2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Foreign Language Film

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

(UPDATED: DECEMBER 19, 2014)

From 83 countries down to 9, AMPAS eliminates Canada’s “Mommy,” Turkey’s “Winter Sleep,” and Belgium’s “Two Days, One Night.”  “Ida” is a heavy favorite while “Force Majeure” and “Leviathan” continue to make a compelling case.  It’s anyone’s game.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Ida

POLAND
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Anna, a young novitiate nun in 1960s Poland, is on the verge of taking her vows when she discovers a dark family secret dating back to the years of the Nazi occupation.
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2. Wild Tales

ARGENTINA
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A story about love deception, the return of the past, a tragedy, or even the violence contained in an everyday detail, appear themselves to push them towards the abyss, into the undeniable pleasure of losing control.
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3. Leviathan

RUSSIA
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The word has been growing since its debut at Cannes.
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4. Timbuktu

MAURITANIA
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"Timbuktu" - he film looks at the brief occupation of Timbuktu by Ansar Dine. Parts of the film were influenced by a 2012 public stoning of an unmarried couple in Aguelhok. It was shot in Oualata, a town in south-east Mauritania
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5. Force Majeure

SWEDEN
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"Turist" - A family on a ski holiday in the French Alps find themselves staring down an avalanche during lunch one day; in the aftermath, their dynamic has been shaken to its core, with a question mark hanging over their patriarch in particular.
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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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6. Tangerines

ESTONIA
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"Mandariinid" - The story takes place in an Estonian village at Abkhazia during the War in Abkhazia (1992–93). It carries a pacifist message and asks the question of how to be a human
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7. The Liberator

VENEZUELA
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"Libertador" - Simon Bolivar fought over 100 battles against the Spanish Empire in South America. He rode over 70,000 miles on horseback. His military campaigns covered twice the territory of Alexander the Great. His army never conquered -- it liberated.
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8. Accused

NETHERLANDS
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"Lucia de B." - A psychological thriller, based on one of the most controversial court cases in the Netherlands. Lucia, a nurse, is sentenced to life imprisonment for allegedly having killed at least seven babies and elderly people.
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9. Corn Island

GEORGIA
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"სიმინდის კუნძული" - The river creates and the river destroys in an eternal cycle that even man can't escape.
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OUT OF THE RUNNING

11 Two Days, One Night – BELGIUM

12 Winter Sleep – TURKEY

13 Mommy – CANADA

14 Dukhtar – PAKISTAN

15 The Dark Valley – AUSTRIA

16 Concrete Night – FINLAND

17 1001 Grams – NORWAY

18 Living is Easy with Eyes Closed – SPAIN

19 The Japanese Dog – ROMANIA

20 Invasion – PANAMA

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

21 A Few Cubic Meters of Love – AFGHANISTAN

22 Jhola - NEPAL

23 To Kill a Man – CHILE

24 The Guide – UKRAINE

25 White God – HUNGARY

26 Mateo – COLOMBIA

27 Rocks In My Pocket – LATVIA

28 Olvidados – BOLIVIA

29 The Boys from Marx and Engels Street – MONTENEGRO

30 The Golden Era – HONG KONG

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.