OSCAR PREDICTIONS: Best Supporting Actor

Updated: September 21, 2017

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

1

Willem Dafoe
“The Florida Project” (A24)

PROS:
Veteran actor and two-time nominee ("Platoon" and "Shadow of the Vampire") that has always felt like "that guy" that will one day win an Oscar. Reviews are singling him out and this could be his year.
CONS:
Does the film have legs in other categories? With an expanded lineup, it's hard for an acting winner to be the only nod for their movie (last was Christopher Plummer in "Beginners").

2

Ben Mendelsohn
“Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)

PROS:
Emmy winner for "Bloodline" is received outstanding notices for his work as King George VI. Oldman's work can easily pull him in.
CONS:
Will Gary Oldman suck the air out of the room for any other person getting nominated?

3

Sam Rockwell
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PROS:
Has been long ignored despite outstanding roles in films like "Moon" and "Seven Psychopaths." Early word is very positive.
CONS:
It always looks like it's about to happen for him (i.e. "Conviction") but then he comes up empty.

4

Armie Hammer
“Call Me By Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)

PROS:
Got career best reviews out of Sundance. Said to be a clear no-brainer.
CONS:
Michael Stuhlbarg. He received just as good, if not better notices.

5

Jason Mitchell
“Mudbound” (Netflix)

PROS:
Everyone discovered his talents in "Straight Outta Compton," a performance that many feel should have got him a nomination. Early word from Sundance was very positive.
CONS:
Internal competition.

NEXT IN LINE

6

Michael Stuhlbarg
“Call Me By Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)

PROS:
Received outstanding praise from Sundance. Snubbed for 'A Serious Man.' Has his time finally arrived?
CONS:
Armie Hammer and splitting votes.

7

Mark Rylance
“Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.)

PROS:
Previous winner of "Bridge of Spies" that delivers another standout performance.
CONS:
Screen time is a little thin. They may be more on the "technical" side of the film and not so much the performances.

8

Michael Shannon
“The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PROS:
Has defied odds twice for sneak into the Supporting Actor lineup ("Revolutionary Road" and "Nocturnal Animals"). He feels like one of "those guys" that will win one day. Early word suggests it could be his year.
CONS:
Also has "The Current War."

9

Kevin Spacey
“All the Money in the World” (Sony Pictures)

PROS:
Playing J Paul Getty, in heavy makeup, will be hard to not stand out.
CONS:
Is it just a makeup trick or is there heft behind it?

10

Christoph Waltz
“Downsizing” (Paramount Pictures)

PROS:
2-time Oscar winner ("Inglourious Basterds" and "Django Unchained") who received strong praise out Venice...
CONS:
...but Telluride was a bit more muted and colder on the film. He needs the film to be a bigger player.

OTHER TOP TIER CONTENDERS

11

Patrick Stewart
“Logan” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
A veteran actor that received his fair share of love from the first half. The campaign will make an effort for him in an open supporting actor field.
CONS:
Genre bias and he's never really been in the hunt before.

12

Idris Elba
“Molly’s Game” (STX Entertainment)

PROS:
Has a huge snub lingering over him ("Beasts of No Nation") and will likely get his due next time he's anywhere half good.
CONS:
How much screen time will he have?

13

Richard Jenkins
“The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PROS:
Previous nominee for "The Visitor" is receiving standout notices.
CONS:
Michael Shannon.

14

Will Poulter
“Detroit” (Annapurna Pictures)

PROS:
Will Poulter's villainous turn is as magnetic as it is diabolical. It's one of the best things to come out of the summer.
CONS:
Being "too evil" can cost an actor. Internal competition.

15

Michael Shannon
“The Current War” (The Weinstein Company)

PROS:
Playing George Westinghouse. Shannon is working towards that eventual Oscar win. Also has "The Shape of Water."
CONS:
Split votes with himself.

16

Woody Harrelson
“The Glass Castle” (Lionsgate)

PROS:
Is best-in-show as an alcoholic father in Destin Cretton's film about a dysfunctional family. Is also great in "War for the Planet of the Apes" and "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri."
CONS:
He probably needed the film to do better. He'll need a resurrection from the critics awards.

17

Mark Hamill
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Walt Disney Pictures)

PROS:
Sylvester Stallone taught us that ANYTHING is possible, even decades later.
CONS:
Sci-fi acting nominees are large hurdles by themselves, let alone for a performance that's never been shown Oscar love before.

18

Garrett Hedlund
“Mudbound” (Netflix)

PROS:
Has been terrific in performances such as "On the Road" and "Unbroken." He had his admirers out of Sundance.
CONS:
The buzz seems to be surrounding Jason Mitchell at the moment.

19

Zac Efron
“The Greatest Showman” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
Because you never know who can get nominated from a musical.
CONS:
We'll see how good he is (or isn't?).

20

Bob Odenkirk
“The Post” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
Hot at the moment with "Better Call Saul" - he may also win an Emmy this year for it.
CONS:
Internal competition. How big is his role?

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21

Dustin Hoffman
“The Meyerowitz Stories (New And Selected)” (Netflix)

PROS:
Two-time Academy Award Winner ("Kramer vs. Kramer" and "Rain Man") who is said to deliver a return to form performance. Can he get a welcome back nomination?
CONS:
Large cast and there could be some internal competition.

22

Richard Graham
“Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film” (Focus Features)

PROS:
A shot in the dark mention.
CONS:
We won't know until the film screens.

23

Sterling K. Brown
“Marshall” (Open Road Films)

PROS:
Two-time Emmy winner is climbing the ranks of great actors. Can he translate that to the silver screen?
CONS:
It's rumored that Josh Gad is the supporting player to watch if there's any.

24

Tom Hardy
“Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.)

PROS:
Previous nominee for "The Revenant" and lots praised him for his subtle, nuanced performance.
CONS:
Though he gets the job done, he essentially

25

Laurence Fishburne
“Last Flag Flying” (Amazon Studios)

PROS:
One-time nominee for "What's Love Got to Do With It?" Could he make his way back after 24 years?
CONS:
Could be all about his co-stars. He'll need to stand out.

26

Justin Timberlake
“Wonder Wheel” (Amazon Studios)

PROS:
"The Social Network" showed the world he could act, and do it well. Can he steal some of the scenes?
CONS:
The men in Woody Allen movies don't have the Oscar success that the women do.

27

Harrison Ford
“Blade Runner 2049” (Warner Bros.)

PROS:
As seen with Sylvester Stallone's nomination for "Creed," nostalgia can wear on the Academy's mind when filling out an Oscar ballot. Ford could be the next beneficiary.
CONS:
He'll need a BREAKOUT success, the likes of which is career has never seen.

28

Ed Harris
“mother!” (Paramount Pictures)

PROS:
Four-time nominee who hasn't been back since "The Hours." Is it time to give him his long overdue statue?
CONS:
His screen time is minimal.

29

Ray Romano
“The Big Sick” (Amazon Studios)

PROS:
Four-time nominee who hasn't been back since "The Hours." Is it time to give him his long overdue statue?
CONS:
His screen time is minimal.

30

Woody Harrelson
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PROS:
Four-time nominee who hasn't been back since "The Hours." Is it time to give him his long overdue statue?
CONS:
His screen time is minimal.

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31

Adam Sandler
“The Meyerowitz Stories (New And Selected)” (Netflix)

PROS:
Has shown great work before ("Punch Drunk Love") and is said to be delivering strong work once again.
CONS:
Dustin Hoffman but mostly can they take him seriously?

32

Wes Studi
“Hostiles” (No U.S. Distribution)

PROS:
Has shown great work before ("Punch Drunk Love") and is said to be delivering strong work once again.
CONS:
Dustin Hoffman but mostly can they take him seriously?

33

Lucas Hedges
“Lady Bird” (A24)

PROS:
Has shown great work before ("Punch Drunk Love") and is said to be delivering strong work once again.
CONS:
Dustin Hoffman but mostly can they take him seriously?

34

Jake Gyllenhaal
“Okja” (Netflix)

PROS:
Has shown great work before ("Punch Drunk Love") and is said to be delivering strong work once again.
CONS:
Dustin Hoffman but mostly can they take him seriously?

35

John Boyega
“Detroit” (Annapurna Pictures)

PROS:
The "Star Wars" star showed his acting chops as a conflicted security officer. They'll be going for this one.
CONS:
Internal competition from co-stars.

36

Daniel Craig
“Logan Lucky” (Bleecker Street)

PROS:
His brief turn as the jailhouse resident with a twang of gold is one of the memorable highlights of a sad summer for movie-goers.
CONS:
Globes could bite, but other groups will likely find other "toys" to cite.

37

Colin Farrell
“Roman Israel, Esq.” (Sony Pictures)

PROS:
With a year that has also included "The Beguiled," he's overdue for an Oscar nom.
CONS:
The critics awards need to make that known.

38

Colin Farrell
“The Beguiled” (Focus Features)

PROS:
With a year that has also included "The Beguiled," he's overdue for an Oscar nom.
CONS:
The critics awards need to make that known.

39

Michael Stuhlbarg
“The Post” (20th Century Fox)

PROS:
Is in a few projects this year and has been steadily working towards that first nomination. May be able to sneak on in.
CONS:
How large is his role? He also has "Call Me By Your Name."

40

Ben Stiller
“The Meyerowitz Stories (New And Selected)” (Netflix)

PROS:
Has had standout performances before in ensemble pieces ("The Royal Tenenbaums"). Early word was positive.
CONS:
Dustin Hoffman.

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE | DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |

  • Rapid Readers

    You should include Jared Leto for Blade Runner 2049. Just saw the “Nexus Dawn” short, and he pretty much, dominated the scene.

  • Reece

    “It” is a critical and box office hit. I think Bill Skarsgard could be a contender if campaigned hard enough

    • Calvin Damon

      Assumed box office hit. It hasn’t even come out yet lol

      • Reece

        That you are right, but early forecasts shows it shattering records for Horror and September box office.

  • Stein-Erik Rutledal

    Ben Mendelsohn did not replace John Hurt. Hurt was supposed to play Neville Chamberlain, Mendelsohn is playing King George VI.

    • We’ve been having issues with the website cache not dumping properly. If you are seeing outdated information, please clear your cache as well.

  • mads

    Sam Rockwell is placed at no. 3 and 25 – and with the same film!

  • Sentinel666

    What is James Franco doing here? He plays the leading role in “The Disaster Artist”!