UPDATED – FEBRUARY 23, 2017 – FINAL PREDICTIONS – The surest thing about the Oscar is that Viola Davis will be walking out the Dolby Theatre with an Academy Award in her hand.  It’s going to be fantastic to see.

ENTER OUR OSCARS CONTEST via our CIRCUIT CENTER HERE!

AND THE NOMINEES ARE

  1. Viola Davis – “Fences
  2. Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea
  3. Naomie Harris – “Moonlight
  4. Nicole Kidman – “Lion
  5. Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures

THE NEXT MISSES

OTHER TOP-TIER MISSES

ALSO MISSED

OTHER MISSED

  • Rooney Mara – “Lion
  • Annette Bening – “Rules Don’t Apply”
  • Leslie Mann – “The Comedian”
  • Laura Dern – “Certain Women
  • Michelle Monaghan – “Patriots Day
  • Sarah Gadon – “Indignation
  • Rose Byrne – “The Meddler
  • Elizabeth Olsen – “I Saw the Light
  • Shailene Woodley – “Snowden
  • Keira Knightley – “Collateral Beauty”

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

  • Nina Arianda – “Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Haley Bennett – “The Girl on the Train
  • Olivia Colman – “The Lobster
  • Jennifer Connelly – “American Pastoral”
  • Tyne Daly – “Hello My Name is Doris”
  • Kim Dickie – “The Witch
  • Dakota Fanning – “American Pastoral”
  • Phoebe Fox – “Eye in the Sky
  • Rebecca Ferguson – “The Girl on the Train
  • Kathryn Hahn – “Captain Fantastic
  • Riley Keough – “American Honey”
  • Helen Mirren – “Collateral Beauty”
  • Imogen Poots – “Green Room
  • Kristen Stewart – “Certain Women
  • Tilda Swinton – “Doctor Strange”
  • Zoe Saldana – “Live By Night”
  • Kyra Sedgwick – “The Edge of Seventeen”
  • Rachel Weisz – “The Lobster
  • Michelle Williams – “Certain Women
  • Kate Winslet – “Collateral Beauty”

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed back to 2017

CHECK OUT OTHER CATEGORIES:

PICTURE |DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS |SUPPORTING ACTOR |SUPPORTING ACTRESS |ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY |ADAPTED SCREENPLAY |ANIMATED FEATURE |PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

  • Marcus Adriano

    Chloe Grace Moretz for Laggies? Really? It’s very very unlikely. She has more chances for Clouds of Sils Maria, even though Kristen Stewart could surprise all of us and get the spotlight as the supporting actress of this film. But for Laggies.. I’d say almost impossible.

    • Carlos.

      Her role in Dark Places could draw a lot of attention if they get that movie right.

      • Marcus Adriano

        Agreed. There’s another one with Denzel Washington that she plays a teen hooker, that sounds like a juicy role.

  • Brett Greer

    Emma Stone is credited as a lead for Magic in the Moonlight, oh and Emma Watson from Noah should be on this list, she was fantastic!

    • Sam Coff

      Films with reviews and release date combinations like Noah’s don’t get acting nominations.

  • Max Conoley

    Don’t worry about Anna Kendrick not getting a nod because of Streep. you know, considering they’re in different categories.

    • Sam Coff

      That’s not confirmed yet.

      • Max Conoley

        It’s gonna happen. The witch (Streep) and the baker’s wife (Blunt) or actually co-leads. And which one do you think the producers are going to push for the lead nomination? The queen herself or the girl that hasn’t even been nominated yet? Of Streeps last 5 nominations, only The Iron Lady could be considered an outright lead role. The rest are either co-leads or obvious supporting roles.

        • Sam Coff

          Yea I don’t disagree that she has a tendency to be pushed Lead for non-Lead roles. I agree that’s she’ll probably end up in Lead, but it’s just not confirmed yet. And IF she says supporting, Clayton is right: Meryl will hog the spotlight from Anna.

          • Max Conoley

            True, but this category is normally very weak compared to the others, so I think the odds of Meryl and Anna or Emily and Anna both getting nominated are pretty good if the movie is decent.

  • Amanda

    Where is Kristen Stewart in Clouds of Sils Maria? Her brilliant performance.

    • Marcus Adriano

      I doubt it, IFC is very weak at campaigning.

      • Elektra

        It has nothing to IFC! Here has to do with undisputed talent of a good actress who is excluded, wickedness and give more visibility to Robert Pattinson who does not have a role in MTTS definitely Oscar! CANP X-Ray is a thread from the Oscars, such as millet and actress Sils Maria also in a Supporting Role category! Note that Binoche is in the list of protagonists Actresses with the same movie! And we all know that the critics have put more in evidence than the Kristen Binoche that Moretz! I find it unfair a thing!

        • Marcus Adriano

          Of course it does, in the end of the day, an oscar campaign is a very strong factor to score a nom. Kristen is sure an award contender for now, but in the end, it would be a real surprise if she scores the nom in an IFC’s movie.
          She has no chances for Camp X-Ray, the reviews have been mixed, even though her performance was generally well received, it wasn’t “awardly acclaimed” if you know what I mean, her only real shot is Sils Maria.

          I don’t know why you mentioned Pattinson, nobody mentioned him in this page, if you wanna discuss his chances, I suggest you to go to the actors predictions, but I do think Stewart has by far way more chances than him.

  • Guest

    Where is Kristen Stewart in Clouds of Sils Maria? Her very brilliant performance !!!!!

  • Elektra

    Where is Kristen Stewart in Clouds of Sils Maria o Camp X-Ray ? Her very very Best performance.

  • David Leary

    Where is Constance Brennerman for her brilliant performance in ‘The Toy Soldiers’

  • “: 2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress – http://t.co/6cssoaaXKn http://t.co/oO5BAO4v33” GO Laura Dern in #Wild

  • Marisa Tomei! Loved her in “Love is Strange”

  • b Red

    Please consider Shailene!! Phenomenal performance in The Fault in Our Stars. Very raw and emotional performance. Tell me it didn’t make you cry.

  • Yep – that’s it. You have your five. Oddly enough, I think if any one is knocked out, it will be Streep

  • RT “: 2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress – http://t.co/oBcfPOal1R http://t.co/QrkJv2Vr54”

  • WOW! absolutely no one of color on that list, interesting. Things don’t change too much I suppose

  • WOW! absolutely no one of color on that list, interesting. Things don’t change too much I suppose

  • WOW! absolutely no one of color on that list, interesting. Things don’t change too much I suppose

  • 2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (Oscar Previsioni – Miglior Attrice non protagonista) http://t.co/gZhLeFQMuq

  • Luke McGowan

    I think we can go ahead and drop Laura Dern from 1 to about 25. The trailer did nothing for her and a google search on the character doesn’t inspire a lot of passion either. I’d say she’s going to be the Amy Ryan Bridge of Spies pick

  • Scott Youngbauer

    You should think about including Molly Shannon in ‘Other People’. She got really good reviews at Sundance.

  • AndreTheTurtle

    “Going In Style” is being pushed to 2017, so you can take Ann-Margret off the list.

  • Alex Gorretta

    Tzi Ma, who you have as #29 on Supporting Actress for Story of Your Life, is a man. He is a Hong Kong-born American actor.

    • Luke McGowan

      Oh that’s embarassing haha

  • Luke McGowan

    Interesting that you’ve switched Dern’s performance in The Founder for her one in Wilson. I remember you doing that for McAdams in Southpaw and Spotlight and you ended up being accurate. Interesting how much “overdue” status can do.

    • Jinny90

      I think it’s because he got word that those who have seen The Founder at test screenings and read the script said her role is completely unsubstantial and she’s just the typical suffering wife in the background who has nothing to do. Whereas in Wilson she has a bigger role with more substance (she plays a drug addict w/ depression).

      • Luke McGowan

        I agree, and I said as much as soon as I saw the trailer.

  • Marwin 1994

    My Prediction:
    1. MELISSA LEO – Snowden
    2. JUDI DENCH – Tulip Fever
    3. JENNIFER ANNISTON – The Yellow Birds
    4. LAURA DERN – Wilson
    5. AJA NAOMI KING – The Birth of a Nation

    Other Contenders:
    6. MICHELLE WILLIAMS – Manchester by the Sea.
    7. KATE WINSLET – Collateral Beauty
    8. RACHEL WEISZ – The Light Between Oceans
    9. NAOMI HARRIS – Collateral Beauty
    10. MARGOT ROBBIE – Suicide Squad

    • John Khan Harrison

      Quinto looks embarrassing in the snowden trailer

  • Kuntilanak

    I hope Lupita N’yongo will be nominated!!!

  • fdh

    Let’s hope Jennifer Aniston will be nominated for The Yellow Birds. She’s deserved it for Cake & The good Girl.

    • Martin

      Yes !

    • lucy

      FORGET IT!!!, Not eligible, YB’s is NOT in contention. Get over it.

  • Christian Thompson

    Kim Basinger has been replaced by Laura Linney in Nocturnal Animals.

  • Luke McGowan

    1. Dakota Fanning (American Pastoral – not comfortable with her as a frontrunner but I’d love to be right like I was with Stallone in Creed)
    2. Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea – feel like she’s strong enough to overtake anything going against the film)
    3. Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk – I hope she’s better than the dumb excepts the trailer gave her)
    4. Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans – looks heartbreaking in the trailer)
    5. Rebecca Fergusson (The Girl on the Train – she stood out so much in Kate
    Winslet (Collateral Beauty – is she off her off-streak from 2008-2014,
    or was Steve Jobs an outlier?)

    6. Lupita Nyong’o (The Queen of Katwe – I’m sure they’d love to go there
    again, and she keeps kicking goals at the moment. I wish I could
    nominated her for The Jungle Book).
    7. Laura Linney (Nocturnal Animals/Sully)
    8. Aja Naomi King (Birth of a Nation – could be the Marcia Gay Harden of the year, pulled in with Parker/Harris who also directed)
    9. Nicole Kidman (Lion)
    10. Bryce Dallas Howard (Gold)

  • Giorgi Baskhajauri

    Renée Zellweger for The whole truth

  • Ciosi

    Michelle WIlliams and Kristen Stewart sound like the only safe bets at the moment. Collateral Beauty got bad reactions from screening, Wilson doesn’t have a release date yet which is weird at this point.

    Williams: She got raves and the film was completely acclaimed. Amazon is ambitious and is going to campaign heavily for the film.
    Stewart: She has been building the narrative in the previous years with Still Alice and Clouds of Sils Maria. This time sounds like the perfect momentum for her first nom. The film is likely to be at least a top 5 BP contender, Sony is going to campaign heavily for the film.

    • lucy

      I agree, those are the two names mentioned the most.

  • Brady Smith

    It’d be neat if Margot Robbie gets in but for some reason I don’t want Letto nominated for supporting actor. I think it’s cause Ledger’s joker was so much more of a realistic take on the character (makeup and scars, not bleached and smile plus the way he acted it) and Letto looks like his take on it will be a very cartoonish over the top crackhead. Not saying he can’t fit for the movie but it doesn’t look awards worthy.

  • Kaminin Oruha

    Margot Robbie mais 4

  • juan

    What about Glenn Close for “Bastards”, “The Girl with All the Gifts” or “What Happened to Monaday?”?

  • Giorgi Baskhajauri

    “Money Monster” has not good critics, but Julia Roberts has chance I think.

    • lucy

      Not in a million years.

  • Luke McGowan

    1. Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea)
    2. Dakota Fanning (American Pastoral)
    3. Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans)
    4. Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk)
    5. Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

    6. Bryce Dallas Howard (Gold)
    7. Nicole Kidman (Lion)
    8. Jennifer Aniston (The Yellow Birds)
    9. Shoreh Agdashloo (The Promise)
    10. Laura Dern (Wilson)

    • lucy

      Stop putting Aniston in, she is NOT eligible, not that she would ever be nominated. AMPAS voters said she was never taken seriously for a nomination for Crack.

      • Luke McGowan

        Don’t ever count someone out. Roman Polanski won an Oscar after being tried for raping a child. But yes Yellow Birds is out of contention, don’t go through all the comments before it wasn’t and act like we could tell the future.

        • lucy

          I mean the film Yellow Birds is not opening at ALL this year. There is no way anyone can be nominated if the film does not open in 2016.
          It was pushed to 2017.

        • lucy

          Yellow Birds is going to be a flop, that’s way it was pushed to sometime next year.

          • Luke McGowan

            Not every film that gets pushed back a year is because it’s a flop. Foxcatcher was pushed back and scored five nods and good reviews. Sometimes they just aren’t finished.

            • lucy

              Foxcatcher had “real” actors, except for Toni Colette, YB has no one.

              • Luke McGowan

                It’s actually perplexing, this quest you’re on to conquer all Yellow Birds optimists in the comments section.

                As for that, Tye Sheridan is one of the brightest young talents working today, Jack Huston comes from a long line of famous actors and actresses and Alden Einrehach stole the show in Hail Caesar. Your comment is generalist and invalid.

                • lucy

                  Jack Houston, grandson of the great John Houston, was just in one of the biggest bombs in recent history.

                  Ty Sheridan, yes, he was discovered by Terence Malick when he cast him in “Tree of Life”.
                  Toni Collette, one of the most versatile actresses working today is also in this film.

                  The problem is they are trying to say Aniston, of all people, is the “star” of this film. She has a small part as the mother of Ty Sheridan’s character. Hail Ceaser was a FLOP, no one knows who Alden Einrehach…..yet.

                  Aniston’s aggressive PR campaign to always be the “star” leaves her open to take the fall when a film flops. She has had 6 FLOPS in a row. She is Box Office poison.

                  If there is even one halfway decent marketing exec, they need to downplay Aniston’s role and turn their attention to an award winning, and Oscar nominated actress, Toni Colette.

                  I do not like Aniston, she is a “sad spook” as one reporter named her, that has tried to build a career out of nothing more than being the ex-wife of a much more famous man. She should stick to her 6 or 7 commercials where she is menopausal Rachel Green.

  • Jimmy

    Hope Rachel Weisz makes the cut! She looks wonderful in the trailer!

    • lucy

      I like her, she’s a great actress.

  • Aleks Howes

    I think that Angourie Rice from the nice guys is a possible contender

    • John

      She was great in the nice guys but not oscar worthy

      • Pedro

        Yes, an Oscar nominations would be highly unlikely. But I think she is going to be nominated for the Young Performer Award at the Critics’ Choice Awards.

  • Sam Powell

    Can you update this shizzle? I mean Suicide Squad is pretty awful. And Jennifer Anniston? How about add Evan Rachel Wood in Into The Forest which is 77% fresh on RT. I just saw in Hollywood and wow, Ellen and Evan go beyond whats great. Amazing performances.

    • Roger7

      What is this hate for Jennifer ANiston ? She’s an excellent actress and the movie looks great. She’s in the business for almost 30 years, it’s time to recognize her.

      • lucy

        She’s a terrible actress, and no one needs a replay of that embarrassing display she put on when she hired everyone but the Pope to try and score her a nomination for that awful performance in Crack.

        • Roger7

          You can hate on her as much as you want but I can find her very talented even if you don’t want to. I think she’s a far better actress than a lot of actors nominated at the Oscar. I don’t need your opinion to fix mine.

          • lucy

            You and …………..well, whoever else is still living in 1998.

      • lucy

        Roger, it’s time for your nap after your daily ritual of “Friends”.

  • John

    Why Kristen Stewart is not in top five?? She looks great in trailer and portrays an actual supporting role in Billy Lyn Long Halftime Walk.. I dont think Aninston should be here because the yellow birds has not yet received a date… Michelle Williams will be nominated but as she just had few scenes in Manchester By the sea and Casey Affleck stole the spotlight from her then I dont really think she will win.. Also I dont think Noamie Harris is suppoting in Moonlight she is a lead.. Laura Dern should not be here as wilson will be realeased in 2017. My predictions are Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn Long Halftime Walk) ,Michelle Williams (Manchester by the sea) ,Rachel Weisz (Light Between Oceans ,terrific in the trailer and she might win too) , Dakota Fanning ( American pastoral, also amazing in trailer) and Nicole Kidman (lion)

    • She IS in the top five…

    • lucy

      Yellow Birds is NOT in contention.

      • Roger7

        Are you completely stupid for reply that to EVERY comment ? This post had been made 18 days ago ! We know that TYB is not released this year since a week so when it was post, it was still in contention.

        • lucy

          WHY are you still thinking this woman who makes her living doing commercial after commercial is talented enough for an Oscar. It’s NEVER, ever happening. Take your meds, Roger, then watch Friends for ANOTHER twelve straight hours.

  • Paesito “Martin Paez” Paez

    1._ I really wish this one goes to Michelle Williams. I mean for sure I haven´t seen the movie yet, but she is really underrated and she deserves one of this already.
    2._ I´m crossing my fingers to them nominating Margot Robbie, I loved her in that role, but she has little to no chances on getting in because first the Academy does not usually acknowledge superhero movies and second the studio of Suicide Squad has to promote her for getting a nomination.

    • lucy

      If the movie MBTS is even close to the trailer, Michelle and Casey should both win awards and the film win BP.

  • PhC

    Chloë Sevigny – Love & Friendship
    Emily Mortimer – The Sense of an Ending
    Eva Green – Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
    Gugu Mbatha Raw – Miss Sloane
    Judi Dench – Tulip Fever
    Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
    Kristen Stewart – Certain Women
    Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
    Naomie Harris – Moonlight
    Olivia Coleman – The Lobster
    Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
    Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans
    Rebecca Ferguson – The Girl on the Train
    Toni Collette – The Yellow Birds
    Toni Collette – Glassland

    • lucy

      Yellow Birds is not eligible, but I like Toni for Glassland.

      • PhC

        thanks, i didn’t know Yellow Birds is not eligible

  • Nathan Kovar

    Thoughts on Jennifer Garner finally picking up a nomination now that TIFF has announced they will be showing ‘Wakefield’ this year? Or did ‘Nine Lives’ destroy her hopes of ever being nominated?

    • lucy

      I’d really like to see Jennifer Garner get a nomination. I like her.

  • Jonathan

    1. Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
    2. Aja Naomi King (The Birth of a Nation)
    3. Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
    4. Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans)
    5. Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk)

    Alternates: Dakota Fanning (American Pastoral), Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women), Nicole Kidman (Lion), Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), Laura Dern (The Founder)

  • Jonathan

    Hey Clayton – I’m aware you’ve seen The Light Between Oceans, can you say anything about Weisz’s performance and the film itself? Are they going to be awards contenders?

  • Luke McGowan

    In no particular order

    1. Laura Linney (Nocturnal Animals)
    2. Dakota Fanning (American Pastoral)
    3. Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea)
    4. Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk)
    5. Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

    • Luke McGowan

      Apparently Laura Linney has a one-scene ripper in Nocturnal Animals. Hollywood Reporter called it chilling.

  • Sybie

    1. Naomie Harris (Moonlight – A great portrayal as far as the trailer is concerned)
    2. Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
    3. Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures – After winning for The Help, the Academy has good knowledge of her talents)
    4. Dakota Fanning (American Pastoral – A new spin on teenage rebellion could prove nomination worthy)
    5. Rachel Weisz (The Light Between Oceans)
    Other Possibilities
    6. Nicole Kidman (Lion)
    7. Aja Naomi King (The Birth of a Nation)
    8. Kate Winslet or Keira Knightley (Collateral Beauty – After the success of Spotlight, we could see one of these ladies with a nomination)
    Underrated Possibilities
    9. Haley Bennett (The Girl on a Train – Quite riveting from the trailer)
    10. Maggot Robbie (Suicide Squad – Unlikely, but with the success of Mad Max anything could happen)

  • Luke McGowan

    23 is still too high for Linney in Sully. She’s on the phone the whole movie

  • Nathan Kovar

    Do you think that Focus Features will try and push Amy Adams in Supporting rather than Lead for ‘Nocturnal Animals’ so that her performance in ‘Arrival’ doesn’t detract votes? Also, in Supporting, Adams would stand a better chance since the only real competitor in that category so far is Michelle Williams. This would remove Adams from the foregone Lead Actress race with Viola Davis, and give her a shot at a double nomination come January 24th.

    • Luke McGowan

      It’s certainly something that would make sense, but I think Adams is too big a star to be pushed supporting. She’s not like Rooney Mara beside Cate Blanchett

      • Amy Adams has never really opened a movie by herself or carried a box-office hit on her name alone, so I fail to see how she is a big star. Besides, even if she were, that would’nt prevent her from being ‘demoted’ to supporting, much like Julia Roberts in ‘Orange County’.

        • Alec Glass

          she’s been nominated for an oscar 5 times… so as far as the oscars goes I’d say she certainly is

    • Miles Allen

      I think it’s very likely but no one seems to be suggesting it.

  • Miles Allen

    I don’t think that Laura Linney will be nominated just for one scene. I mean, stranger things have happened. Also, Octavia Spencer is not eligible because Hidden Figures was pushed back for January 2017.

    • It’s probably just the wide expansion release date. The studio is building buzz around it and will surely announce a qualifying limited release date before long.

    • Jonathan

      Hollywood Reporter has confirmed the film will be given a limited December 25 release

  • Jonathan

    I couldn’t see Margo Martindale & Molly Shannon both getting in for playing sick mothers. In “The Hollars”, John Krasinski returns to his hometown to be with his ill mother (Martindale). In “Other People”, Jesse Plemons returns to his hometown to be with his ill mother (Shannon).

  • Oğuz

    My Predictions

    1-Naomie Harris – Moonlight
    2-Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
    3-Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls
    4-Nicole Kidman – Lion
    5-Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
    6-Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
    7-Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
    8-Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals

    I think Margo Martindale and Molly Shannon will be snubbed through the entire award season because their movies are too independent for the race. Last year Cynthia Nixon gave a stunning ‘sick mother’ performance in James White but she ended up getting only indie spirit nomination.

    I also think that Amy Adams is not happening. I mean I’m so tired of seeing her try to get a nomination every season. And she should give a break for a while and comeback few years later. Maybe that could work.

    Another problem in this race is category fraud. I can’t stand to see Viola Davis, Amy Adams or any other lead in this category after Alicia Vikander’s win. I mean, she was a total lead and they gave her the Oscar for supporting actress. This is one fact that I don’t want to accept.

    • michaeldal65

      What do you mean “try to get a nomination every season”? She is “happening”, and probably will be every year that she delivers another of her consistently excellent performances. You make her out to be constantly chasing nominations. She ain’t Melissa Leo.

      • Oğuz

        She is definetely try to get a nomination. And I still think that she is not happening. She always delivers same kind of performances. After watching Arrival, I realized one more time that she doesn’t deserve a nomination in such a competitive year. She didn’t do anything to be nominated for an Oscar!

  • In 2015, Kristen had the help of Sony Classics, but didn’t has won prizes. In 2016, Kristen won a lot of prizes, but IFC didn’t helped… Let’s expect that this season be different.

    • goldushapple

      So do you still think it’s happening? Man, Stewart’s handelers were trying real hard to remake her CV in order to get an industry nom. Whoops.

  • Luke McGowan

    After that trailer, I’m on board with an Elle Fanning nomination for 20th Century Women.

    1. Michelle Williams
    2. Kristen Stewart
    3. Naomie Harris
    4. Elle Fanning
    5. Laura Linney (I just think it could happen for Nocturnal Animals)

  • Mike

    If ABC Television were smart, it would join with Focus Features to promote a nomination for Hell or High Water’s Katy Mixon. In two memorable scenes, she shows a range of emotion, from would-be seducer to protective mother to outraged citizen — exactly the kind of performance that awards givers love. And, a nomination would serve as a boon to her new sitcom, American Housewife. Remember that Melissa McCarthy’s Bridesmaids nomination helped to put eyes on Mike & Molly (eventually resulting in an Emmy for her work on that show).

  • Luke McGowan

    Hopefully Live By Night slips in here for Elle Fanning, whose role sounds pretty juicy.

  • Dmitry Knipper

    Very much hoping that Gerwig gets a nomination. She already should have three years ago for Frances Ha.

  • Ron Keeling

    Haley Bennett Girl On The Train, “Hands Down”

  • theatregeek

    Viola Davis would be foolish not to switch to supporting. She won the Tony for Fences in lead b/c she just came off another Tony win and had above the title billing. Unless the film version is drastically reframed, Denzel is the main focus. A win here would be absolutely guaranteed for her.

    Also, Im not buying Michelle Williams. She only has one scene. That didn’t work out too well for Jane Fonda last season. Williams isnt some overdue veteran and they arent going to give her an Oscar for 5 days work on set.

    • Adventurer

      Short roles have been given wins before. Remember Hathaway? Hopkins? Dench? I do.

      • theatregeek

        I never said Davis or Williams were “overdue veterans”. Your examples of Hopkins and Dench would fall under that distinction though, and that’s a big factor as to why they were able to prevail with little screentime. When I say veteran, I mean someone with a very long career as an actor. Williams is only in her 30s (and has just one more nomination than Davis). Further, Hathaway had plenty of screentime, it wasn’t only “I Dreamed a Dream”, though that was deemed her most impressive/memorable moment. It was a true supporting role.

        In any case, Ms. Davis and her team have realized the possibilities and made the correct switch. She is officially campaigning in supporting. Unless they really botch Fences, I don’t see anyone giving her competition.

        • Adventurer

          Hathaway’s role was only a 15 minute role, which was shorter than Hopkin’s. Anyway, I reckoned you were talking in terms of Academy recognition and not the actor’s career longevity in general when you said “overdue”.

          I do not agree. I can see both Harris and Williams giving her a strong competition.

  • Oğuz

    Updated Predictions
    1-Viola Davis – Fences
    2-Naomie Harris – Moonlight
    3-Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
    4-Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
    5-Nicole Kidman – Lion
    6-Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
    7-Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women
    8-Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans
    9-Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky
    10-Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals

    According to rumors Viola Davis’ role is a supporting and if she goes supporting, we all know she is going to collect every award. Harris, Williams and Kidman looks like the strongest contenders. The fifth place can be Greta Gerwig. People praised her performance and she looks promising in the trailer.

    This category’s champ Octavia Spencer is back and she can land a nomination for her turn in Hidden Figures. Another champ in this category is Rachel Weisz and she is having an incredible 2016. Her performance was decent in Light Between Oceans but she was also wonderful in movies like The Lobster and Denial. There is a lot of possibilities for her and we will see what is going to happen.

    I also think Helen Mirren has a shot as usual. People in industry love her. She loves getting awards. I love Laura Linney but it looks like she is going to be this years Jane Fonda. She has only one scene with a grotesque wig.

    • Sandeep Saini

      Rachel Weisz ……. The Dark Horse

    • Adventurer

      I wouldn’t be sure. Williams in Manchester by the Sea was extremely strong as well. I’d reckon it to be a showdown between her and Davis. I don’t see Harris going for the win nor Kidman. Gerwig might not even get the nod.

  • Sandeep Saini

    Rachel Weisz pensive but threatening portrayal as “Hannah Roennfeldt” looks strong to surprise this year. She has already won year 2016 with visionary “The Lobster”, tantalizing “Complete Unknown” and recent courtroom drama “Denial” is not about to slow down anytime soon. With her every release Rachel’s performance demands a lots of beating, she is always undeniably remarkable. In 2012, she has fell the victim of Oscar injustice (The Deep Blue Sea) but this time she is all set to rise with heart-wrenching “The Light Between Ocean” ………the potential spoiler

  • Sandeep Saini

    Rachel Weisz is also keeping pace in the Oscar running for the category of Best Actress with Mike Jackson’s courtroom drama “Denial” based on a true event that took place against the Holocaust Denier who tries to belie a naked TRUTH. The movie has certified fresh and gripping on review aggregator website “Rotten Tomatoes”. Rachel’s performance is being praised by almost every top critic and media outlet except “The Guardian” perhaps they delivered that comical cutting jest absentmindedly. Otherwise Rachel is riveting in her latest “Denial”

  • ebelmaine

    Why isn’t THE DRESSMAKER among in this year’s contenders? It didn’t open in US until June 2016. Judy Davis should be listed.

    • Luke McGowan

      The Dressmaker is an abomination, that’s why.

    • Nobody cared for that film. It made no waves whatsoever with the critics or the audiences.

  • Luke McGowan

    Davis, Harris, Williams feel safe. I’m still predicting Elle Fanning for either 20th Century Women or Live By Night. Last slot goes to Nicole Kidman because, I guess

    • Sabrina

      Elle Fanning deserves an Oscar nomination since forever. It’s sad cause Greta Gerwig is being the one remembered. And Elle probably will get the same fate as Dakota for I Am Sam. :'(

  • Kian

    Best Actress in a Supporting Role
    (Updated: November 03, 2016)

    There is just no way Viola won’t win this year. There is just no friggin’ way! Michelle is her biggest threat though.

    1. Viola Davis – “Fences”
    2. Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea”
    3. Naomie Harris – “Moonlight”
    4. Nicole Kidman – “Lion”
    5. Elle Fanning – “20th Century Women” / “Live by Night”

    • Jonathan

      I wouldn’t say there is no way Davis loses, because we haven’t seen Fences yet, although she looks pretty fantastic (as does the film) basing off the trailer. If she does live up to expectations, I’d say Naomie Harris is her biggest threat for Moonlight as Williams isn’t in Manchester by the Sea very long.

    • FM Talks

      Michelle’s role is too small to beat Viola.

  • Caprizonica Adictv

    Linda Cardellini is in The Founder with a more relevant role than Laura Dern and even Keaton said she was phenomenal so I think she should be considered. She demonstrated us in Brokeback Mountain that she has the chops

    • Jonathan

      She’s also great in “Bloodline”

      • Caprizonica Adictv

        She´s great in everything. I can´t believe she´s been so neglected by Hollywood. I was thinking she could´ve pulled off being “Jackie” Kennedy, but well. She´s not a big name

  • Anthony Moseley

    You’re the only person I’ve seen that has Felicity Jones so low. Most other Oscar predictors that I follow have her in their top 10.

    • Alec Glass

      Gotta say Im with Clayton on that one. Really don’t see them going for that kind of movie above the line in any way.

    • Adventurer

      I personally wouldn’t even put her in top 40.

  • Demetra

    Here’s what’s actually gonna happen:

    1. Viola Davis (Fences)
    2. Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
    3. Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
    4. Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)
    5. Elle Fanning (20th Century Women)

  • Jonathan

    Janelle Monae could be the new Jennifer Hudson, singer-turned Oscar-nominated actress. But I guess Hudson’s film (“Dreamgirls”) was a music film.

  • Daniel Motta

    My predictions:

    1. Viola Davis
    2. Naomie Harris
    3. Greta Gerwig
    4. Nicole Kidman
    5. Michelle Williams

  • adam

    Davis, Harris, Kidman, Williams, and I’m guessing Monae bumps Gerwig and Fanning at the 11th hour.

  • Brady Smith

    Seems like Lilly Gladstone is picking up a lot of critics groups nominations

  • juan

    I really hope Molly Shannon gets nominated for “Other People”.

  • Joshua Black

    I never hear much talk about which production company backing a film influences awards recognition except Weinstein. It must be all of them; every company must have a Weinstein stroking the awards bodies. That said, isn’t it likely that A24 is getting more Moonlight at the expense of Bening and Gerwig? Isn’t it likely that Silence and Arrival would do better without Fences taking attention away, not to mention Meryl since all four films are Paramount? Then there are parent companies to the smaller indie divisions and I don’t know who reigns over what, but aren’t all of these things important to consider?

  • Tee

    Having recently seen Fences, I can surely say that Davis has both the part and the narrative to all but clinch Supporting Actress. An underappreciated veteran that’s risen in popularity playing the strong, supportive wife of a troubled masculine man? That’s got Oscar bait all over it

  • Alfred

    Glassland isn’t eligible.

  • Alfred

    Also, Helene Burstin for “Wiener-dog” is a good contender.

  • Bryce

    Michelle Williams
    Naomi Harris
    Nicole Kidman
    Octavia Spencer
    Viola Davis

    This is the only category that can go either way with all 5 nominees, but I think the Viola Davis will end up getting it.

    • Jonathan

      Davis, Williams, Harris, and Kidman are safe bets for the nomination in my opinion, I think Spencer isn’t a sure thing.

  • Kian

    1. Viola Davis
    2. Michelle Williams
    3. Naomie Harris
    4. Nicole Kidman
    5. Greta Gerwig

    Praying for Viola’s victory now. If only I could replace Kidman with Spencer or Monae who much more deserves the nod. I really see Greta’s nomination possible now since I can’t see Annette getting one for Leading Role anymore so this is what 20th Century Women gets.

    • Ian Rousseaux

      Natalie Portman will run away with Best Actress win for her stunning performance of Jackie Kennedy.

  • Javi

    I think Viola Davis should go lead. We need another actress of color winning lead. It’s like with Kate Winslet; I wanna see Viola win Best Actress not supporting. If she wins in supporting…it’ll be excuse enough to never reward her again. Plus; I think she can win in lead and it’ll shut down all the “category fraud” cries.

    • Tee

      If anything, Viola Davis getting a lead nomination will further fuel the fires for the category fraud. Rose is definitely a supporting character, and if we throw her into lead it’ll seen as an attempt to ensure she doesn’t win. The lead actress race is already stacked as it is, putting her in lead is both category fraud and ruining her chances of winning.

    • Ian Rousseaux

      Natalie Portman will definitely win Best Actress in this category!

  • Alfred

    I believe the 5 nominations will come out from these 10 actresses: Kidman, Davis, Williams, Harris, Spencer, Gerwig, Monae and 3 great dark horses, King (this year’s category has 5 stunning afro-americans and if they get over the scandal situation, she is a threat), Squires (if Daniel Blake makes a miracle and be heard, she is a great possibility as well) and the giant actress Burstin (not a single Solondz actor has never been nominated -and all his films have THE performances- they may wanna change it this year).

  • sailingsam

    Viola Davis in Fences or Great Gerwig in 20th century women should win. Math Gugu Raw should be nominated for Miss Sloane.

  • Alfred

    My final prediction nominees: Viola Davis “Fences“, Michelle Williams “Manchester by the Sea“, Naomie Harris “Moonlight“, Octavia Spencer “Hidden Figures“ and (surprisingly) Greta Gerwig “20th Century Women“ (with her awesome performance she will put out Nicole Kidman with “Lion”).

  • DaKardii

    My prediction so far (will update when BAFTA nominations are announced)

    Best Supporting Actress is, for now, locked up.

    -Viola Davis for Fences
    -Naomie Harris for Moonlight
    -Nicole Kidman for Lion
    -Octavia Spencer for Hidden Figures
    -Michelle Williams for Manchester by the Sea

    The only way I can see this list changing would be if Janelle Monae recieves a BAFTA nomination for Hidden Figures, or if Greta Gerwig recieves a BAFTA nomination for 20th Century Women. If they don’t get one, they’re done.

  • jmlatinsir

    Agreed. Davis has this in the bag and she was smart to go supporting.

    • DaKardii

      Actually, I think she may have had it in the bag even if she went Lead. She’s had more nominations or wins for acting in the major ceremonies held for films released in 2016, than any other actress in either category.

  • DaKardii

    UPDATED AND FINAL PREDICTION, NOW THAT BAFTA NOMINATIONS ARE OUT

    Best Supporting Actress is locked up, and my previous prediction has not changed.

    -Viola Davis for Fences
    -Naomie Harris for Moonlight
    -Nicole Kidman for Lion
    -Octavia Spencer for Hidden Figures
    -Michelle Williams for Manchester by the Sea

  • Pokermask

    My predictions for Best Supporting Actress at the moment:
    Viola Davis – Fences
    Naomie Harris – Moonlight
    Nicole Kidman – Lion
    Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
    Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

    Top choice: Viola Davis – Fences

  • Javi

    Love me some Viola Davis. Still wish she would’ve gone lead; I really think she could win there…she’s that strong.

    I don’t agree with the “overdue” status for Davis however; she’s been nominated twice and I personally don’t feel she was the best either of those years. I’d give the overdue title to Michelle Williams; this will be her 4th nomination.

    I’ll be happy as long as Davis or Williams wins.

  • Alfred

    Molly Shannon for “Other People” is also a good contender although a very competitive year.

  • Alfred

    Also the native Lily Gladstone for “Certain women” is very strong, could be a pleasant surprise (they ignore so many times native actors and native films). Also, Judith Magre from “Elle” and Rachel House for “Hunt for the wilderpeople” could be there, in this big list.

  • Jacques

    Naomie. Harris. That will be all

  • Alfred

    After PGA, DGA and Bafta here are my predictions considering all the 336 eligible films and not only the front-runners (in order):
    1. Viola Davis “Fences”
    2. Michelle Williams “Manchester by the sea”
    3. Naomie Harris “Moonlight”
    4. Octavia Spencer “Hidden Figures”
    5. Greta Gerwig “20th Century women”
    *Still in big fight:
    6. Nicole Kidman “Lion”
    7. Janelle Monae “Hidden Figures”
    8. Aja Naomi King “Birth of a nation” (surprise underdog)
    9. Hayley Squires “I, Daniel Blake” (surprise underdog)
    10. Molly Shannon “Other people” (surprise underdog)
    11. Lily Gladstone “Certain women” (surprise underdog)
    12. Judith Magre “Elle” (surprise underdog)
    13. Rachel House “Hunt for the Wilderpeople” (surprise underdog)

  • Mangesh Gaikwad

    # Supp. Actress ::
    1.Viola Davis (Fences)

    2.Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
    3.Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
    4.Nicole Kidman (Lion)
    &
    5.Molly Shannon (Other People) /
    Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) /
    Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

  • Luke McGowan

    Gerwig in without Benning sounds like Barkhad Abdi in without Tom Hanks…though it did also have Picture, Screenplay and Editing and it looks to be over for 20th Century Women outside of acting hopes

  • Tee

    1. Viola Davis
    2. Michelle Williams
    3. Nicole Kidman
    4. Naomie Harris
    5. Greta Gerwig

  • Alfred

    Glassland is not eligible. For God shake check out the 336 eligible films!

  • DaKardii

    MY PREDICTION FOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS WINNER

    Right now, the favorite is Viola Davis, though I see Harris, Kidman, and Williams as potential spoilers. Spencer’s chances are slim.

    • Nastee

      lmao

  • Calvin Damon

    Am I the only person who actually prefers both Williams and Harris over Davis?

    • Lakeshow

      I prefer Harris

  • Nandinie Gupta

    Oh I think Viola Davis owns this Oscar, oh I just love her acting and not just fences but everything else. I still can’t believe she didn’t get it for The Help but this one has her name on it. she was amazing in Fences no doubt.

    • Calvin Damon

      Was saying no “Doubt” at the end intentional?

      • Nandinie Gupta

        she was amazing in fences and will get an Oscar for her marvellous performance. There is no doubt about that. So if you want to take it as intentional please do so.

        • Calvin Damon

          Oh sorry, I was asking if you were making a pun about the movie “Doubt” from 2008, which she is also great in. I know damn well that she is winning. I was just being dumb. I apologize

          • Nandinie Gupta

            I guess it could have been a pun. Hmm didn’t think it that way.

  • Derrick

    Viola Davis!
    She won EVERYTHING else including BAFTA last night so what’s next……………..OSCAR!

  • life is a state of mind

    WILL WIN: Viola Davis, who was amazing as the lead actress in Fences.
    NO CHANCE: Everyone else.
    As I stated, Viola Davis was the lead – not supporting. Greta Gerwig from 20th Century Women as robbed of a nomination, as was MY best supporting actress of 2016 – Margo Martindale from The Hollars.

  • Douglas Oakes

    Why nothing for American pastoral.much more thought provoting than manchester