2014 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST PICTURE
( ) UPDATED: FEBRUARY 28, 2014
FINAL PREDICTIONS: BAFTA chose “12 Years a Slave” to no one’s surprise but it only won Best Picture and Actor. How many Oscars could Steve McQueen’s film win? ”Gravity” came on very strong in Phase 2 and probably benefits the most from a preferential ballot system IF “12 Years doesn’t gain the 50% + 1 in the first round of voting. That’s the big question. ”American Hustle” is still feasibly a contender as well assuming that AMPAS doesn’t want to do either. There’s also “Philomena” which Weinstein has work very well.
AND THE NOMINEES ARE:
12 Years a Slave (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
PGA Winner, BAFTA Winner, BFCA winner. Too important to let pass up?
Gravity (Warner Bros.)
Won LAFCA. Won the DGA + PGA but missed out on SAG Ensemble which tends to be crucial.
American Hustle (Sony Pictures)
Has the critics on its side. Won NYFCC. All four actors nominated. 3 Golden Globe awards.
Philomena (The Weinstein Company)
A film that the British voting bloc can endorse and get behind. Globe nomination in Drama. Weinstein.
Captain Phillips (Sony Pictures)
Globe nominated but no director nomination or SAG ensemble.
The Wolf of Wall Street (Paramount Pictures)
Martin Scorsese directed. Pulled in a lot of surprise mentions.
Dallas Buyers Club (Focus Features)
Big love from the critics. Performances will bring a lot of good fortune in top categories. SAG Ensemble nod. That Editing nod.
Nebraska (Paramount Pictures)
Movie about old people that will strike chords with older members. Terrific campaign by Dern and Paramount.
Her (Warner Bros.)
Won the National Board of Review and LAFCA. Critical darling. Spike Jonze very respected by AMPAS.
WHO MISSED THE CUT?
Inside Llewyn Davis (CBS Films)
Will be one of Oscar’s greatest losses in years to come.
Saving Mr. Banks (Walt Disney Pictures)
They didn’t warm to this film at all. 1 nomination later, Disney’s still hasn’t had a live action film nominated for Picture since “Mary Poppins.”
Blue Jasmine (Sony Pictures Classics)
Was probably the true #10 but I’m not sure how much passion it had with voters.
Lee Daniels’ The Butler (The Weinstein Company)
Completely shutout. Those SAG noms meant nothing in the long run.
August: Osage County (The Weinstein Company)
Two acting nominations was all it had in it.
Lone Survivor (Universal Pictures)
If this had opened around Thanksgiving, I think we would have seen more traction from it.
Fruitvale Station (The Weinstein Company)
The first film notices was its highlight all season.
Rush (Universal Pictures)
Very surprised by the complete shut out but it seems like the Brits followed “Philomena.”
All is Lost (Roadside Attractions)
Too experimental for the Academy.
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom (The Weinstein Company)
It didn’t hit the right chords with critics or their groups.
Mud (Roadside Attractions)
First screener of the season with an early release date spelled its fate.
WAY OUT OF CONTENTION
Blue is the Warmest Color (IFC Films)
Prisoners (Warner Bros.)
Short Term 12 (Cinedigm)
Before Midnight (Sony Pictures Classics)
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (20th Century Fox)
The Past (Sony Pictures Classics)
Labor Day (Paramount Pictures)
The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.)
Frozen (Walt Disney Pictures)
The Place Beyond the Pines (Focus Features)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Warner Bros.)
Frances Ha (IFC Films)
42 (Warner Bros.)
Ain’t Them Bodies Saints (IFC Films)
Out of the Furnace (Relativity Media)
The Book Thief (20th Century Fox)
Side Effects (Open Road)
The Invisible Woman (Sony Pictures Classics)
The Spectacular Now (A24 Films)
The Bling Ring (A24 Films)
: GO AND CHECK OUT OTHER CATEGORIES
PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT
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