BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
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PREDICTIONS BY: CLAYTON DAVIS
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And the Predicted Five Are...(in order)
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Helen Mirren-
The Last Station
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Abbie Cornish-
Bright Star
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FOR HER:
British drama. Newcomers
are rewarded often for their
breakthrough roles. Sure
to be a big critic darling.
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FOR HER:
Biopic role, Julia Child. She
has the most nominations
ever but also has the most
losses. That helps. Early
year rave along with a sure
to be critical rave for It's
Complicated.
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FOR HER:
A heartbreaking
performance that the
critics are all behind. A
dark horse for the prize?
Think Jennifer Hudson.
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FOR HER:
Decent reviews out of
Toronto. Period piece.
Previous winner. Playing a
real life character.
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FOR HER:
Period piece. Stand out
reviews. This year's Keira
Knightley?
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AGAINST HER:
Oscar can make the
newcomers wait.
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AGAINST HER:
Oscar goes on a Meryl
break every now and then.
There's talk about her
switching Supporting.
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AGAINST HER:
This is her breakthrough
role, will they reward her so
soon? If they're going to
reward a newcomer,
Mulligan will be it.
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AGAINST HER:
She's won her Oscar for
The Queen. Does she need
two?
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AGAINST HER:
The film got mixed reviews.
She'll be fighting for a spot
with 4 or 5 other ladies.
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Changes to the top five include the drop of Saoirse Ronan (for now) and the rise of Abbie Cornish. Mulligan still sits in the top spot but I have to say, I
have no idea who will win. It could be any of them for all I know. Streep is definitely in the running and Mirren is a dark horse. Sidibe is a 50/50 shot
for a nomination, which she deserves, but there are a lot of other big names creeping up and fast. New addition: Melanie Laurent in Inglourious
Basterds, which is likely known as the stupidest move of any categorization this season.
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Maggie Gyllenhaal-
Crazy Heart
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Sandra Bullock-
The Blind Side
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Michelle Monaghan-
Trucker
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FOR HER:
A previous nominee for
Atonement. A beautiful
LEAD turn as a beloved
character in a beloved
story.
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FOR HER:
A co-lead turn with Jeff
Bridges. With him
"scheduled" to win, she
can get pulled into the mix
along with him. Previous
snubs.
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FOR HER:
Getting best-in-show
reviews. Her supporting
turn in Public Enemies
helps. In one of the Best
Picture frontrunners.
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FOR HER:
A beloved actress never
nominated. Getting great
reviews. A surprise entry?
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FOR HER:
LEAD role in a small indie
film getting a big campaign
push. This year's Melissa
Leo?
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AGAINST HER:
Depends on how the rest of
the critics and audiences
receive the film.
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AGAINST HER:
She needs just as good of
reviews as Bridges.
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AGAINST HER:
Many consider the
categorization fraud, that
hurts her chances big time.
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AGAINST HER:
The film's reviews aren't as
good as her performance.
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AGAINST HER:
Her film is really small and
many voters may not get to
see it.
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Audrey Tautou-
Coco Before Chanel
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Penelope Cruz-
Broken Embraces
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Zooey Deschanel-
(500) Days of Summer
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Melanie Laurent-
Inglourious Basterds
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Meryl Streep-
It's Complicated
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Robin Wright-Penn-
The Private Lives
of Pippa Lee
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Shohreh Aghashloo-
The Stoning of Soraya M.
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Emily Watson-
Within the Whirlwind
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Penelope Cruz-
Broken Embraces
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Abbie Cornish-
Bright Star
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Abbie Cornish-
Bright Star
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Penelope Cruz-
Broken Embraces
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Penelope Cruz-
Broken Embraces
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Abbie Cornish-
Bright Star
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Carey Mulligan
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Helen Mirren-
The Last Station
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Helen Mirren-
The Last Station
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Saoirse Ronan-
The Lovely Bones
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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November 30, 2009 (PRE-NBR)
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Abbie Cornish-
Bright Star
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Helen Mirren-
The Last Station
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Carey Mulligan-
An Education
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Gabourey Sidibe-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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