2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

(UPDATED: JANUARY 25, 2015)

The road for Julianne Moore to the Oscar podium has been forthcoming for “Still Alice.”  Winning lots of awards including the Globe and Critics Choice has been great for campaign.  With Jennifer Aniston out of the picture for “Cake,” a person I felt that would really challenge Moore for the title, the path is even more clearer.  Felicity Jones hopes to break up the party with “The Theory of Everything” but the buzz for any win for the film has been surrounding co-star Eddie Redmayne and the score.  Reese Witherspoon nabbed key mentionsfor “Wild”  but no one is really rallying for a second Oscar for her.  Rosamund Pike would have needed “Gone Girl” to make a better showing than it did to contend while Marion Cotillard is just playing catch up for “Two Days, One Night.”  Looking forward to Moore’s speech.

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AND THE NOMINEES ARE

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It's one of the best turns of her career and those really no one else that has been contending. It's her time. Even publicists from rival companies say Best Actress is over.
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Her film is coming on strong and in any other year, she'd likely be our winner based on the Academy's past trends with Best Actress winners.
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Globes and SAG have kept her in the conversation since there was a moment that looked like a Pike snub could be coming our way. She's still not out of the woods yet but she seems safe for now.
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Was a critical darling on the precursors, gaining more than a dozen wins and mentions. However, she missed out on SAG and the Golden Globe. Is she a contender for her second award?
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She stands above some of the film's more obvious flaws and it's good to see her doing great work again. If she hadn't won for "Walk the Line," she'd be more of a possibility.

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THE NEXT FIVE MISSES

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6. Jennifer Aniston

Cake
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Had all her ducks in a row, getting Globes and SAG, but ultimately just came up short. May have been a lack of not seeing the film or not responding to the film.
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6. Amy Adams

Big Eyes
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The Globe win came too late to rally support.
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8. Emily Blunt

Into the Woods
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Needed the film to perform better within the Academy. Also more screen time.
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9. Hilary Swank

The Homesman
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I'm sure not enough saw the film or just didn't respond to it. Honestly, they should have campaigned her supporting.
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10. Anne Hathaway

Interstellar
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The campaign surrounding the actors didn't seem to work.
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OTHER NOTABLE MISSES

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11. Gugu Mbatha-Raw

Belle
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An outstanding breakthrough performer this year with this and "Beyond the Lights." She needed one of the major guilds to notice her though.
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12. Marion Cotillard

The Immigrant
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Harvey has put the gas pedal down with her work in James Gray's film, especially with her winning a few critics notices along the way. Is it too late?
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13. Jessica Chastain

The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
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Harvey is trying to get her into a five but the guilds and critics are focusing on "A Most Violent Year" and "Interstellar." Better luck next time.
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14. Shailene Woodley

The Fault in Our Stars
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She's probably the frontrunner for the MTV Movie Award but Oscar just doesn't go for this type of film.
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15. Jenny Slate

Obvious Child
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An SNL alum that gives a very rich performance. There are vocal lovers for the work. The snub from the Golden Globes is painful. Indie Spirit noticed though.
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16. Scarlett Johansson

Under the Skin
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Was in the conversation at NYFCO and other groups have praised her work. The film is too small in this crowded field.
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17. Anne Dorval

Mommy
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Foreign contender that has received much praise. Qualifying run by Roadside Attractions.
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18. Gugu Mbatha-Raw

Beyond the Lights
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No Globe. No Chance.
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19. Helen Mirren

The Hundred Foot Journey
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The Golden Globes nominated her but some eyebrows were raised by it. Does anyone remember the movie?
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20. Jessica Chastain

Miss Julie
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The film premiered at TIFF and she received decent enough reviews but not enough buzz for her remained.
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ALSO MISSES

21 Keira Knightley – Begin Again

22 Tilda Swinton – Only Lovers Left Alive

23 Kristen Wiig – The Skeleton Twins

24 Mia Wasikowska – Tracks

25 Melissa McCarthy – St. Vincent

26 Robin Wright – The Congress

27 Gena Rowlands – Six Dance Lessons in Six Weeks

28 Michelle Monaghan - Fort Bliss

29 Rachel McAdams – A Most Wanted Man

30 Maggie Smith – My Old Lady

OTHER MISSES

31 Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight

32 Kristen Stewart – Camp X-Ray

33 Angelina Jolie – Maleficent

34 Shirley MacLaine – Elsa & Fred

35 Jennifer Lawrence – The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1

36 Elisabeth Moss – The One I Love

37 Charlotte Gainsbourg – Nymphomaniac Vol. 1

38 Quvenzhane Wallis – Annie

39 Rinko Kikuchi – Kumiko, The Treasure Hunter

40 Shailene Woodley – White Bird in a Blizzard

*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2015

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