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PREDICTIONS BY: CLAYTON DAVIS
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And the The Predicted Five Are...(in order)
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
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FOR HIM:
A creepy and terrifying
performance in Lovely
Bones. Actor's sentiment
due to the loss of his wife.
Long overdue for
recognition. Good reviews
for Julie & Julia.
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FOR HIM:
Best in show reviews. One
of, if not, the best
performance of the
summer. The fanboys and
critics are championing him.
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FOR HIM:
Long overdue for
recognition. Biopic role. A
LEAD performance being
classified SUPPORTING
helps quite a bit.
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FOR HIM:
The Frida snub. The best
performance aside from
Mulligan. A nice mix of
comedy and drama.
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FOR HIM:
Depending on who you are,
some would say he should
have 3 nods by now.
Arguably a co-lead aside
Mulligan going
SUPPORTING helps his
campaign.
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AGAINST HIM:
The film's mixed reviews.
Split votes with himself for
Julie & Julia. The nature of
the role, a pedophile child
killer.
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AGAINST HIM:
For the nomination, nothing.
For the win, there's no
"emotional" edge to the
performance like other
contenders.
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AGAINST HIM:
There are some saying it's
category fraud. Depends
on the other's reaction to
the film.
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AGAINST HIM:
Split votes with Sarsgaard.
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AGAINST HIM:
Split votes with Molina.
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Matt Damon drops from the Top five due to some poor early word on the nature of the performance which leaves way for Peter Sarsgaard to move up.
I don't feel comfortable with him there at all though. Baldwin and McKay, especially the former, both have equal chances to make in to the race
especially if the guys from An Education split votes. Robert Duvall has good word for both of his performances in Crazy Heart and The Road. But in
the end, he will likely have to wait until Get Low next year. The NBR will tell...
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Alec Baldwin-
It's Complicated
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Christian McKay-
Me & Orson Welles
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Woody Harrelson-
The Messenger
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Anthony Mackie-
The Hurt Locker
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FOR HIM:
He's Oscar's host this year
so he'll be remembered.
Great chemistry with
Streep. Excels in comedy.
Previous nominee.
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FOR HIM:
Biopic role, Orson Welles.
Fantastic reviews. Critics
are audiences rooting for
the performance already.
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FOR HIM:
Previous nominee. A
hard-natured role with the
character depth, tears, and
comedy, everything Oscar
loves.
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FOR HIM:
Great reviews for his
performance in The
Informant! Clint Eastwood
does wonders for men in
Supporting category.
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FOR HIM:
Just as afflicting as co-star
Jeremy Renner. Making a
good resume for himself
with his performances
getting better and better. If
they love The Hurt Locker,
he could easily get swept in.
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AGAINST HIM:
A comedic role is harder to
get in with so many
dramatic performances in
contention.
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AGAINST HIM:
Small film with a very small
opening. Needs the critics.
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AGAINST HIM:
Said to not really have the
"Oscar scene." The film's
reviews may not get him in
too.
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AGAINST HIM:
He needs Renner to
definitely be in for him to
make it too. Brian Geraghty
could steal some votes.
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Stanley Tucci-
Julie & Julia
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Paul Schneider-
Bright Star
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Robert Duvall-
Crazy Heart
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Richard Kind-
A Serious Man
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Peter Capaldi-
In the Loop
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Brian Geraghty-
The Hurt Locker
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George Clooney-
The Men Who Stare at
Goats
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Matt Damon-
The Human Factor
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Philip Baker Hall-
All Good Things
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Bill Nighy
The Boat that Rocked
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Mark Ruffalo-
Shutter Island
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Matt Damon-
The Human Factor
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Philip Baker Hall-
All Good Things
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Bill Nighy-
The Boat that Rocked
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Matt Damon-
The Human Factor
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Philip Baker Hall-
All Good Things
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Bill Nighy-
The Boat that Rocked
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Mark Ruffalo-
Shutter Island
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Richard Kind-
A Serious Man
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Paul Schneider-
Bright Star
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Richard Kind-
A Serious Man
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Jeff Bridges-
The Men Who Stare at
Goats
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz
Inglourious Basterds
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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December 1, 2009 (PRE-NBR)
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Alfred Molina-
An Education
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Christopher Plummer-
The Last Station
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Peter Sarsgaard-
An Education
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Stanley Tucci-
The Lovely Bones
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Christoph Waltz-
Inglourious Basterds
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