tapley of HitFix reporting on the junket/Q&A from last week.  The narrative already seems to be swelling around the bigger picture and that is space exploration.  Many will praise the Oscar-nominated screenwriter and producer to shining a light on an issue that we seem to have forgotten.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see Paramount Pictures play that up all season.  On November 5, two days ahead of its scheduled release, IMAX 35mm and IMAX 7omm will be shown to audiences.  Get ready for fanboys to band together and shout at AMPAS for a long overdue citation for Nolan.

We still have some contenders waiting in the wings, probably more than we’re used to at this time of the year.  Walt Disney Pictures released a featurette for their upcoming musical “Into the Woods” and they’ll be looking to score their first live-action Best Picture nomination since “Mary Poppins.”  Rob Marshall has danced on Oscar doorstep since his Best Picture win for “Chicago” with “Memoirs of a Geisha” and “Nine,” both resulting in mixed praise and a near Oscar ignoring.  The former though won three technical awards on the night while the latter only managed four nominations barely.  After the dismal product that was “Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides,” it’s important for Marshall to return to his former glory.  At worst, we need to keep looking at this for a strong showing with the actors especially Emily Blunt and Meryl Streep.

2432_FPT3_00236R_CROPAngelina Jolie’s “Unbroken” is set to have its World Premiere in Australia on November 17.  The World War II film has been for many, the sight unseen frontrunner to rule them all.  Universal Pictures has nothing but time and money for Jolie’s film as they will only be attempting a strong push for Tate Taylor’s “Get on Up” and its star Chadwick Boseman at the Golden Globes (perhaps even a dark horse representation for Viola Davis and the Sound team) and an Original Song from Seth MacFarlane’s “A Million Ways to Die in the West.”  The first awards screening for Jolie’s film is scheduled for December 1.  With that, we wait to see young Jack O’Connell cap off a spectacular year with his powerful turns in “’71” and “Starred Up.”  As said in a previous Oscar Circuit, O’Connell would be the youngest Best Actor nominee, if nominated, since John Travolta in “Saturday Night Fever.”  A hard hurdle to jump in this stacked Lead Actor race.  We also await the possibility of Miyavi (or Takamasa Ishiara) as the ruthless villain.  Comparisons to Ralph Fiennes in “Schindler’s List” are already being made.

Warner Bros. feels confident on the prospect of Clint Eastwood‘s “American Sniper” with Bradley Cooper and Sienna Miller.  Rumored to be a return to form for the two-time Best Director winner, the war film may hit the sweet spot during the holiday rush and repeat the “Million Dollar Baby” trajectory.  Cooper could also ride the wave set for him the past two years after two nominations for “Silver Linings Playbook” and “American Hustle.”  The bells may start ringing for him at the Dolby for him.  Warner Bros. also has the final installment of “The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies” but with the past two films scoring three nominations each, I don’t think we’re looking for an Oscar resurgence of the franchise.

A24 is hedging their bets on J.C. Chandor‘s “A Most Violent Year,” which just scored a Best Actor nomination for Oscar Isaac from the Gotham Awards last week.  Isaac, and co-star Jessica Chastain, could shake things up in their categories that both seem to have four “secure” performers in the midst.

“Interstellar” isn’t the only film on Paramount Pictures’ mind at the moment.  Just last Thursday, Ava DuVernay’s “Selma” test screened for audiences.  Unconfirmed reports say that the film is solid and David Oyelowo will make a compelling argument for himself in Best Actor.  No word yet on any supporting performers that include Tom Wilkinson, Tim Roth, and Carmen Ejogo.  Though I’m starting to think this may be too little too late no matter how great the film is.

The Weinstein Company has been test screened “Big Eyes” at least three times over the past few months (I’m sure there’s more).  Rumors are not good for the film but that hasn’t stopped them from convincing the world that Meryl Streep should win an Oscar at the same time that Viola Davis offered her career best work in “The Help.”  Stars Amy Adams and Christoph Waltz are favorites within the Academy and could fit into a Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor category if well-received.

41 minutes of Ridley Scott’s “Exodus: Gods and Kings” was shown in Los Angeles and New York (where our own Joey Magidson attended).  Rumors of a 200-minute run time were thwarted just this week.  Everyone has been cautious on the film’s chances in the race, and that doesn’t seem to be changing at this climate.  If anything, we can look at the film for citations in Production Design, Costumes, and Visual Effects.

Oscar Prediction pages will be updated throughout the night, and into Monday, but are reflected on the sidebar for now.  Include your thoughts on the race in the comment section.

  • Immanuel1824

    Alrighty here we go

    Picture
    *********
    Interstellar
    The Imitation Game
    Boyhood
    American Sniper
    Birdman
    The Theory of Everything
    Unbroken
    Whiplash
    Foxcatcher
    Into The Woods

    Alternates: Gone Girl, A Most Violent Year

    Actor
    *******
    Benedict Cumberbatch
    Bradley Cooper
    Michael Keaton
    Eddie Redmayne
    Steve Carell

    Alternates: Miles Teller, Matthew McConaughey, Oscar Isaac

    Actress
    **********
    Felicity Jones
    Emily Blunt
    Julianne Moore
    Rosamund Pike
    Amy Adams

    Alternate: Reese Witherspoon

    Supp. Actor
    ****************
    J.K. Simmons
    Mark Ruffalo
    Edward Norton
    Josh Brolin
    Logan Lerman

    Alternate: Domnhall Gleeson, Ethan Hawke, John Goodman

    Supp. Actress
    ******************
    Jessica Chastain
    Keira Knightley
    Emma Stone
    Patricia Arquette
    Katherine Waterston

    Alternates: Anna Kendrick, Carmen Ejogo

    Director
    **********
    Christopher Nolan
    Richard Linklater
    Angelina Jolie
    Alejandro Inarritu
    David Fincher

    Alternates: Bennett Miller, Morten Tyldum

    Original Screenplay
    *************************
    Interstellar
    Whiplash
    Boyhood
    Foxcatcher
    Birdman

    Alternate: A Most Violent Year

    Adapted Screenplay
    **************************
    The Imitation Game
    The Theory of Everything
    American Sniper
    Unbroken
    Inherent Vice

  • ChrisA90

    I haven’t really thought about all the categories so far, but I am keeping an eye out on picture. Right now, this is my lineup (in no particular order). Haven’t seen all of these yet but I plan to:

    Birdman
    Interstellar
    Whiplash
    American Sniper
    Gone Girl
    Foxcatcher
    The Imitation Game
    Unbroken
    The Theory of Everything

    Alternates: Boyhood, Selma, Fury, Into the Woods

  • Ryan

    It now occurs to me what the difficulty that I am having with this race is…. I don’t really see any of the contenders as winners. In the beginning of the season, I tagged Foxcatcher as a long-shot guess, and I am only now moving it down. This isn’t because I didn’t recognize that is was losing steam, its just that I don’t really know what could replace it. Birdman is too much of a comedy, Interstellar seems too genre/mixed, Gone Girl seems too modern, Boyhood was too early, Selma is too black, The Imitation Game got good but not phenomenal reviews, and Into the Woods just feels plain irksome.

    So now, my frontrunner is Unbroken, with The Imitation Game and Interstellar as my 2, 3, and I find myself moving American Sniper higher up. I don’t see Foxcatcher or Gone Girl out of a lineup by a long shot (I don’t think Whiplash is big enough), and all my problems would be over if there were just ten darn nominees. We’ll see.