OSCAR PREDICTIONS: Best Adapted Screenplay

Updated: October 18, 2017

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

1

James Ivory
“Call Me By Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)

PROS:
It feels like something that Oscar would love to reward in Screenplay, when they're not doing it in any other major places.
CONS:
The subject matter revolving around a love affair between an adult and child can be a turn off to voters.

2

Dee Rees, Virgil Williams
“Mudbound” (Netflix)

PROS:
If they can't get on board with Dee Rees in Director, a screenplay win becomes a consolation prize for many.
CONS:
Netflix pulling in nods above the line has been challenging.

3

Aaron Sorkin
“Molly’s Game” (STX Entertainment)

PROS:
If they can't get on board with Dee Rees in Director, a screenplay win becomes a consolation prize for many.
CONS:
Netflix pulling in nods above the line has been challenging.

4

Richard Linklater, Darryl Ponicsan
“Last Flag Flying” (Amazon Studios)

PROS:
Based on a beloved book, this collaboration could be a one-way ticket to an Oscar.
CONS:
NYFF will prove where it stands in the race.

5

Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber
“The Disaster Artist” (A24)

PROS:
Based on a beloved book, this collaboration could be a one-way ticket to an Oscar.
CONS:
NYFF will prove where it stands in the race.

NEXT IN LINE

6

Lee Hall, Shrabani Basu
“Victoria and Abdul” (Focus Features)

PROS:
Adapted Screenplay is rather weak this year and this lightweight and charming tale could sneak in.
CONS:
If competition heats up, it'll be hard for this to stand toe-to-toe against bigger, flashier scripts.

7

John Pollono
“Stronger” (Lionsgate)

PROS:
Outstanding reviews and the film has its vocal admirers. In a weak field, it can slip right in.
CONS:
Is it a "writer's type of film?"

8

Brian Selznick
“Wonderstruck” (Amazon Studios)

PROS:
Todd Haynes' last film "Carol" found love in Adapted Screenplay. Author of the book is adapting the film. Sometimes, that helps.
CONS:
The passion for the film is felt by some but not everyone. Will need to catch more buzz along the season.

9

Sofia Coppola
“The Beguiled” (Focus Features)

PROS:
Todd Haynes' last film "Carol" found love in Adapted Screenplay. Author of the book is adapting the film. Sometimes, that helps.
CONS:
The passion for the film is felt by some but not everyone. Will need to catch more buzz along the season.

10

David Scarpa
“All the Money in the World” (Sony Pictures)

PROS:
Todd Haynes' last film "Carol" found love in Adapted Screenplay. Author of the book is adapting the film. Sometimes, that helps.
CONS:
The passion for the film is felt by some but not everyone. Will need to catch more buzz along the season.

OTHER TOP TIER CONTENDERS

11

Hampton Fancher, Michael Green
“Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.)

PROS:
Continuing a story from decades prior can get writer's excited.
CONS:
There was a re-write, which doesn't exactly point to success.

12

Rian Johnson
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Walt Disney Pictures)

PROS:
Continuing a story from decades prior can get writer's excited.
CONS:
There was a re-write, which doesn't exactly point to success.

13

Armando Iannucci, David Schneider, Ian Martin, Peter Fellos, Fabien Nury, Thierry Robin
“The Death of Stalin” (IFC Films)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

14

Michael Green
“Murder on the Orient Express” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
Big remake. Pushed by 20th Century Fox.
CONS:
Unneeded remake.

15

Jason Hall
“Thank You for Your Service” (Universal Pictures)

PROS:
Big remake. Pushed by 20th Century Fox.
CONS:
Unneeded remake.

16

James Mangold, Scott Frank, Michael Green
“Logan” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
It's one of the best scripts of a superhero film some time. They give Logan an emotional heft that isn't expected.
CONS:
WGA may bite but Oscar is a whole other game.

17

Steve Conrad
“Wonder” (Lionsgate)

PROS:
It's one of the best scripts of a superhero film some time. They give Logan an emotional heft that isn't expected.
CONS:
WGA may bite but Oscar is a whole other game.

18

Mark Bomback, Matt Reeves, Rick Jaffa, Amanda Silver, Pierre Boulle
“War for the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
Could be a way to reward the entire franchise which has been an outstanding writing outing for a science fiction film.
CONS:
The visuals and acting has been the forefront. Screenplay is a stretch.

19

Susan Coyne, Les Standiford
“The Man Who Invented Christmas” (Bleecker Street)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

20

Matt Greenhalgh, Peter Turner
“Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool” (Sony Pictures Classics)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Loung Ung, Angelina Jolie
“First They Killed My Father” (Netflix)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

22

Stephen Chbosky, Evan Spiliotopoulos, Linda Woolverton, Gabrielle-Suzanne, Barbot de Villeneuve
“Beauty and the Beast” (Walt Disney Pictures)

PROS:
One of the top grossing films of the year will surely have consideration in some categories.
CONS:
It's not a particular good adaptation and the changes they did make, weren't well received.

23

Allan Heinberg, Zack Snyder, Allan Heinberg, Jason Fuchs, William Moulton Marston
“Wonder Woman” (Warner Bros.)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

24

Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber
“Our Souls At Night” (Netflix)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

25

Roger Michell
“My Cousin Rachel” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PROS:
Writer/director of films like "Notting Hill" and "Venus."
CONS:
The reason this is so highly ranked is because it truly is slim pickings this year for Adapted.

26

Hossein Amini, Peter Straughan, Jo Nesbø
“The Snowman” (Universal Pictures)

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

27

Sébastian Laudenbach
“The Girl Without Hands” (GKIDS)

PROS:
Based on "Das Mädchen ohne Hände" by the Brothers Grimm.
CONS:
Animated films have hard times in this category unless they're Pixar.

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE | DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |
| FOREIGN LANGUAGE |

  • Baggins

    my picks as of right now in alphabetical order

    The Beguiled
    Call Me by your Name
    Last Flag Flying
    Mudbound
    The Post

  • Sentinel666

    my predictions:

    1.”The Disaster Artist”
    2.”Call Me By Your Name”
    3.”Last Flag Flying”
    4.”Molly’s Game”
    5.”Stronger”

  • Sentinel666

    my predictions:

    1.”The Disaster Artist”
    2.”Call Me By Your Name”
    3.”Last Flag Flying”
    4.”Molly’s Game”
    5.”Stronger”