2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

(UPDATED: MAY 18, 2015)

The Actress race looks suspiciously littered with both young and veteran talent this year.  Saoirse Ronan has the frontrunner status at the moment with the words from Sundance on her work in “Brooklyn” but Cate Blanchett is a new toy for us to enjoy based on the early word for “Carol” from Cannes.  Alicia Vikander is likely to be the “it” girl of the year with eight projects, one of which is already loved in “Ex Machina” while Emily Blunt could be about to jump on the scene with “Sicario.”  Meryl Streep may cake walk her into a nomination for “Ricki and the Flash” but she has competition this year from Lily Tomlin (extraordinary in “Grandma“). Sally Field (said to be spectacular in “Hello My Name is Doris”), Julianne Moore (fresh off a win and “Freeheld” sounds incredible for her), and Maggie Smith (said to standout once again in “Lady in the Van”).  Then there’s the genre bias that everyone will be trying to push Charlize Theron over for her work in “Mad Max: Fury Road.”  We can only hope Oscar lovers.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Saoirse Ronan

Brooklyn
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The reviews from Sundance were exceptional for Ronan's work. Previous nominee that continues to show that she's an incredible talent.
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2. Marion Cotillard

MacBeth
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Cotillard has finally broke her streak of many snubs. Maybe AMPAS is ready to make her a default choice. Playing Lady MacBeth is a meaty role that she can really sink her teeth into.
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3. Cate Blanchett

Carol
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The reviews from Cannes are very high on her work in Todd Haynes' drama. Some which say, she's possibly are next three-time Oscar winner. Big praise but I'm definitely excited to see it.
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4. Alicia Vikander

The Danish Girl
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With 8 films coming out in 2015 (Jessica Chastain style), I feel like she's inclined to be our Felicity Jones this year. They'll be talk about which category she'll be placed in and when it happens, she could be a lock. That's just speculation though. Who knows who will stand out.
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5. Lily Tomlin

Grandma
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Absolutely magnificent in Paul Weitz's film. Also having a bit of a resurgence with Netflix's "Grace and Frankie" streaming. Are they in a veteran mood?

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Meryl Streep

Ricki and the Flash
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It's Queen Meryl. She's always in contention. AMPAS does take a Meryl break every now and again. Could this be in the vein of something like "Hope Springs?" Trailer looked promising.
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7. Jennifer Lawrence

Joy
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Back with David O. Russell and playing a real person. Is she our next Jodie Foster/Hilary Swank? The way AMPAS has reacted to her lately, it would be suggested.
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8. Carey Mulligan

Suffragette
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Still looking for her second nomination after "An Education." With the right push from Focus, it should come for her soon.
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9. Julianne Moore

Freeheld
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After glow nominations happen all the time. Playing the illness card with her talent could prove to be a fine vehicle for her. Perhaps Ellen Page gets the campaign for lead and Moore supporting?
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10. Brie Larson

Room
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Those who have read the book have said that she's perfectly cast and that if they get the feeling of the book correct, this will be a no-brainer. Sincerely hope so.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Angelina Jolie

By the Sea
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A female director that directs herself to an Oscar nomination? Big hurdles to jump there but we're open to it.
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12. Sally Field

Hello My Name is Doris
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Here's an actress whose delivered post two Oscar wins ("Forrest Gump" and "Lincoln"). This small indie has been playing the festival circuit (SXSW, Montclair) and it has its lovers.
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13. Naomi Watts

Demolition*
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People that have read the book say this could be a no-brainer for Oscar based on the source material. It would be a nice makeup for their ignorance of "Short Term 12."
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14. Rachel Weisz

The Light Between Oceans
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Is there still time for this Oscar-winning actress to get one more for her resume? Teaming up with Derek Cianfrance worked wonders for Michelle Williams.
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15. Tilda Swinton

A Bigger Splash
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Swinton has been a hot commodity as of late, in the hunt for "Snowpiercer" and "We Need to Talk About Kevin." This comical sounding film could utilize all her quirky charms.
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16. Emily Blunt

Sicario
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Her film is screening at Cannes (still awaiting early word at time of writing). We're still awaiting her first nomination for all the talent she brings to every role.
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17. Alicia Vikander

Tulip Fever
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Weinstein film. Could be a big player in the acting races.
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18. Juliette Binoche

Clouds of Sils Maria
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Will they remember her at the end of the year? She had the reviews.
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19. Emma Watson

Regression
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Can a "Harry Potter" alum join the ranks of the Oscar nominees? Early word is strong for her work.
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20. Carmen Ejogo

Born to be Blue*
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"Selma" was a fantastic vehicle for her that was ignored. Playing the muse of Ethan Hawke's character could prove another opportunity for her to shine.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Gugu Mbatha-Raw – The Whole Truth**

22 Sandra Bullock – Our Brand Is Crisis

23 Amy Schumer – Trainwreck

24 Charlize Theron – Mad Max: Fury Road

25 Cate Blanchett – Truth*

26 Kate Winslet – The Dressmaker

27 Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van

28 Greta Gerwig – Mistress America

29 Charlize Theron – The Last Face

30 Drew Barrymore – Miss You Already

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Margot Robbie – Z for Zachariah

32 Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years

33 Emma Stone – Aloha

34 Kristen Stewart – Equals

35 Bel Powley – The Diary of a Teenage Girl

36 Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina

37 Viola Davis – Lila & Eve

38 Emma Stone – Irrational Man

39 Rooney Mara – Carol*

40 Mia Wasikowska – Crimson Peak

*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2016

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