BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
PREDICTIONS BY: CLAYTON DAVIS
And the Predicted Five Are...(in order)
Jeff Bridges-
Crazy Heart
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
FOR HIM:
This is an actor's actor who
ain't never won an Oscar
before.  Getting career best
reviews.  It may be his time.
FOR HIM:
Never nominated and
critics seem to just be
realizing it.  It's an
Oscar-bait role with
everything that Oscar
rewards.
FOR HIM:
Playing Nelson Mandela is
right up the Academy's
alley.  Could benefit from
never winning a Lead one,
rather than his
"consolation" supporting
prize.
FOR HIM:
Getting the best reviews of
his career.  Some say his
most personal
performance of his career.  
Clooney is a STAR and he
could easily win another
one, one day soon.
FOR HIM:
In one of the Best Picture
frontrunners.  Got an Indie
Spirit mention last year
which showed support for
the performance before
everyone saw it.  He's
brilliant in the role.
AGAINST HIM:
The critics need to
unanimous on his winning
chances.
AGAINST HIM:
Before Jeff Bridges came
around, it seemed like
nothing.  Now, it's Bridges
to lose.
AGAINST HIM:
Even though some consider
a "consolation" prize, it's
still a prize.
AGAINST HIM:
He's won recently and the
competition is getting tough.
AGAINST HIM:
Some bigger names
closing in on his tails.  He
needs the critic notices.
PREDICTION THOUGHTS
No changes to the Top five.  At this point, the top four are likely candidates for nods.  The Next Five are also in contention.  Big moves with Michael
Sheen for The Damned United, just a hunch.  No new additions overall.
THE NEXT FIVE
Robert DeNiro-
Everybody's Fine
Viggo Mortensen-
The Road
Daniel Day-Lewis-
Nine
Michael Stuhlbarg-
A Serious Man
Michael Sheen-
The Damned United
FOR HIM:
Got the popularity with
actors and audiences.  
Despite the mixed reviews
for the film, he got some
good ink.
FOR HIM:
He's Daniel Day-Lewis,
Oscar's golden boy.  This is
a role we haven't seen him
do before.
FOR HIM:
The word out of Toronto
was decent for him and the
film.  He's a dark horse to
take a spot.
FOR HIM:
He carries the entire film on
his shoulders.  He's
Broadway which keeps him
in good with the Actor's
Branch.
FOR HIM:
It's been more than 15
years since the Academy
has noticed DeNiro.  He's
part of a great part of the
Academy's history that they
may welcome back.
AGAINST HIM:
The film's mixed reviews.
AGAINST HIM:
Some of the ladies may
steal the love.  He's won
two and both within the last
twenty years.
AGAINST HIM:
The buzz for him and the
film is quiet.  Other film's
getting louder at the
moment.
AGAINST HIM:
Not a big star.
AGAINST HIM:
Depends on the film's
reviews.
ALSO IN CONTENTION
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Hal Holbrook-
That Evening Sun
Sam Rockwell-
Moon
Matt Damon-
The Informant!
Ben Foster-
The Messenger
Ben Whishaw-
Bright Star
James McAvoy-
The Last Station
Hugh Dancy-
Adam
Paul Bettany-
Creation
Clive Owen-
The Boys are Back
BACK TO MAIN PAGE
THE TRACKER
February 26, 2009
Daniel Day-Lewis-
Nine
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Robert Downey, Jr.-
Sherlock Holmes
Morgan Freeman-
The Human Factor
Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
March 16, 2009
Daniel Day-Lewis-
Nine
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Leonardo DiCaprio-
Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman-
The Human Factor
Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
May 1, 2009
Leonardo DiCaprio-
Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman-
The Human Factor
Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
June 26, 2009
Leonardo DiCaprio-
Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
Adam Sandler-
Funny People
July 15, 2009
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Leonardo DiCaprio-
Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
August 24, 2009
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Hugh Dancy-
Adam
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
September 14, 2009
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
Michael Stuhlberg-
A Serious Man
October 1, 2009
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
October 15, 2009
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Robert DeNiro-
Everybody's Fine
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
November 2, 2009
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Daniel Day-Lewis-
Nine
Johnny Depp-
Public Enemies
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
November 13, 2009
Jeff Bridges-
Crazy Heart
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
December 1, 2009 (PRE-NBR)
Jeff Bridges-
Crazy Heart
George Clooney-
Up in the Air
Colin Firth-
A Single Man
Morgan Freeman-
Invictus
Jeremy Renner-
The Hurt Locker
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