We are one day away from the Primetime Emmy Awards! Before we tune in to the show on Monday, September 17th at 8pm ET/5pm PT, let’s make our final predictions on who will win in all the major categories.
Last week, the Creative Arts Emmy gave us clues as to who the voting body liked, presenting over 90 categories. With those in mind, as well as past Emmy spoilers, we’re keeping our eyes peeled for some major Emmy spoilers.
Best Drama Series
Will Win: “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Possible Spoiler: “Game of Thrones”
The biggest question of the night is which returning victor will snatch the throne. “The Handmaid’s Tale” won last year, but it didn’t have to contend against “Game of Thrones,” the incumbent winner. After the creative arts Emmys, “Game of Thrones” racked up an impressive seven wins, while “The Handmaid’s Tale” won three. Still, that’s the same amount of wins as last year for “The Handmaid’s Tale,” while “Game of Thrones” went down from recent years.
Best Drama Actor
Will Win: Sterling K. Brown – “This Is Us”
Possible Spoiler: Matthew Rhys – “The Americans”
Despite little screen time, Ron Cephas Jones was able to win Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series. While “This Is Us” went down in nominations, there still seems to be support for the show. This helps Sterling K. Brown towards his third consecutive Emmy win. However, watch out for Matthew Rhys making a Kyle Chandler “Friday Night Lights” upset for “The Americans’” final season.
Best Drama Actress
Will Win: Sandra Oh – “Killing Eve”
Possible Spoiler: Elisabeth Moss – “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Yes, last year’s winner Elisabeth Moss seems unbeatable. “The Handmaid’s Tale” increased in nominations and has already won three Creative Arts Emmys. However, we’ve seen a BBC America darling surprise in this competitive category before (just ask fellow nominee Tatiana Maslany). Oh’s narrative of becoming the first Asian actress to win a lead acting award is too good to pass up.
Best Drama Supporting Actor
Will Win: David Harbour – “Stranger Things”
Possible Spoiler: Peter Dinklage – “Game of Thrones”
David Harbour’s star factor raised considerably after “Stranger Things” season two. The meme-able performance might be too good for Emmys to ignore, especially in a weaker field. However, never count out two time winner Peter Dinklage. Dinklage has won before on weak submissions and continues to be a fan favorite of the show. If the show comes back in a big way at the Emmys, Dinklage could get swept up in the love.
Best Drama Supporting Actress
Will Win: Yvonne Strahovski – “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Possible Spoiler: Ann Dowd – “The Handmaid’s Tale”
Samira Wiley’s win in the Guest Actress race for “The Handmaid’s Tale” proves internal competition can be a good thing. She was one of three women from the show nominated in the category and was still able to win. This is a good omen for the three “Handmaid’s Tale” women nominated in Supporting Actress. While Dowd won last year, this year finds Strahovski with the meatiest material.
Best Drama Directing
Will Win: “Game of Thrones” – “The Dragon and the Wolf”
Possible Spoiler: “The Handmaid’s Tale” – “After”
Yet another category face off between “Game of Thrones” and “The Handmaid’s Tale.” This one feels poised to go to “Game of Thrones” no matter which way Drama Series shakes out. The show has won twice for its large scale epic battle episodes. This year should be no different. Still, last year’s winner “The Handmaid’s Tale” shouldn’t be counted out.
Best Drama Writing
Will Win: “The Americans” – “START”
Possible Spoiler: “The Handmaid’s Tale” – “June”
Series finales can surprise here. “Friday Night Lights” pulled a shocking upset here on its final episode. “The Americans,” which has garnered much Emmy love over the years but no writing wins, may win for its swan song. Still, it’ll be hard pressed to get around “The Handmaid’s Tale,” particularly if it starts sweeping the awards.
Best Comedy Series
Will Win: “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”
Possible Spoiler: “Atlanta”
Both “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” and “Atlanta” won three awards a piece at the Creative Arts Emmys. This makes the race for Best Comedy Series even tighter than before. However, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” possesses both audience popularity, critical raves and industry cache. The series feels right up Emmys alley and should prevail at the end of the day.
Best Comedy Actor
Will Win: Donald Glover – “Atlanta”
Possible Spoiler: Bill Hader – “Barry”
“Barry” surprised many with its ten nominations for its inaugural season. Bill Hader gives a masterful performance at the center of it and still stands a chance at winning here. However, Donald Glover’s bold choice of submitting “Teddy Perkins” might really pay off. The incumbent winner plays a reclusive, white mansion owner with a secret in his “Atlanta” episode, a different character than we are used to seeing him portray. With “Atlanta’s” buzz at its highest, it will be hard for Glover to lose.
Best Comedy Actress
Will Win: Rachel Brosnahan – “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”
Possible Spoiler: Allison Janney – “Mom”
The breakout performance of the year was undeniably Rachel Brosnahan as Midge Maisel, 50s housewife turned comic. It’s a slam dunk comedic tour de force that seems tailor made for Emmy love. In fact, she’s won every precursor in sight for the role. The only person who may defeat her is Allison Janney. She’s won before for her role in “Mom” (albeit in supporting). On top of that, she’s coming off an Oscar win. Perhaps good will from “I, Tonya” could net her a few extra votes.
Best Comedy Supporting Actor
Will Win: Henry Winkler – “Barry”
Possible Spoiler: Brian Tyree Henry – “Atlanta”
Legendary “Happy Days” actor Henry Winkler has never won an Emmy, shockingly. The overdue factor, on top of a fantastic performance in “Barry,” should get him his first Emmy win. As deluded acting teacher Gene Cousineau, Winkler nails every one-liner while also providing a self deprecating, fully realized character. Still, if “Atlanta” starts to sweep, Paper Boi himself Brian Tyree Henry could get swept up in the action.
Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Will Win: Megan Mullally – “Will & Grace”
Possible Spoiler: Kate McKinnon – “Saturday Night Live”
It’s hard to bet against two time winner Kate McKinnon in this category. However, the past years have seen her Hillary Clinton persona dominate in politically charged seasons. This year doesn’t see her do the trademark Clinton sketch. Instead, the Emmys may return to their old favorite, two time former winner Megan Mullally as booze soaked millionaire Karen Walker. The “Will & Grace” reboot was a hit with audiences. Even though it didn’t find itself nominated across the board for Emmys, it still managed to win two of its three creative arts bids, showing support is still strong for the show.
Best Comedy Directing
Will Win: “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” – “Pilot”
Possible Spoiler: “Atlanta” – “Teddy Perkins”
Pilots used to be the ultimate bait for Comedy Directing wins. “Glee,” “Pushing Daisies,” “Ugly Betty,” “My Name is Earl,” “Desperate Housewives,” and “Arrested Development” all prevailed in this category for their pilot episodes. The show boasts strong production values and is also the longest episode of the bunch. In many ways, it stands out from the pack. However, “Atlanta” is hot on its heels. “Teddy Perkins” feels like a stylistic departure for the show in a similar way that “B.A.N.” did last year when it won.
Best Comedy Writing
Will Win: “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” – “Pilot”
Possible Spoiler: “Atlanta” – “Alligator Man”
The Writing category is another tough race to call. Both “Barry” and “Atlanta” have two nominated episodes a piece. There is reason to believe that both shows will split the votes between their two episodes. This gives “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” an opportunity to win for its “Pilot” episode. However, still watch out for “Atlanta,” as their is quite a bit of widespread support for the show as well.
Best Limited Series
Will Win: “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
Possible Spoiler: “Godless”
“The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” did incredibly well at the Creative Arts Emmys. Winning four awards, the show already looks like a potential juggernaut in the limited series field. Three of the four competitors each took home one award a piece. Only “Godless” has enough nominations in above the line categories that it could potentially win to be a threat to “Gianni Versace.” Still, this should be an easy race to call.
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Actor
Will Win: Darren Criss – “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
Possible Spoiler: John Legend – “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE”
Criss headlines “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” incredibly well. This positions him as the rightful frontrunner of the category. Still, never count out superstar John Legend from “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE” for the win. The live performance won five Creative Arts Emmys, even more than “Gianni Versace.” This would make him the first person to win an acting Emmy for a live theatrical performance.
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Actress
Will Win: Laura Dern – “The Tale”
Possible Spoiler: Jessica Biel – “The Sinner”
Though “The Tale” did not win for TV Movie, voters still love Laura Dern. After last year’s win, they may want to give her a matching Emmy. Still, Biel has garnered raves for her performance as a woman who commits a shocking murder. This new, surprising turn could move voters to give her the win instead.
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Supporting Actor
Will Win: Jeff Daniels – “Godless”
Possible Spoiler: Brandon Victor Dixon – “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE”
The Emmys love Jeff Daniels. He has two nominations this year along (also nominated for Lead Actor for “The Looming Tower”). On top of that, he even won a surprise Emmy for Lead Actor in a Drama for “The Newsroom” a few years back. Though three men are nominated from “Gianni Versace,” they all may split the vote. This paves the way for Daniels win. However, it could also allow Brandon Victor Dixon from “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE” to be the surprise winner, since voters clearly love the show.
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Supporting Actress
Will Win: Penelope Cruz – “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
Possible Spoiler: Merritt Wever – “Godless”
Movie stars are always a force to be reckoned with at the Emmys. Last year saw Nicole Kidman and Laura Dern take the female acting prizes for a Limited Series. Oscar winner Penelope Cruz is of a similar A-list echelon that is impossible to ignore. She may lose some votes to fellow “Gianni Versace” nominee Judith Light, but not enough to lose the category. Still, Emmy prognosticators know to keep their eyes on Merritt Wever, who has pulled off a shocking victory before for “Nurse Jackie.”
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Directing
Will Win: “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” – “The Man Who Would be Vogue”
Possible Spoiler: “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE”
With “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” still the frontrunner across the board, it should add Directing to its nomination haul. It’s worth noting, however, that Ryan Murphy has never won this award. His best shot at winning was for the past season of “American Crime Story,” “The People vs OJ Simpson.” However, he lost to a surprise win for “The Night Manager,” which few had seen coming. Could five time Emmy winner “Jesus Christ Superstar LIVE” be this year’s “Night Manager?”
Best Limited Series/TV Movie Writing
Will Win: “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” – “House by the Lake”
Possible Spoiler: “USS Callister (Black Mirror)”
It’s very likely “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” will add this category to its award spoils. However, if voters are looking to follow the buzz, they might reward another “Black Mirror” episode. “USS Callister” already prevailed in the TV Movie category. It could follow “San Junipero’s” lead last year and win the writing category as well.