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PREDICTIONS BY: CLAYTON DAVIS
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THE PREDICTED FIVE ARE...(in order)
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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Anna Kendrick-
Up in the Air
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Vera Farmiga-
Up in the Air
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FOR HER:
Best in show reviews. A
brilliant turn. They're
people who've gone on
record to say 'she's won
already.'
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FOR HER:
Four nominations and no
Oscar yet. A period piece
that Oscar loves her in.
Firth's performance
could/should bring her in
too.
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FOR HER:
A terrific comedic turn with
an Oscar scene full of
drama and tears. Has long
been considered an up and
coming talent.
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FOR HER:
Fresh off her win for Vicky
Cristina Barcelona. An
earlier year praised
performance in Broken
Embraces. Singing and
dancing.
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FOR HER:
Very charismatic in her role
and gets audiences on her
side quickly. Long
regarded as a talent not yet
nominated. The film's
chances for Best Pic could
bring her in too.
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AGAINST HER:
There's rumors of a
backlash occuring. Is it
true?
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AGAINST HER:
Mo'Nique.
Minimal screen time.
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AGAINST HER:
Split votes with Farmiga.
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AGAINST HER:
Split votes with Broken
Embraces and internal
competition.
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AGAINST HER:
Split votes with co-star
Anna Kendrick.
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The top five ladies remain the same. Anna Kendrick moves up a spot however, and seems the more likely from the two ladies from Up in the Air to
make the cut. Samantha Morton joins the top ten along with Sari Lennick. As performances are dropping off, these two ladies remain a dark horse
for a nod. Also joining the race are Paula Patton in Precious (something that could happen if AMPAS goes Apeshit for the film) and Diane Kruger (due
to Melanie Laurent's category change). Charlize Theron is also cited new for The Road but that seems a space filler.
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Samantha Morton-
The Messenger
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Sari Lennick-
A Serious Man
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Susan Sarandon-
The Lovely Bones
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FOR HER:
She has been Oscar's
golden woman for years
now. Said to be a standout.
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FOR HER:
One of her great
performances of her
career. Nine will help.
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FOR HER:
Twice nominated. Great ink
in a suffering, grieving wife
role. As other contenders
fall, her chances improve.
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FOR HER:
A brilliant performance that
has people rooting for her.
The way critics loved Kelly
MacDonald, they'll be
rooting for her...
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FOR HER:
As the alcoholic
grandmother, Sarandon is
comic relief for a heavy
subject. Voters may
remember her.
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AGAINST HER:
Internal competition.
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AGAINST HER:
Split votes with Nine.
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AGAINST HER:
Small film. The character
is very complex which
makes it a bit hard for
voters to identify.
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AGAINST HER:
...but MacDonald didn't get
noticed. Her screen time is
low. They're not pushing
her campaign hard enough.
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AGAINST HER:
Mixed reviews and minimal
screen time. No real
"oscar scene."
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Rosamund Pike-
An Education
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Mariah Carey-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Cara Seymour-
An Education
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Diane Kruger-
Inglourious Basterds
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Paula Patton-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Emma Thompson-
An Education
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Monique-
Push: Based on the Novel
by Sapphire
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Michelle Williams-
Shutter Island
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Mo'Nique-
Push: Based on the Novel
by Sapphire
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Michelle Williams-
Shutter Island
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Patricia Clarkson-
Whatever Works
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Emily Mortimer-
Shutter Island
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Emily Mortimer-
Shutter Island
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Michelle Williams-
Shutter Island
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Meryl Streep-
Julie & Julia
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Michelle Williams-
Shutter Island
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Anna Kendrick-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Rachel Weisz-
The Lovely Bones
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Marion Cotillard-
Public Enemies
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Vera Farmiga-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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Anna Kendrick-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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Susan Sarandon-
The Lovely Bones
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Vera Farmiga-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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Susan Sarandon-
The Lovely Bones
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Vera Farmiga-
Up in the Air
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Anna Kendrick-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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December 1, 2009 (PRE-NBR)
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Vera Farmiga-
Up in the Air
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Anna Kendrick-
Up in the Air
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Mo'Nique-
Precious: Based on the
Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
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Julianne Moore-
A Single Man
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