2015 Oscar Predictions - Best Actress

2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

suitefrancaise(UPDATED: MARCH 15, 2014)

The women look strong this year, though there is a significant lack of women of color in serious contention.  I’m sure I overlooked some but I will be eager to here anyone name a few.  The internet is already screaming from their keyboards for five-time nominee Amy Adams in Tim Burton’s “Big Eyes.”  Definitely a possibility but there’s something in the words and pictures of “Sute francaise” that has me very excited for Michelle Williams.  Emily Blunt has THE role in “Into the Woods” and Marion Cotillard has a slew of big pictures this year including “MacBeth.”  Jessica Chastain will be a threat for any of her three roles as is Rosamund Pike in David Fincher’s “Gone Girl,” according to those who have read the novel.  Cate Blanchett would be much higher if I had faith that “Carol” would be finished before the end of the year.  Anais Demoustier in “The New Girlfriend” and Lea Seydoux in “The Lobster” are two quirky choices that I hope pan out.  Anyone who knows me over the past six years here at the Awards Circuit knows I’m notorious for a Julianne Moore, Year-in-Advanced pick.  I’ve resisted in hopes that she will win without me jinxing it early.  Sound off about your choices below in the comments.  Big year ahead.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Amy Adams - Big Eyes
    Two years in a row, she’s been nominated.  Five nominations in total since 2005.  It’s got to be weighing on her and Oscar voters.  There’s already early talk that she’s a standout.  Is it her time to shine?
  2. Michelle Williams - Suite française
    This adaptation looks to be utilizing all the wonderful things we’ve come to love about Michelle Williams.  After three respectable nominations, she’s starting to build the narrative of “overdue.”  This could be the one.
  3. Emily Blunt - Into the Woods
    The role won the Tony in Lead Actress.  She was a near miss for “The Young Victoria” and “The Devil Wears Prada.”  If she nails it, and the film is a success, this is an easy get.
  4. Marion Cotillard - MacBeth
    This looks too good on paper.  It’s a travesty that Cotillard hasn’t been nominated since her win.  “Public Enemies,” “Nine,” “Inception,” and “Rust & Bone” were all worthy of mentions.  I’m a believer.
  5. Jennifer Garner - Men, Women, & Children
    In the past two years, her husband won an Oscar for Best Picture, and last year she was the “third wheel” among Jared Leto and Matthew McConaughey.  This can easily go supporting but I’m feeling some sentiment coming her way.  There’s also that “Juno” snub that still hurts.

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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

  1. Hilary Swank - The Homesman
    According to people who have read the novel, the role is tailor-made for Swank.  She was probably #6 for “Conviction” which still shows they still like her (she got the SAG nod).
  2. Jessica Chastain - Miss Julie
    A classic play that is directed and adapted by Liv Ullman.  Chastain also looks to have another banner year for herself.  They may commit to something like they did with “The Help.”
  3. Jessica Chastain - The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
    Another film but some have already seen it and say she’s terrific.  Three hour run-time may be a bit much but first-time writer/director Ned Benson may provide her a strong chance at Oscar recognition.  She also has the loss for “Zero Dark Thirty” under her belt.
  4. Rosamund Pike - Gone Girl
    Readers of the book say this mention is pretty likely given the role.  After charming audiences with her performance in “An Education,” I’m eager to see what Pike can do with a meatier role.
  5. Jennifer Lawrence - Serena
    She’s too hot to handle at the moment, even if some are already saying she’s miscast.  What last year showed us, is JLAW is here to say, at least for a while.  She’ll also have “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1″ at the end of the year. 

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

  1. Reese Witherspoon - Wild
  2. Emma Stone - Untitled Cameron Crowe Project
  3. Nicole Kidman - The Railway Man
  4. Nicole Kidman - Grace of Monaco
  5. Shirley MacLaine - Elsa & Fred
  6. Cate Blanchett - Carol
  7. Naomi Watts - While We’re Young
  8. Scarlett Johansson - Under the Skin
  9. Anais Demoustier - The New Girlfriend
  10. Lea Seydoux - The Lobster

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ALSO IN CONTENTION

  1. Kate Winslet - A Little Chaos
  2. Felicity Jones - The Theory of Everything
  3. Jessica Chastain - A Most Violent Year
  4. Shailene Woodley - White Bird in a Blizzard
  5. Reese Witherspoon - The Good Lie
  6. Mia Wasikowska - Tracks
  7. Mia Wasikowska - Madame Bovary
  8. Julianne Moore - Map to the Stars
  9. Christina Hendricks - How to Catch a Monster
  10. Natalie Portman - Jane Got a Gun
  11. Carey Mulligan -  Far from the Madding Crowd
  12. Charlize Theron - Dark Places
  13. Kirsten Dunst - The Two Faces of January
  14. Juliette Binoche - Sils Maria
  15. Marion Cotillard - The Immigrant
  16. Dakota Fanning - Effie Gray
  17. Nina Hoss - Phoenix
  18. Imogen Poots - Squirrel to the Nuts
  19. Emma Stone - Magic in the Moonlight
  20. Marion Cotillard - Two Days, One Night
  21. Angelina Jolie – Maleficent
  22. Natalie Portman - Knight of Cups
  23. Charlotte Gainsbourg - Nymphomaniac
  24. Shailene Woodley - The Fault in Our Stars
  25. Melissa McCarthy – Tammy

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Clayton Davis (1579 Posts)

Clayton Davis is the respected and esteemed AwardsCircuit.com editor. Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Movie Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards.


  • Calvin Philips

    Is “Tulia” still stuck in development hell? If not, then that role could be a vehicle for Halle Berry.

  • Eoin Daly

    A snub is considered when someone is actually in the running and Garner was never in consideration for Juno. Blunt will also go supporting as Streep will go lead as she does in every film even look at their previous collaboration where Streep went lead. I feel confident in your Adams and Williams predictions. Cotillard will probably go supporting for Macbeth as she has a lead role in Two Days, One Night. To the top 5 I would also add Chastain for Miss Julie and Blanchett/Mara for Carol as I feel they will both go lead and Clayton allow your fav Sarah Paulson with a smaller role to get a possible chance. Also 23 years after the last double lead I feel if they try with these women it can happen as the story should have both lead.

    • http://twitter.com/JordanWellin Alvy Singer/Songwriter

      Highly doubt Carol will be ready in time. Haynes likes to take his time with releases, and don’t see him scrapping it together when it won’t be finished shooting until late April/early May.

  • http://twitter.com/JordanWellin Alvy Singer/Songwriter

    No way Rosamund Pike doesn’t get in. I guess you haven’t read the book, Clayton?

    Also, if “Suite francaise” is sticking to the book, Williams’ role is pretty passive and not very baity. But we’ll see.

    And agreed about Streep going lead, since there isn’t a definitive lead in the show. Like “A:OC,” it’s an ensemble, and we know Streep’s recent nominations have basically been supporting roles that she’s all gotten in Lead for.

  • Luc Brun

    What about Jennifer Aniston for Life of Crime ! You give 2 chance to Adam Sandler to win and not any for Aniston !?!

  • Amelie Summer

    this BS

  • Marcus Adriano

    I’d mention Zoe Saldana for Nina as well. I am quite surprised to see Dakota Fanning being mentioned, I hope she gets some recognition for that performance, her career is pretty cold right now.