OSCARS: Taking A Look at the 2017 Hopefuls for the Academy

We’re already moving to a new Oscar season. As proven by the shocking Oscar win for Barry Jenkins’ masterpiece “Moonlight” at this year’s Academy Awards, the demographic and tastes of AMPAS is changing. While there are still hindrances and biases against certain films and genres (like superhero films, comedy or sci-fi), we could see some interesting things unfold this season and in the years to come.

Paul Thomas Anderson will be back in the fray, partnered with Daniel Day-Lewis for his untitled film about the fashion industry. George Clooney steps behind the camera once again with “Suburbicon” with Matt Damon. There’s also Kathryn Bigelow’s film about the Detriot Riots, which is still looking for a name. Same goes for the A.A. Milne biopic, which tells the story about the “Winnie the Pooh” writer with Domhnall Gleeson starring. Nash Edgerton (brother of Joel) is looking for a name for his “secret” film with Charlize Theron and David Oyelowo.

Period prestige will also be available for those who love convention. “Darkest Hour” about Winston Churchill will have fans excited for an Oscar run for star Gary Oldman and director Joe Wright. From Alfonso Gomez-Rejon, director of “Me & Earl & the Dying Girl,” comes “The Current War” with Benedict Cumberbatch and Michael Shannon, something the Weinstein Company will surely be excited to push.

The conventional biopics will be apparent all year long, too, as seen by the upcoming “Marshall” from Reginald Hudlin, and starring Chadwick Boseman. Not sure if it’s technically a conventional biopic, but many are eager to see Rooney Mara take on the title role in Garth Davis’ sophomore effort “Mary Magdalene.” Hugh Jackman will step into the shoes of P.T. Barnum in “The Greatest Showman” on Christmas Day, while recently crowned Oscar winner Emma Stone takes on Billie Jean King in “Battle of the Sexes” opposite Steve Carell.

Our great, contemporary American directors are in full force in 2017 as well. Steven Spielberg’s next project is “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” with Oscar Isaac and Mark Rylance, something that may offer an opportunity for his third Best Director Oscar after his big loss for “Lincoln” a few years ago. Alexander Payne is back after being nominated for “Nebraska” with the quirky-sounding “Downsizing” about a man who shrinks.

Fanboys are ready to anoint some filmmakers already. One of which is Christopher Nolan, who brings the long-awaited “Dunkirk” with Cillian Murphy and Tom Hardy. The drums will beat once again for the next film in the epic saga of “Star Wars” titled “The Last Jedi,” and rest assured, you’ll hear some vocal lovers yelling for both Mark Hamill and the late Carrie Fisher.

With the surprise success of “Mad Max: Fury Road” two years ago, could a reboot/sequel make some noise at the Academy? We’ll have to wait and see when Denis Villeneuve’s “Blade Runner 2049” hits theaters with Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford. That sequel isn’t the only science fiction film in the mix, as Alex Garland returns with his “Ex Machina” follow-up titled “Annihilation.”

One of the most underrated franchises at the moment is “Planet of the Apes,” both films of which deserved recognition outside of its sole Visual Effects mentions. With that, here’s hoping “War for the Planet of the Apes” can make some “Return of the King”-type reactions from critics and audiences.

First time directors will be littered throughout the year. Probably the most anticipated is Aaron Sorkin, who will helm “Molly’s Game,” which he also wrote, and which stars Jessica Chastain, Idris Elba and Kevin Costner. Perhaps it’s an opportunity for a makeup for the “Miss Sloane” snub? Greta Gerwig has been writing for a few years now, and it’s time for her to show her chops behind the camera with “Lady Bird.” After multiple misses for “There Will Be Blood” and “Love and Mercy,” Paul Dano will try for Oscar glory with “Wildlife,” with Jake Gyllenhaal. “American Sniper” writer Jason Hall also makes a play in the war genre with “Thank You for Your Service” with Miles Teller and Haley Bennett.

Piquing our interest is Martin McDonagh’s next film “Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri” with Frances McDormand, which seems to echo feelings of “Fargo” for some reason. Darren Aronofsky is back at the helm with “Mother!,” which stars Jennifer Lawrence, Javier Bardem and Domhnall Gleeson. And, we’re finally getting Destin Cretton’s follow-up to “Short Term 12,” in “The Glass Castle” with Brie Larson.

While hearts are still broken from “Carol” missing Best Picture two years ago, a vocal community hopes to gain their revenge with Todd Haynes’ next film “Wonderstruck,” where he’s re-teaming with “Far from Heaven” and “Safe” star Julianne Moore.

There’s plenty more to speak of including “The Snowman” from Tomas Alfredson and starring Michael Fassbender; “The Shape of Water” from Guillermo del Toro; and the remake of “Murder on the Orient Express” from Kenneth Branagh.

And there’s so much more…just wait for it all.

Down below, check out the first listed predictions for Oscars 2018, while the individual prediction pages are given an update and facelift over the next few days.  So far you can check out the full listed predictions for BEST PICTURE.

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2017-2018 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

BEST PICTURE

  • “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – Danny Boyle, Christian Colson, Robert Graf
  • “The Current War” (The Weinstein Company) – Timur Bekmambetov, Basil Iwanyk, Steven Zaillian
  • “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features) – Tim Bevan, Lisa Bruce, Eric Fellner, Anthony McCarten, Douglas Urbanski
  • “Downsizing” (Paramount Pictures) – Mark Johnson, Alexander Payne
  • “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company) – Kristie Macosko Krieger, Marc Platt, Steven Spielberg
  • “Marshall” (Open Road Films) – Paula Wagner, Reginald Hudlin, Jonathan Sanger, Jun Dong
  • “Mudbound” (Netflix) – Carl Effenson, Sally Jo Effenson, Cassian Elwes, Charles King, Christopher Lemole, Kim Roth, Tim Zajaros
  • “The Snowman” (Universal Pictures) – Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Robyn Solvo, Peter Gustafsson
  • “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures) – George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Joel Silver, Teddy Schwarzman
  • “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features) – Paul Thomas Anderson, Megan Ellison, JoAnne Sellar

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Paul Thomas Anderson – “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features)
  • George Clooney – “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures)
  • Dee Rees – “Mudbound” (Netflix)
  • Steven Spielberg – “The Killing of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Joe Wright – “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  • Chadwick Boseman – “Marshall” (Open Road)
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features)
  • Oscar Isaac – “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Hugh Jackman – “The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Fox)
  • Gary Oldman – “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

  • Jessica Chastain – “Molly’s Game” (STX Entertainment)
  • Judi Dench – “Victoria and Abdul” (Focus Features)
  • Rooney Mara – “Mary Magdalene” (Universal Pictures)
  • Michelle Pfeiffer – “Where is Kyra?” (No U.S. Distribution)
  • Emma Stone – “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Sterling K. Brown – “Marshall” (Open Road)
  • Steve Carell – “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  • Ed Harris – “Mother!” (Paramount Pictures)
  • John Hurt – “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)
  • Michael Shannon – “The Current War” (The Weinstein Company)

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Julianne Moore – “Wonderstruck” (Amazon Studios)
  • Margot Robbie – “Untitled A.A. Milne Project” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  • Kristin Scott Thomas – “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)
  • Kristen Wiig – “Downsizing” (Paramount Pictures)
  • Michelle Williams – “The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Fox)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – Simon Beaufoy
  • “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features) – Anthony McCarten
  • “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures) – George Clooney, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Grant Heslov
  • “Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – Martin McDonagh
  • “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features) – Paul Thomas Anderson

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • “Call Me By Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Luca Guadagnino, James Ivory, Walter Fasano
  • “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company) – Tony Kushner
  • “Molly’s Game” (STX Entertainment) – Aaron Sorkin
  • “Mudbound” (Netflix) – Dee Rees, Virgil Williams
  • “You Were Really Never Here” (Amazon Studios) – Lynne Ramsay

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • “The Breadwinner” (GKIDS)
  • “Captain Underpants” (20th Century Fox)
  • “Coco” (Pixar)
  • “Despicable Me 3” (Universal Pictures)
  • “The LEGO Batman Movie” (Warner Bros.)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • “Annihilation” (Paramount Pictures) – Mark Digby
  • “The Beguiled” (Focus Features) – Anne Ross
  • “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features) – Sarah Greenwood
  • “Mute” (Netflix) – Gavin Bocquet
  • “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features) – Mark Tildesley

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • “Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.) – Roger Deakins
  • “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company) – Janusz Kaminski
  • “Mary Magdalene” (Universal Pictures) – Greig Fraser
  • “The Snowman” (Universal Pictures) – Dion Beebe
  • “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures) – Robert Elswit

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  • “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – Mary Zophres
  • “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features) – Jacqueline Durran
  • “Mudbound” (Netflix) – Michael T. Boyd
  • “Wonderstruck” (Amazon Studios) – Sandy Powell
  • “Victoria and Abdul” (Focus Features) – Consolata Boyle

BEST FILM EDITING

  • “Annihilation” (Paramount Pictures) – Barney Pilling
  • “Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.) – Joe Walker
  • “Mudbound” (Netflix) – Mako Kamitsuna
  • “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures) – Stephen Mirrione
  • “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project” (Focus Features) – Dylan Tichenor

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

  • “The Mountain Between Us” (20th Century Fox)
  • “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  • “Victoria and Abdul” (Focus Features)

BEST SOUND MIXING

  • “Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.)
  • “The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Fox)
  • “Transformers: The Last Knight” (Paramount Pictures)
  • “Untitled Kathryn Bigelow-Detriot Riots Project” (Annapurna Pictures)

BEST SOUND EDITING

  • “Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  • “Transformers: The Last Knight” (Paramount Pictures)
  • “Untitled Kathryn Bigelow-Detriot Riots Project” (Annapurna Pictures)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  • “Annihilation” (Paramount Pictures)
  • “Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.)
  • “The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) –
  • “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  • “War for the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Fox)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  • “Based on a True Story” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Alexandre Desplat
  • “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – Nicholas Britell
  • “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features) – Dario Marianelli
  • “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara” (The Weinstein Company) – John Williams
  • “Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri” (Lionsgate) – Carter Burwell

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

  • “Beauty & the Beast” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  • “Coco” (Pixar)
  • “Despicable Me 2” (Universal Pictures)
  • “The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Fox)
  • “An Inconvenient Sequel” (Paramount Vantage)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • “Happy End” – Michael Haneke (AUSTRIA)
  • “Ismael’s Ghosts” – Arnaud Desplechin (FRANCE)
  • “Loveless” – Andrey Zvyagintsev (RUSSIA)
  • “Thelma” – Joachim Trier (NORWAY)
  • “Where Life is Born” – Carlos Reygadas (MEXICO)

MORE CATEGORIES TO BE ANNOUNCED:

MOTION PICTURE |

About Clayton Davis

Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor and Owner of AwardsCircuit.com. Born in Bronx, NY to a Puerto Rican mother and Black father, he’s been criticizing film and television for over a decade. Clayton is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to the awards season, the Critics Choice Awards. He’s also an active member of New York Film Critics Online, International Press Academy, Black Reel Awards, and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association. Clayton has been quoted and appeared in various outlets that include The New York Times, CNN.com, Variety, Deadline, Los Angeles Times, Bloomberg Television, AOL, Huffington Post, Bloomberg Radio, The Wrap, Slash Film, and the Hollywood Reporter.
  • Tee

    Are we not expecting Dunkirk to play big in Picture and Director? Oscar shows they like his films, and many are calling for an overdue nomination. Plus, he’s finally fitting into their love of WWII films.

    • Kevin

      They haven’t liked him enough to nominate him before. And you had people saying he was overdue for Inception and Interstellar. Plus it’s a July release.

      I don’t think anyone is wrong if you go big on Dunkirk, but it’s understandable to keep Nolan and the movie just outside the categories too.

      Also, WW2 isn’t a guarantee it’s liked. Unbroken was predicted to be a huge oscar player until it came out.

      • Tee

        That’s perfectly fair. I only bring it up because Inception managed to make a play in two categories that typically don’t embrace a film like it- Picture and Original Screenplay. Dunkirk seems much more their style, and if Nolan delivers he could be competing for his first nod as director.

    • Sam Coff

      It’ll have to stay alive all season from a summer release. If it doesn’t make a ton of $$ either that’s half the battle.

    • Adventurer

      Academy doesn’t like Nolan.

    • Torah87

      It’s getting a summer release,and so is that ‘Detroit Riots’ movie. I think it’ll be hard for them to get nominated in certain categories.

  • Mark Leigh

    Glenn Close has four films due for release in 2017 — in order of Oscar probability, “The Wife”, “Crooked House”, “Wilde Wedding” and “She Who Brings the Gifts”. I will not REST until the ‘overdue’ narrative takes hold! #ComeOnGlennie

    • Keep the fight alive. I’m all about it.

      • Torah87

        Can you add ‘On Chesil Beach’ to the list? Ian McEwan adapted from his own novella. I suspect it’ll do well during awards season, and it stars Saoirse Ronan.

    • AyeAye

      #JusticeForGlenn LOL

  • Steve_27

    More than happy for a new PTA movie. Would love to see him take home a handful of awards already.

  • Ian Lane

    Can’t wait to look back on this list in a year and cringe.

    • Who you telling?! 🙂

    • Sam Coff

      What else is new?

    • Adventurer

      But what if this comes to be true to some extent? Will you cringe at your own comment? lol

  • John

    I love PTA but I don’t see this being the film he wins for. Also I think Nicholas Hoult could be the supporting player for the Current War since he’s playing Tesla.

    • Adventurer

      I disagree. I think this will be the it for him. A collab with DDL is all Academy needs to make up for the snub last time.

      • John

        The Academy usually needs a lot more than that. Also people seem to forget Day-Lewis has only been nominated five times.

        • Adventurer

          He has won 3 of those. And his lack of nomination can be credited to the fact that he makes a movie only every few years. Since My Left Foot (1989) he has only starred in 10 movies (not including the new one), which is why I consider him the successor of Monty Clift. Not only because of his acting technique but also because he’s fussy af when it comes to choosing roles.

          • John

            Not during the 80’s and 90’s where he was far more prolific. Then even in the 2000’s he had misses like The Ballad of Jack and Rose and Nine. Plus his presence did not give a best picture win to Spielberg for Lincoln, or PTA himself for There Will Be Blood. Unless this is a fashion movie that tackles some major issue, I really doubt this will be PTA’s best picture win.

            • Adventurer

              In the 80s he didn’t get as much acclaim as 90s (he did get nominated for one movie in the 90s out of five he starred in) and 2000s/2010s (where he won 2 out of 3 nominations in 5 movies).

              As for Lincoln, the praise was first and foremost cast towards the performances (himself, Fields and Lee Jones) not the movie itself. I’m 100% sure no one expected Lincoln to win anything other than acting awards (and maybe Costumes/Production Design).

              There Will Be Blood like I’ve said before in one of the other prediction page only missed because of No Country for Old Men (both are considered among the best movies of 2000s and of all time as well), and unlike Lincoln this one’s direction, screenplay, cinematography and production design were highly acclaimed. Since TWBB, PTA has released two movies – Inherent Vice and the Master, both of drew largely polarising reviews. So if he nails this movie, this could be it.

              • John

                Well you just mentioned Inherent Vice and The Master which suggests he’s becoming a more idiosyncratic director with each film (I love both those films but there are many people who hate them) therefore it’s less likely to find the consensus needed for Best Picture, even with a Day-Lewis around.

                Also immediately after the nominations, before Argo starting sweeping, many thought Lincoln could win best picture, on the night there were many people predicting Spielberg to win director. “and unlike Lincoln this one’s direction, screenplay, cinematography and production design were highly acclaimed” is a false statement. Lincoln was nominated for all those things, and won production design.

                I want PTA to win director probably more than most, but I don’t see it happening with this one.

                • Adventurer

                  Which is why I said “if he nails this one”.

                  And I did point out production design. I didn’t say Lincoln wasn’t nominated for those thing, i specifically said the performances were the centre topic of praises towards Lincoln, everything else were secondary. IDK where you saw Spielberg being predicted as winner because almost every article I read people predicted Ang Lee the winner after Affleck got snubbed.

  • Sam Coff

    So many white people

    • Luke McGowan

      triggered

      • Sam Coff

        Same

    • Adventurer

      lol #OscarSoWhite

      • Sam Coff

        Yet again

    • John

      I hate to tell you this Sam, but you might want to look in the mirror.

      • Sam Coff

        I am white?

    • That’s what happens when over half of the population of the US is white, mod.

      • Sam Coff

        Ok

  • Luke McGowan

    are we ever going back to the old site layout with reasons for ranking?

    • Sam Coff

      Doubt it. It’s actually quite a bit of work on the backend and yielded less frequent updates.

      • Luke McGowan

        I got that impression. Hopefully we can incorporate a few sentences on reasons into the current format – this far out a list of names doesn’t help too much.

        • Sam Coff

          I agree, which is a bummer. I think the “sentences” is why Clayton does the big write-ups, to make up for not being able to wrote reasoning for each one :-/

  • Adventurer

    I wonder which of these movies will disappear by the end of the year.

    One young filmmaker I’d like to keep an eye on is Xavier Dolan (It’s Only the End of the World). Don’t know about Dunkirk, Academy doesn’t seem to like Nolan enough to even give him nominations let alone a win. Molly’s Game is a definitely a must-watch. The Danny Boyle movie is a big contender as well. Wonderstruck seems to be a strong contender for Acting prizes as well (Moore and Williams), Oldman for Darkest Hour seems to be the strongest Best Actor contender as of now, maybe DDL will upset him but IDK 4 Best Actor seems extremely unlikely. I’d also keep the Seagull in mind (Saoirse Ronan and Annette Bening) for acting prizes. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri by Martin McDonagh is another movie I’m anticipating.

    Denis Crettin is collaborating with Brie Larson (their last collab was the critically acclaimed Indie movie Short Term 12) again for the Glass Castle. Woody Allen is releasing a movie as well – Wonder Wheel, starring Winslet. David Michod’s War Machine starring Pitt and Swinton is another movie we should keep an eye on. Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma might get released this year as well.

    • Torah87

      Ronan for ‘On Chesil Beach’! Also, it will be 10 years since her 1st nomination for a McEwan adaptation.

    • Ayshon

      I’m also really excited for the Death and Life of John F Donovan, with its stellar cast, but I don’t think the film will be released in time for this year’s Oscar season, espeicially since it’s still filming at the moment. I think it will most likely premiere at Cannes, which loves Xavier.

      • Adventurer

        Maybe that’ll happen. But it’s definitely gonna be either a very good movie or a very disappointing one. lol Filmmakers like him either completely hit the mark or miss.

        • Ayshon

          Too true. Mommy was a really good film, but I didn’t really care for I Killed My Mother, Heartbeats, and Laurence Anyways. Though Tom at the Farm was a decent film. Haven’t seen It’s Only the End of the World, but not hoping for much as it was critically panned by critics (even though it won the Grand Prix at last year’s Cannes). I’m hoping that The Death and Life of John F Donovan will be as good as Mommy.

          • Adventurer

            I actually very much liked I Killed My Mother and It’s Only the End of the World (which was a polarising movie, it drew large praises as well as criticism at the same time). But then again that goes on to show that he is a very polarising figure. I have very high hopes for his upcoming film mainly because of the two strong leads.

  • nkster

    So incredibly excited for a new Tomas Alfredson film, loved TTSS and Let the right one in, amazed its taken so long for another project. also can’t wait for Annihilation, Blade Runner, Molly’s Game and that Spielberg movie. Also curious is Dunkirk will break through for Nolan, looks way more the academys speed than some of his other projects.

  • Ben Kelly

    I think what bothers me the most in my predictions I have mostly studio movies, and i know for a fact that more independent films will make the final Best Picture list

    • John

      I’ll defend Clayton on that one. With studio releases it is known that they will be released, and have a studio willing to campaign. It’s difficult to predict an Independent film before it even garners proper distribution therefore before it is even in contention.

    • Adventurer

      That’s because of campaign. Studio usually has the upperhand due to heavy campaigning and promotion.

  • Ben Kelly

    I’m also interested to see how “Call Me By Your Name” does this entire awards season and whether or not it’ll be embraced. I’m currently betting on it will be loved

    • Ayshon

      Me too! It already has a 98 Metacritic score and a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes! It’s already receiving better reviews than Sundance’s other breakout, Mudbound (82 Metacritic), which is kinda weird that neither AwardsCircuit or AwardsWatch thinks that Call Me By Your Name will be a major Oscar player while they both believe that Mudbound will be.

  • Torah87

    Ian McEwan’s ‘On Chesil Beach’ starring Saoirse Ronan & newcomer Billy Howle.

  • Borja Olarra

    Penelope Cruz in supporting actress for Murder on the Orient Expres? She is playing Ingird Bergman´s Oscar-winning role…but idk if the Academy would reward the same role they once rewarded.

    • Sam Coff

      They’ve done it before, at least for a nomination, most recently with Jeff Bridges in TRUE GRIT

  • Reece

    Steve Carrel was phenomenal in Foxcatcher, hope his performance this year is good enough to take home an overdue award..

  • Jackman is kicking off the year with “Logan” and ending the year with “Greatest Showman”. Barring some other amazing performances, it’s time to give him the Oscar he should have gotten for Les Mis.

    • Adventurer

      Not even.

      • verily

        • Adventurer

          Not even. His performance in Les Mis doesn’t come close to Phoenix and DDL

          • Tee

            I think that was his point. Jackman was their closest competitor that year and even that was a far bet.

            • Adventurer

              If you read his comment above, he said DDL won because it was political not because he was better. So that’s not what he was trying to say.

    • Calvin Damon

      He was great in Les Mis, but he was going against two of the greatest performances of the decade so far in Daniel-Day Lewis in Lincoln and Joaquin Phoenix in The Master(and I don’t even like The Master that much)

      • Actually it was one of those political years. DDL is a great actor but Lincoln was neither a really great film or his best role, but Academy wanted that record for him to tie Streep plus Spielberg involvement. End result with public … No one really liked the Master (me included) at 28.3 mil. Lincoln 275.3 mil not really rewatched beyond run and Les Mis 441.8 mil constantly on cable.

        • Calvin Damon

          Just because a movie gets more attention doesn’t mean that the people that have actually seen it like it more. Obviously a movie that more people have seen and more people know about is gonna run more on tv. Which is the more well liked movie, a Transformers sequel or Moonlight? And yet the Transformers movies will be shown on tv way more than Moonlight because more people know about Transformers than Moonlight. And a lot people like The Master, believe it or not. I’m not one of those people, but the acting was nothing short of amazing, especially from Joaquin Phoenix. And Lincoln, while good, I’ll agree isn’t a great film, but saying this wasn’t DDL’s best performance is like saying that The Last Supper isn’t Leonardo Da Vinci’s most famous painting. It’s not really saying much

          • That I will give you on DDL talent. He is amazing. In this one year, he shouldn’t have won the golden boy.

            • Calvin Damon

              Agree to disagree

        • Adventurer

          No one really liked the Master? Really? The Master has its share of haters I’ll give you that but also its share of lovers. Many people really loved it, while others disliked it. And box office performances shows NOTHING about how much acclaim it got. PTA’s movies are artistic and doesn’t appeal to a wide demography anyway. It was not a political year, DDL won because it was better. Simple.

          • I was talking about legs beyond the initial showing. Some films remain cult favorites of individual tastes. Others have a historical context of artist or subject, and a few go on to become decades long classics.

            • Adventurer

              Well it has remained a favourite. It has been named one of the best film of 21st century by a group of critics. So your point makes no sense. And if you are talking about its revenue, like I said, it’s not a movie made to appeal towards box office goers. It has a niche demography.

    • Sam Coff

      Jackman could have a very Bullockian year, with Logan acting as his The Proposal.

  • Calvin Damon

    I feel like the academy may want to give John Hurt a posthumous Oscar. As long as he delivers, of course. I’d feel sorry if Ed Harris finally gets back in after all of these years and still loses though. I also think that Michael Shannon and Steve Carell are unfortunately also going to have to wait a little longer.

    • John

      Posthumous Oscars/Oscar nominations rarely happen actually, and the Academy will even sometimes snub even if it seems an easy recognize someone who passed away. Like James Gandolfini who they did not nominate for Enough Said despite the fact that he got a SAG nom.

    • Sam Coff

      I agree with Ed Harris here, feels like a Julliane Moore situation?

  • Sam Coff

    Torn On John Hurt here. Unlike Enough Said or The Town, his film could really perform extraordinarily well at the Oscars. I could see him winning.

    • Cornelius Buttersby

      Anything is possible this far out, but I think it’s more likely to go the way of Alan Rickman in Eye in the Sky – the performance will need to be there for him to get any traction and I don’t imagine Chamberlain will be the standout role.

      • Adventurer

        Eye in the Sky? It was released in 2015 though…

        • Cornelius Buttersby

          I meant it’s more likely to be a similar situation to Alan Rickman in Eye in the Sky. There was some rumblings of a posthumous campaign, but ultimately the role wasn’t enough to warrant a nomination.

          • Adventurer

            Ah. Got it. I agree.

  • JJN

    Not really sure I see Dunkirk as a fanboy film. Best parallel might be Saving Private Ryan with Spielberg, although he had done some serious stuff beforehand. Nonetheless, you’d think it would be a leader for Editing, Cinematography, etc even if it falls a bit short in the reviews, given that Hacksaw Ridge did well in tech and the Academy loves them some war movies. I can see it nabbing a Best Picture nomination, script, and lots of tech but missing out in Director and any acting awards.

    Among the studio stuff, Orient Express could surprise if it’s good … it’s the kind of cast that can sneak in and win SAG Best Cast. The Big Sick was one of the biggest faves from Sundance. You don’t see a chance?

    • Ayshon

      Comedies are a hard sell for the Academy, especially romantic-comedies. The last romantic-comedies that won Best Picture was The Artist, which was also a black-and-white silent film, in 2013 and Shakespeare In Love in 1998, based on the life of a revered playwright. Also, the Big Sick is being released on June 23, 2017, which most likely means that Amazon won’t be fronting an Oscar campaign for it (especially since they have more awards-friendly films in their upcoming slate that they will most likely campaign: Todd Haynes’ Wonderstruck, Joaquin Phoenix’s You Were Never Really Here and Woody Allen’s Wonder Wheel.

      • JJN

        I didn’t realize it was out that early. You’re right … that makes it more difficult. It will have to be a substantial critical hit and do decently at the box office to keep its momentum

  • N.J.

    I think Call Me By Your Name should be considered a bigger player. I hope it will be!

    • Adventurer

      It was screened too early, although if it retains the acclaim throughout the year, it’s gonna be a big player.

      • Ayshon

        I don’t believe screening too early decreases a film’s Oscar chances, especially considering the fact that Manchester By the Sea premiered at Sundance and was able to win major awards for Best Actor and Best Original Screenplay. Also, Manchester By the Sea was considered to be a frontrunner for Best Picture, after La La Land & Moonlight. If a film screens early, it just needs to retain its critical acclaim (as you said, which I believe it can) and have a strong awards campaign, which Sony Pictures Classics is capable of doing.

    • Ayshon

      I totally agree. I was surprised to see only a Best Adapted Screenplay nom prediction
      for this film while Mudbound, another Sundance premiere with less critical acclaim, has predictions in major categories. When Moonlight won, I was worried that the win will decrease Call Me By Your Name’s chances. However, if the film retains its extremely
      high critical acclaim and remains the highest rated film of the year, it could be a major contender by the time 2018 comes around, just like Moonlight did for this year. My guess on the scarcity of CMBYN prediction is because of Moonlight and/or because of the controversial age difference between the protagonist.

  • Baggins

    I would love to see a best lead actor campaign for Logan. For a role Hugh Jackman has done for almost 20 years, it’s truly a performance to be remembered. this years Sylvester Stallone Maybe? only this time he wins

    • Adventurer

      That’s never gonna happen.

      • Baggins

        Heath Ledger 2008 for The Dark Knight. it’s possible

        • Adventurer

          Let’s face it, Ledge only won due to his death. So unless Jackman passes away this year it’s not gonna happen.

    • JJN

      I can’t see that happening. It’s too early in the year and the Oscars have zero appreciation for the genre. I’d say super heroes are ranked alongside horror movies down at the bottom, even below comedy, SF/F and animation.

      For even a great super-hero movie to get more than tech nominations, it would have to be something really different, artistically transcendent or socially super relevant …. not just a good action movie. There’s too much competition.

      If Jackman gets a nomination, it’s for Greatest Showman.

    • I think Logan is the beginning trend in his direction with Greatest Showman finishing off the year and getting the win. For a couple of decades Jackman has made everything, in every genre on screen and stage look so easy that he gets minimized or overlooked. This is the year when the gold he delivers even in bad movies simply can’t get missed. When someone makes range like Logan to Barnum look like anybody could do it if only they tried hard enough, then you have an ACTOR with all caps deserving the award.

    • Ayshon

      Not likely as Hugh is also fronting The Greatest Showman, a more awards-friendly film that is being released at the end of December. And he will most likely campaign for his role in that film rather than Logan. Also, the fact that Logan was released early in the year (just one week after the 2017 Oscars) doesn’t help its chances.

  • Tee

    Best Picture:
    1. Untitled Detroit Proejct
    2. Untitled PTA Film
    3. Mudbound
    4. Marshall
    5. The Killing of Edgardo Mortara
    6. Wind River
    7. Dunkirk
    8. Battle of the Sexes
    9. The Current War
    10. Mary Magdalene

    Best Director:
    1. Katheryn Bigelow (Untitled Detroit Project)
    2. PTA (Untiled PTA Film)
    3. Taylor Sheridan (Wind River)
    4. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
    5. Steven Spielberg (Killing of Edgardo Montara)

    Best Actor:
    1. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
    2. Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)
    3. DDL (Untitled PTA Film)
    4. Chadwick Boseman (Marshall)
    5. Benedict Cumberbatch

    Best Actress:
    1. Jessica Chastain (Molly’s Game)
    2. Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)
    3. Rooney Mara (Mary Magdalene)
    4. Carey Mulligan (Mudbound)
    5. Saorse Ronan (Lady Bird)

    Best Supporting Actor:
    1. John Hurt (Darkest Hour)
    2. Joaquin Phoenix (Mary Magdalene)
    3. Steve Carrell (Battle of the Sexes)
    4. Mark Rylance (Dunkirk)
    5. Idris Elba (Molly’s Game)

    Best Supporting Actress:
    1. Michelle Williams (The Greatest Showman)
    2. Elizabeth Olsen (Wind River)
    3. Margot Robbie (Untitled A. A. Milne Project)
    4. Kate Hudson (Marshall)
    5. Julianne Moore (Wonderstruck)

  • Justin Jaeger

    You’re forgetting Call me By Your Name, which is absolutely a contender with a 98 on Metacritic

    • Jesse Puzzle

      I can only agree so much without having seen the film personally…but I’m very curious as to why this site hasn’t acknowledged the buzz that’s surrounded the film already? There were articles that discussed the buzz of other lesser films that debuted at Sundance but there was nothing on “Call Me By Your Name”.

      You could say it would be too soon on the heels of “Moonlight” to be a contender, but that would imply you also predicted “Moonlight” to win it all…which this site did not. I sincerely hope this is just an oversight….

      • Ayshon

        I totally agree. I was surprised to see only a Best Adapted Screenplay nom prediction
        for this film while Mudbound, another Sundance premiere with less critical acclaim, has predictions in major categories. When Moonlight won, I was worried that the win will decrease Call Me By Your Name’s chances. However, if the film retains its extremely
        high critical acclaim and remains the highest rated film of the year, it could be a major contender by the time 2018 comes around, just like Moonlight did for this year.

  • Joey Magidson

    I have more faith in Dunkirk right now, but I also fully expect it not to do as well as I’m initially predicting.

    • Tee

      I still think nominations are possible, but I don’t expect too many wins either.

  • Patrick Downing

    Last year at this time, you picked one Best picture nominee right, zero directors, and one of 20 acting nominees. Good article but picking winners when only Sundance and Berlin have shown quality movies? Even Scorsese and Ang Lee had mediocre movies.

  • Patrick Downing

    ‘Euphoria’ Alicia Vikander, Eva Green, Charlotte Rampling, Charles Dance; directed by Lisa Langseth.

  • Derrick

    I would like to see these films before I make a decision! I’m eager to see ‘Call Me By Your Name’ since I’m hearing good reviews about this movie!

  • Alec Glass

    My initial predictions…
    PICTURE:
    1. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
    2. Darkest Hour
    3. Downsizing
    4. Mudbound
    5. Dunkirk
    6. The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara
    7. Lady Bird
    8. Suburbicon
    9. The Current War
    10. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

    DIRECTOR:
    1. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour
    2. Paul Thomas Anderson – “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project”
    3. Alexander Payne – Downsizing
    4. Dee Rees – Mudbound
    5. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk

    LEAD ACTOR:
    1. Gary Oldman – “Darkest Hour”
    2. Oscar Isaac – “The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara”
    3. Daniel Day-Lewis – “Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project”
    4. Hugh Jackman – “The Greatest Showman”
    5. Jake Gyllenhaal – “Wildlife”

    LEAD ACTRESS:
    1. Saoirse Ronan – “Lady Bird”
    2. Carey Mulligan – “Mudbound”
    3. Marion Cotillard – “Ismael’s Ghosts”
    4. Kristin Wiig- “Downsizing”
    5. Frances McDormand – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

    SUPPORTING ACTOR:
    1. Michael Shannon – “The Current War”
    2. Sterling K. Brown – “Marshall”
    3. Ed Harris – “Mother!”
    4. Sam Rockwell – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
    5. Joel Edgerton – “Untitled Nash Edgerton Project”

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    1. Laurie Metcalf – “Lady Bird”
    2. Kristin Scott Thomas – “Darkest Hour”
    3. Charlotte Gainsbourg – “Ismael’s Ghosts
    4. Margot Robbie – “Untitled A.A. Milne Project”
    5. Julianne Moore – “Wonderstruck”

  • Will you update the predix next week with Spielberg’s The Post?