2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Actress

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST ACTRESS

(UPDATED: SEPTEMBER 4, 2015)

It’s such a good change of pace that the women look more competitive than the men this year.  With that, the young ones are in full force.  Alicia Vikander has several projects, Carey Mulligan is rumored to be “the one,” Cate Blanchett and Saoirse Ronan have their fans, Lily Tomlin would be one of the most deserved of the year, and Jennifer Lawrence is still around.  Brie Larson, Emily Blunt, and perhaps even Olivia Wilde are on the table.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Alicia Vikander

"The Danish Girl"
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With 8 films coming out in 2015 (Jessica Chastain style), I feel like she's inclined to be our Felicity Jones this year. They'll be talk about which category she'll be placed in and when it happens, she could be a lock. She was impeccable looking in the trailer.
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2. Carey Mulligan

"Suffragette"
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Still looking for her second nomination after "An Education." With the right push from Focus, it should come for her soon.
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3. Cate Blanchett

"Carol"
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The reviews from Cannes are very high on her work in Todd Haynes' drama. Some which say, she's possibly are next three-time Oscar winner. Big praise but I'm definitely excited to see it.
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4. Lily Tomlin

"Grandma"
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Absolutely magnificent in Paul Weitz's film. Also having a bit of a resurgence with Netflix's "Grace and Frankie" streaming. Are they in a veteran mood?
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5. Saoirse Ronan

"Brooklyn"
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The reviews from Sundance were exceptional for Ronan's work. Previous nominee that continues to show that she's an incredible talent.

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Jennifer Lawrence

"Joy"
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She's one of the hottest stars on the planet. She'll be a huge financial success with the last "Hunger Games" and teamed back up with David O. Russell is what they love best. Is it Russell/Lawrence overkill though?
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7. Brie Larson

"Room"
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Those who have read the book have said that she's perfectly cast and that if they get the feeling of the book correct, this will be a no-brainer. Sincerely hope so.
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8. Emily Blunt

"Sicario"
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Emily Blunt is long overdue for Oscar love. She plays "Kate" very well a la Jessica Chastain in "Zero Dark Thirty" but doesn't QUITE have THE SCENE that locks her in. They'll have to go heavy on the film.
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9. Blythe Danner

"I'll See You In My Dreams"
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First screener of the year and Gwyneth Paltrow's Mom to boot. She may pull a Bruce Dern this year.
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10. Elle Fanning

"About Ray"
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Early word is high on Elle Fanning's turn as a transgender teenager. It would offer as a strong companion piece and nomination to Eddie Redmayne's upcoming performance as well.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Marion Cotillard

"MacBeth"
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Lady MacBeth is a plum role and the word from Cannes was very good for Cotillard. Can Harvey work the circuit for her?
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12. Julianne Moore

"Freeheld"
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After glow nominations are common but critics need to be on board...to be continued.
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13. Sarah Silverman

"I Smile Back"
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Sarah Silverman is a fantastic actress. Too bad nobody notices. The Sundance film started a nice conversation surrounding her. Let's see if it becomes more.
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14. Meryl Streep

"Ricki and the Flash"
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She's Queen Meryl and she can get in for anything. However, this looks to be an off year a la "Hope Springs" and "It's Complicated."
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15. Angelina Jolie Pitt

"By the Sea"
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A female director that directs herself to an Oscar nomination? Big hurdles to jump there but we're open to it.
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16. Charlize Theron

"Mad Max: Fury Road"
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Wishful thinking or will Academy not be able to deny that she's F*cking amazing in the role? I hope its the latter.
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17. Sandra Bullock

"Our Brand is Crisis"
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She's on a hit streak, even when the film isn't as strong. Teamed up with David Gordon Green might present a unique outlet for her to explore.
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18. Olivia Wilde

"Meadowland"
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It's a tour de force. If people see it, they'll agree. October release, you just never know.
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19. Kate Winslet

"The Dressmaker"**
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Winslet is an Academy favorite. Her film needs distribution though. TIFF showing.
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20. Julia Roberts

"Secret in their Eyes"
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She looked great in the trailer and is an Academy darling. How will AMPAS go for this American remake of the Oscar-winning Foreign Language film?
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Maggie Smith – “The Lady in the Van”

22 Gugu Mbatha-Raw – “The Whole Truth”**

23 Cate Blanchett – “Truth”

24 Charlotte Rampling – “45 Years”

25 Carmen Ejogo – “Born to be Blue”

26 Carey Mulligan – “Far from the Madding Crowd”

27 Juliette Binoche – “Clouds of Sils Maria”

28 Helen Mirren – “Woman in Gold”

29 Sally Field – “Hello My Name Is Doris”**

30 Drew Barrymore – “Miss You Already”

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Rooney Mara – “Carol”*

32 Alicia Vikander – “The Light Between Oceans”**

33 Bel Powley – “The Diary of a Teenage Girl”

34 Charlize Theron – “The Last Face”**

35 Alicia Vikander – “Ex Machina

36 Emma Watson – “Regression”

37 Melissa McCarthy – “Spy”

38 Glenn Close – “Duchess”**

39 Mia Wasikowska – “Crimson Peak”

40 Nicole Kidman – “Queen of the Desert”**

*=could go supporting
**=could get pushed to 2016

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