2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Foreign Language Film

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

(UPDATED: FEBRUARY 20, 2015) – FINAL WINNER PREDICTIONS

No obvious choices here but when your film is nominated in another category, with the entire membership voting for it now, “Ida” should sit nicely for the win.  “Wild Tales” is in the hunt but I actually think “Timbuktu” is the spoiler.  Globes did reward “Leviathan” so you never know?

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Ida

POLAND
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Critical favorite that has been rewarded quite a bit on the circuit. Golden Globe nominated. Above the line win from LAFCA. Frontrunner?
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2. Timbuktu

MAURITANIA
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"Timbuktu" - he film looks at the brief occupation of Timbuktu by Ansar Dine. Parts of the film were influenced by a 2012 public stoning of an unmarried couple in Aguelhok. It was shot in Oualata, a town in south-east Mauritania
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3. Leviathan

RUSSIA
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A very delicate and thoughtful piece on corruption and a man's bad luck. Golden Globe winner.
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4. Wild Tales

ARGENTINA
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Amazing film intertwined with many different stories of vengeance. Also has charisma and humor. In a just world, it's the winner. Sony Pictures Classics backing. The Globe miss hurt though.
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5. Tangerines

ESTONIA
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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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6. Force Majeure

SWEDEN
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Another critical favorite. Its very dour for the Academy at large but enough SHOULD rank it high enough to get noticed. Could be a surprise shocker though.
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7. Corn Island

GEORGIA
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"Mandariinid" - The story takes place in an Estonian village at Abkhazia during the War in Abkhazia (1992–93). It carries a pacifist message and asks the question of how to be a human
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8. The Liberator

VENEZUELA
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"Libertador" - Simon Bolivar fought over 100 battles against the Spanish Empire in South America. He rode over 70,000 miles on horseback. His military campaigns covered twice the territory of Alexander the Great. His army never conquered -- it liberated.
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9. Accused

NETHERLANDS
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"Lucia de B." - A psychological thriller, based on one of the most controversial court cases in the Netherlands. Lucia, a nurse, is sentenced to life imprisonment for allegedly having killed at least seven babies and elderly people.
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OUT OF THE RUNNING

11 Two Days, One Night – BELGIUM

12 Winter Sleep – TURKEY

13 Mommy – CANADA

14 Dukhtar – PAKISTAN

15 The Dark Valley – AUSTRIA

16 Concrete Night – FINLAND

17 1001 Grams – NORWAY

18 Living is Easy with Eyes Closed – SPAIN

19 The Japanese Dog – ROMANIA

20 Invasion – PANAMA

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

21 A Few Cubic Meters of Love – AFGHANISTAN

22 Jhola - NEPAL

23 To Kill a Man – CHILE

24 The Guide – UKRAINE

25 White God – HUNGARY

26 Mateo – COLOMBIA

27 Rocks In My Pocket – LATVIA

28 Olvidados – BOLIVIA

29 The Boys from Marx and Engels Street – MONTENEGRO

30 The Golden Era – HONG KONG

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