2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS
(UPDATED: JANUARY 25, 2015)
The road for Julianne Moore to the Oscar podium has been forthcoming for “Still Alice.” Winning lots of awards including the Globe and Critics Choice has been great for campaign. With Jennifer Aniston out of the picture for “Cake,” a person I felt that would really challenge Moore for the title, the path is even more clearer. Felicity Jones hopes to break up the party with “The Theory of Everything” but the buzz for any win for the film has been surrounding co-star Eddie Redmayne and the score. Reese Witherspoon nabbed key mentionsfor “Wild” but no one is really rallying for a second Oscar for her. Rosamund Pike would have needed “Gone Girl” to make a better showing than it did to contend while Marion Cotillard is just playing catch up for “Two Days, One Night.” Looking forward to Moore’s speech.
AND THE NOMINEES ARE
It's one of the best turns of her career and those really no one else that has been contending. It's her time. Even publicists from rival companies say Best Actress is over.
Her film is coming on strong and in any other year, she'd likely be our winner based on the Academy's past trends with Best Actress winners.
Globes and SAG have kept her in the conversation since there was a moment that looked like a Pike snub could be coming our way. She's still not out of the woods yet but she seems safe for now.
Was a critical darling on the precursors, gaining more than a dozen wins and mentions. However, she missed out on SAG and the Golden Globe. Is she a contender for her second award?
She stands above some of the film's more obvious flaws and it's good to see her doing great work again. If she hadn't won for "Walk the Line," she'd be more of a possibility.
THE NEXT FIVE MISSES
6. Jennifer Aniston Cake
Had all her ducks in a row, getting Globes and SAG, but ultimately just came up short. May have been a lack of not seeing the film or not responding to the film.
6. Amy Adams Big Eyes
The Globe win came too late to rally support.
8. Emily Blunt Into the Woods
Needed the film to perform better within the Academy. Also more screen time.
9. Hilary Swank The Homesman
I'm sure not enough saw the film or just didn't respond to it. Honestly, they should have campaigned her supporting.
10. Anne Hathaway Interstellar
The campaign surrounding the actors didn't seem to work.
OTHER NOTABLE MISSES
11. Gugu Mbatha-Raw Belle
An outstanding breakthrough performer this year with this and "Beyond the Lights." She needed one of the major guilds to notice her though.
12. Marion Cotillard The Immigrant
Harvey has put the gas pedal down with her work in James Gray's film, especially with her winning a few critics notices along the way. Is it too late?
13. Jessica Chastain The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
Harvey is trying to get her into a five but the guilds and critics are focusing on "A Most Violent Year" and "Interstellar." Better luck next time.
14. Shailene Woodley The Fault in Our Stars
She's probably the frontrunner for the MTV Movie Award but Oscar just doesn't go for this type of film.
15. Jenny Slate Obvious Child
An SNL alum that gives a very rich performance. There are vocal lovers for the work. The snub from the Golden Globes is painful. Indie Spirit noticed though.
16. Scarlett Johansson Under the Skin
Was in the conversation at NYFCO and other groups have praised her work. The film is too small in this crowded field.
17. Anne Dorval Mommy
Foreign contender that has received much praise. Qualifying run by Roadside Attractions.
18. Gugu Mbatha-Raw Beyond the Lights
19. Helen Mirren The Hundred Foot Journey
The Golden Globes nominated her but some eyebrows were raised by it. Does anyone remember the movie?
20. Jessica Chastain Miss Julie
The film premiered at TIFF and she received decent enough reviews but not enough buzz for her remained.
21 Keira Knightley – Begin Again
22 Tilda Swinton – Only Lovers Left Alive
23 Kristen Wiig – The Skeleton Twins
24 Mia Wasikowska – Tracks
25 Melissa McCarthy – St. Vincent
26 Robin Wright – The Congress
27 Gena Rowlands – Six Dance Lessons in Six Weeks
28 Michelle Monaghan - Fort Bliss
29 Rachel McAdams – A Most Wanted Man
30 Maggie Smith – My Old Lady
31 Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight
32 Kristen Stewart – Camp X-Ray
33 Angelina Jolie – Maleficent
34 Shirley MacLaine – Elsa & Fred
35 Jennifer Lawrence – The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1
36 Elisabeth Moss – The One I Love
37 Charlotte Gainsbourg – Nymphomaniac Vol. 1
38 Quvenzhane Wallis – Annie
39 Rinko Kikuchi – Kumiko, The Treasure Hunter
40 Shailene Woodley – White Bird in a Blizzard
*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2015
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