2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

(UPDATED: JUNE 23, 2015)

The ladies are dominating the box office and critical love this year.  Sadly, many of them will need to fight their way in for recognition.  I’m open to being pleasantly surprised.  Charlize Theron knocked it out of the park in “Mad Max: Fury Road” while Sally Field has been the talk of two major festivals for her work on “Hello My Name is Doris.”  Alicia Vikander has legions of fans for her turn in “Ex Machina” and Amy Schumer‘s comedic timing in “Trainwreck” has many buzzing.  And we still have the likes of Emily Blunt from “Sicario” and Marion Cotillard from “MacBeth” that impressed at Cannes.  Now we sit patiently for the arrival of Meryl Streep in “Ricki and the Flash” in August while festival hits like “Brooklyn” and “Grandma” are keeping Saoirse Ronan and Lily Tomlin in the conversation.  Let the ladies keep ruling.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Alicia Vikander

"The Danish Girl"
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With 8 films coming out in 2015 (Jessica Chastain style), I feel like she's inclined to be our Felicity Jones this year. They'll be talk about which category she'll be placed in and when it happens, she could be a lock. That's just speculation though. Who knows who will stand out.
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2. Cate Blanchett

"Carol"
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The reviews from Cannes are very high on her work in Todd Haynes' drama. Some which say, she's possibly are next three-time Oscar winner. Big praise but I'm definitely excited to see it.
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3. Jennifer Lawrence

"Joy"
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Teamed back up with David O. Russell (who won her an Oscar and another nomination). This is probably way more likely then I'm thinking but something about the project seems off. She sits here until proven otherwise though.
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4. Carey Mulligan

"Suffragette"
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Still looking for her second nomination after "An Education." With the right push from Focus, it should come for her soon.
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5. Lily Tomlin

"Grandma"
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Absolutely magnificent in Paul Weitz's film. Also having a bit of a resurgence with Netflix's "Grace and Frankie" streaming. Are they in a veteran mood?

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Meryl Streep

"Ricki and the Flash"
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It's Queen Meryl. She's always in contention. AMPAS does take a Meryl break every now and again. Could this be in the vein of something like "Hope Springs?" Trailer looked solid but you never know.
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7. Marion Cotillard

"MacBeth"
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Cotillard has finally broke her streak of many snubs. Maybe AMPAS is ready to make her a default choice. Playing Lady MacBeth is a meaty role that she can really sink her teeth into. Also have a sneaking suspicion that she could go supporting.
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8. Saoirse Ronan

"Brooklyn"
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The reviews from Sundance were exceptional for Ronan's work. Previous nominee that continues to show that she's an incredible talent.
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9. Julianne Moore

"Freeheld"
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After glow nominations happen all the time. Playing the illness card with her talent could prove to be a fine vehicle for her. Perhaps Ellen Page gets the campaign for lead and Moore supporting?
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10. Brie Larson

"Room"
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Those who have read the book have said that she's perfectly cast and that if they get the feeling of the book correct, this will be a no-brainer. Sincerely hope so.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Angelina Jolie

"By the Sea"
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A female director that directs herself to an Oscar nomination? Big hurdles to jump there but we're open to it.
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12. Emily Blunt

"Sicario"
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The film received good word out of Cannes. We're still awaiting her first nomination for all the talent she brings to every role.
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13. Sally Field

"Hello My Name is Doris"
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Here's an actress whose delivered post two Oscar wins ("Forrest Gump" and "Lincoln"). This small indie has been playing the festival circuit (SXSW, Montclair) and it has its lovers.
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14. Charlize Theron

"Mad Max: Fury Road"
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Wishful thinking or will Academy not be able to deny that she's F*cking amazing in the role? I hope its the latter.
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15. Tilda Swinton

"A Bigger Splash"
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Swinton has been a hot commodity as of late, in the hunt for "Snowpiercer" and "We Need to Talk About Kevin." This comical sounding film could utilize all her quirky charms.
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16. Alicia Vikander

"Tulip Fever"
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Weinstein film. Could be a big player in the acting races.
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17. Juliette Binoche

"Clouds of Sils Maria"
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Will they remember her at the end of the year? She had the reviews.
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18. Carmen Ejogo

"Born to be Blue"*
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"Selma" was a fantastic vehicle for her that was ignored. Playing the muse of Ethan Hawke's character could prove another opportunity for her to shine.
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19. Amy Schumer

"Trainwreck"
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Let's call this "something that could happen if the Academy loses their minds."
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20. Gugu Mbatha-Raw

"The Whole Truth"**
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She was a hot find last year and has two high-profile projects. This could get pushed back though.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Alicia Vikander – “The Light Between Oceans”

22 Sandra Bullock – “Our Brand Is Crisis”

23 Cate Blanchett – “Truth”**

24 Kate Winslet – “The Dressmaker”

25 Bel Powley – “The Diary of a Teenage Girl”

26 Maggie Smith – “The Lady in the Van”

27 Margot Robbie – “Z for Zachariah”

28 Carey Mulligan – “Far from the Madding Crowd”

29 Greta Gerwig – “Mistress America”

30 Drew Barrymore – “Miss You Already”

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Charlize Theron – “The Last Face”

32 Emma Watson – “Regression”

33 Charlotte Rampling – “45 Years”

34 Kristen Stewart – “Equals”

35 Alicia Vikander – “Ex Machina

36 Viola Davis – “Lila & Eve”

37 Rooney Mara – “Carol”*

38 Mia Wasikowska – “Crimson Peak”

39 Glenn Close – “Duchess”

40 Melissa McCarthy – “Spy”

*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2016

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