Best Picture (Drama)

“Call Me by Your Name”
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri”

The HFPA has an opportunity to tilt the scale in a film’s favor with any of the five films.  “The Shape of Water” seems to be the type of film that the European crowd can get behind, as is the case with “Dunkirk.”  But the pure and timely American stories of “The Post” and “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” are sure to get some love.  We’re going with the one that leads with nominations and seems to have the upswing.

PREDICTION: “The Shape of Water”