February is generally slow month at the box office. This weekend looks to be no different with few major openings and with the Super Bowl serving as major counter-programming. That environment looks likely to give “Glass” its third straight box office crown. Without much new competition entering the picture, the top 10 looks likely to remain largely the same.
“Glass,” in this its third weekend, looks likely to come in just short of $10M. This would represent a drop of around 50%. That would bring its domestic run to approximately $90M. Against its budget of $20M, the film is already a financial success.
Given that its decline is likely to be much smaller, “The Upside” actually has a chance to upset this weekend. It is currently projected to make around $9M; a drop of only 25%. If its decline is more in line with the 20% it dropped last weekend, it will likely come out on top. Either way, its domestic run looks set to cross the $75M mark as it continues its strong performance.
The weekend’s biggest opener is “Miss Bala,” starring Gina Rodriguez. The remake looks poised to open around $6M against its $15M budget. Some estimates have the film tracking as high as $10M, but given a theater count of around 2,200 and the competition from the Super Bowl, it is likely best to remain conservative.
Coming in fourth, “Green Book,” which remains in the Oscar conversation, looks to add about $4.5M. The film is adding 216 theaters this weekend and will cross the $55M mark.
The final film in the top five is Peter Jackson’s passion project, “They Shall Not Grow Old.” The documentary offers a colorized look at World War I footage. It will play at 735 theaters this weekend and should bring in roughly $4.5M.
The rest of the top ten will be populated by holdovers doing their best to post minimal declines in what looks to be a quiet start to February. Next weekend will bring newcomers “LEGO Movie 2,” “What Men Want” and “The Prodigy,” which should mean a much busier weekend.
- Glass (3,665 theaters) – $9.5 M
- The Upside (3,568 theaters) – $9.0 M
- Miss Bala (2,203 theaters) – $6.2 M
- Green Book (2,646 theaters) – $4.5 M
- They Shall Not Grow Old (735 theaters) – $4.5 M
- Aquaman (2,926 theaters) – $4.4 M
- Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse (2.234 theaters) – $4.1 M
- The Kid Who Would be King (3,528 theaters) – $3.7 M
- A Dog’s Way Home (2,962 theaters) – $3.2 M
- Mary Poppins Returns (1,704 theaters) – $2.3 M