2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

(UPDATED: OCTOBER 21, 2014)

Well the cat’s out of the bag with Meryl Streep presumably going Supporting for “Into the Woods” and Emily Blunt going Lead.  Blunt will need to be a true standout to crack this death six or seven at the moment.  “Map to the Stars” is also out of the mix when it comes to Oscar.  Rosamund Pike is on the table in a big way as is Felicity Jones, so at the end of the season, we may have a true race to the finishThere’s also going to be a strong push for Shailene Woodley for “The Fault in our Stars” as well as Hilary Swank and Marion Cotillard.  There may be some surprises coming.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Julianne Moore

Still Alice
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FOR HER: Sony Pictures has picked up this gem from Toronto that received unanimous praise for Moore. After "Map to the Stars" got pushed back, are they in the mood to reward this veteran?

AGAINST HER: We've been down this road with her before. If they don't see it, they can't vote for it.

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2. Felicity Jones

The Theory of Everything
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FOR HER: Our hot new actress of the year that delivers a stunning performance. Focus Features backing. British vote will likely go for it.

AGAINST HER: She could go supporting. Will they buy that?

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3. Reese Witherspoon

Wild
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FOR HER: She's been attempting a comeback for some time and teamed up with Jean-Marc Vallee could finally welcome her back to the club.

AGAINST HER: The TIFF buzz has already seemed to fade a bit. She needs a big win (from something like NBR).

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4. Rosamund Pike

Gone Girl
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FOR HER: Readers of the book says she is a fantastic character. They also say she will be the make or break of the film. She is the film's true highlight.

AGAINST HER: There are some who don't LOVE the film. She could be passed over for someone else.

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5. Emily Blunt

Into the Woods
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FOR HER: After nearly making the cut for "The Young Victoria," and "The Devil Wears Prada," Blunt has a role that could showcase her as a full on leading lady.

AGAINST HER: Tough competition ahead as well.

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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

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6. Jessica Chastain

A Most Violent Year
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FOR HER: She is lined up to have another outstanding here with "Eleanor Rigby," "Interstellar," and this. The people behind her are gunning for a nomination and perhaps an overdue win.

AGAINST HER: She could vote split with herself or get edged out by other ladies. She also could be in the supporting race for "Interstellar."

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7. Amy Adams

Big Eyes
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FOR HER: She scored her fifth nomination last year for "American Hustle" and many were championing an upset for her, making many aware that she is still Oscar-less. I think it may be time.

AGAINST HER: There will be a lot of ladies trying to build the overdue narrative this year. She will be one of a few. It's all about who they go for.

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8. Hilary Swank

The Homesman
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FOR HER: Has two Oscars. Great reviews from Cannes. Many say that the role is tailor-made for her. Is it her big comeback?

AGAINST HER: The reviews were good but some were muted. Others suggested that some won't get it.

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9. Marion Cotillard

Two Days, One Night
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FOR HER: It's been far too long since Cotillard has been out of the race. This received great praise at Cannes..

AGAINST HER: We've been down this road before with her. She also has "The Immigrant."

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10. Gugu Mbatha-Raw

Belle
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FOR HER: A breakout of the year, with an added role in "Beyond the Lights." This may get more love than we think.

AGAINST HER: The film was a long time ago. Many not have enough juice to hop the competition that's ahead.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Scarlett Johansson

Under the Skin
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FOR HER: Has made a big comeback in terms of respect and prestige films over the past year. With a seemingly open and weaker Best Actress year ahead, this "weirder" choice could make some noise.

AGAINST HER: The film has come and gone in terms of theaters and is already on DVD. They're not kind to sci-fi, especially THIS kind.

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12. Jessica Chastain

The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them
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She's so great in the film, which everyone mostly agrees. She has other films in the mix and the film didn't fair with the critics as well as some had hoped.
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13. Shailene Woodley

The Fault in Our Stars
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FOR HER: Nearly made the cut for "The Descendants" and her campaign team say they're going for it with her. This will be a popular inclusion for audiences..

AGAINST HER: When's the last time a YA character, or even a nominee from a film like this came near awards attention?

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14. Jenny Slate

Obvious Child
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An SNL alum that gives a very rich performance. There are vocal lovers for the work. Golden Globe?
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15. Anne Hathaway

Interstellar
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FOR HER: One year after Sandra Bullock nearly won, is there room for Hathaway to make some headway in a science fiction film?

AGAINST HER: Could be all about the visuals.

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16. Marion Cotillard

The Immigrant
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She's the best part of the film. If "Two Days, One Night" is not accessible or enticing for voters, she could sneak in.
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17. Kristen Stewart

Camp X-Ray
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So surprising how fantastic she is in the film. Indie Spirit may come knocking.
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18. Helen Mirren

The Hundred Foot Journey
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Reviews were decent for her. Will they remember this summer release?
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19. Michelle Monaghan

Fort Bliss
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Has continued to deliver in some independent features like "Trucker." This is another example of that great work.
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20. Robin Wright

The Congress
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It's the performance of her career. A terrific and unique turn that stands out. Will they go for this type of performance that's half animated? Sadly, I think not.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Kristen Wiig - The Skeleton Twins

22 Angelina Jolie – Maleficent

23 Maggie Smith – My Old Lady

24 Mia Wasikowska – Tracks

25 Greta Gerwig – The Humbling

26 Keira Knightley - Begin Again

27 Shirley MacLaine – Elsa & Fred

28 Gugu-Mbatha Raw – Beyond the Lights

29 Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight

30 Elisabeth Moss – The One I Love

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Nicole Kidman – Before I Go to Sleep

32 Tilda Swinton – Only Lovers Left Alive

33 Dakota Fanning – Night Moves

34 Reese Witherspoon – The Good Lie

35 Charlotte Gainsbourg – Nymphomaniac Vol. 2

36 Anna Kendrick – Happy Christmas

37 Audrey Tautou – Mood Indigo

38 Jennifer Lawrence – The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1

39 Shailene Woodley – White Bird in a Blizzard

40 Quvenzhane Wallis – Annie

*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2015

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.