Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Clint Eastwood-
Invictus
FOR HER:
Directed one of the best
reviewed films of the year.  
It's about time a woman
wins this.  A lot of
contenders falling off.
FOR HIM:
Directs a beautiful mix of
drama and comedy.  
Previously nominated for
Juno.  Rewarding him, they
also reward his father,
never nominated.
FOR HIM:
The loss for Chicago still
stings.  Directing a big cast
of A-listers doing good
work keeps him in voter's
minds.
FOR HIM:
The minority prejudice in
this category works in his
favor.  Precious has
received many great
reviews.
FOR HIM:
An Academy favorite.  Still
at the top of his game.  
After missing for Gran
Torino and Changeling, they
may want to make up for it.
AGAINST HER:
Jason Reitman and Rob
Marshall.  Needs the critics
awards too.
AGAINST HIM:
Comedy directors hardly
win.
AGAINST HIM:
The film's so-so reviews.  
Copycatting his Chicago
work.  Needs #1 votes.
AGAINST HIM:
Subject matter a bit too
heavy.  There may still be
that prejudice.
AGAINST HIM:
Rewarded for so many of
his works in his later
career.
THOUGHTS:
Still have Kathryn Bigelow to win and make history for her war film, The Hurt Locker.  Jason Reitman remains her competition for now along with
Nine's director Rob Marshall.  Lee Daniels is vulnerable considering Precious was missing from NBR.  Clint Eastwood joins the list but is also
vulnerable considering if James Cameron's Avatar hits it out of the park.  He'll be replacing someone.  The Coens are still in the hunt with Lone
Scherfig who's looking for someway to break through the top five.  The new addition is Oren Moverman for The Messenger considering it was
mentioned by NBR, it would be a lone director type recognition.
THE NEXT FIVE
James Cameron-
Avatar
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen-
A Serious Man
Lone Scherfig-
An Education
Quentin Tarantino-
Inglourious Basterds
Michael Hoffman-
The Last Station
FOR HIM:
The secret behind the film
is still looming.  If it's half
as good as the promise, he
can sneak in.
FOR THEM:
Hitting all their films out of
the park every time now.  
Academy friendly subject.  
Still good-will off No
Country for Old Men.
FOR HER:
The film's performers are
all in the hunt for a
nomination, they may give
her all the credit.
FOR HIM:
Nominated for Pulp Fiction.  
Changing history to an
acceptable altering that
voters could appreciate.
FOR HIM:
A period work.  Isn't as
popular as other directors
but giving solid work every
time.
AGAINST HIM:
The lingering story of
plagiarism may cost him if
voters agree.  If the film
doesn't deliver, he's out.
AGAINST THEM:
They may score the writing
award before they nab
another directing.
AGAINST HER:
The work isn't as
challenging as her
competitors.
AGAINST HIM:
He is an acquired taste
amongst audiences.  Needs
everyone to be on the same
page.
AGAINST HIM:
Small release and small
film standing next to big
contenders.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
PREDICTIONS BY: CLAYTON DAVIS
And the Predicted Five are.... (in order)
ALSO IN CONTENTION
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Neill Blomkamp-
District 9
Spike Jonze-
Where the Wild Things Are
John Hillcoat-
The Road
Tom Ford-
A Single Man
Scott Cooper-
Crazy Heart
Michael Mann-
Public Enemies
Oren Moverman-
The Messenger
J.J. Abrams-
Star Trek
Michael Haneke-
The White Ribbon
BACK TO MAIN PAGE
TRACKER
February 24, 2009 (YEAR-IN-ADVANCED PREDICTIONS)
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Michael Mann-
Public Enemies
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Guy Ritchie-
Sherlock Holmes
Ridley Scott-
Nottingham
March 16, 2009
Clint Eastwood-
The Human Factor
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Guy Ritchie-
Sherlock Holmes
Martin Scorsese-
Shutter Island
May 1, 2009
Clint Eastwood-
The Human Factor
Terry Gilliam-
The Imaganarium of Dr.
Parnassus
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Martin Scorsese-
Shutter Island
June 18, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious
Clint Eastwood-
Invictus
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
July 15, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Clint Eastwood-
Invictus
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Martin Scorsese-
Shutter Island
August 23, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Jane Campion-
Bright Star
Lee Daniels-
Precious
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
September 14, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
October 1, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
October 15, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
November 2, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
November 12, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Peter Jackson-
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
December 1, 2009 (PRE-NBR)
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen-
A Serious Man
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
December 9, 2009
Kathryn Bigelow-
The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
Clint Eastwood-
Invictus
Rob Marshall-
Nine
Jason Reitman-
Up in the Air
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