2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actor

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED: MAY 18, 2015)

The supporting men look exceptionally competitive, assuming that some of these pan out.  Ken Watanabe is out for “The Sea of Trees” (which was my betting horse early on), now we move onto Kurt Russell who could be something substantial for “The Hateful Eight” but co-star Samuel L. Jackson and perhaps even Bruce Dern or Michael Madsen can break that up.  “Steve Jobs” has two possibilities in Jeff Daniels and Seth Rogen but my money is on the former for a long overdue career recognition.  Tom Hardy should be able to ride any love for “The Revenant” as long as his role has enough substance.  We’re keeping a close eye on Steve Carell from “Freeheld” and any of the literary boys from “Genius” but my money is on Dominic West for love.  Lots of X factors.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Kurt Russell

The Hateful Eight
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COMMENTARY:
Tarantino has done marvelous things for Supporting Actors and by early word and the looks of the film, Russel's characterl is said to be the standout.
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2. Jeff Daniels

Steve Jobs
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The fact that he's gone this long without an Oscar nomination is criminal. Maybe he can finally wash the stink of "Dumb & Dumber To."
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3. Tom Hardy

The Revenant
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With staggering performances in films like "Warrior" and "Bronson," Hardy hasn't found his way with the Academy yet. "Mad Max: Fury Road" could help him along the way.
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4. Ralph Fiennes

A Bigger Splash
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Missed out for "The Grand Budapest Hotel" and its been almost twenty years since he's been nominated. Opposite Tilda Swinton, he could make some noise.
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5. Benedict Cumberbatch

Black Mass
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Afterglow notices occur after an actor finally breaks into the Academy's graces. Heard a rumor that he's someone to watch out for.

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Alan Alda

Bridge of Spies
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Lots of internal competition but he may have the vets backing him up if the film hits in a big way.
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7. Kevin Bacon

Black Mass
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"Black Mass" could have many possibilities for its actors. Kevin Bacon is an overdue veteran looking for recognition.
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8. Christoph Waltz

Tulip Fever
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Back on the Harvey Weinstein team, and the role sounds like another sleazy one for him to chew on. Could he threaten for a third go-round?
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9. Dominic West

Genius
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Playing Ernest Hemingway. Oscar-bait role.
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10. Samuel L. Jackson

The Hateful Eight
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Is Jackson a threat for his first Oscar? "Django" gave some hope and "Pulp" seems like ions ago. You never know.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Bradley Cooper

Joy
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Playing a HSN network executive. He's three in a row. Watch out for another bout with director David O. Russell in tow.
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12. Kevin Kline

Ricki and the Flash
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Kline is a former winner and teamed up with Meryl Streep again. You never know.
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13. Steve Carell

Freeheld
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Playing a Gay rights activist and following his outstanding turn in "Foxcatcher," Carell could ride a wave of residual support.
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14. Billy Magnussen

Bridge of Spies
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There are rumors that say he's got the meatier role of the supporting cast. After "Into the Woods," you can never tell.
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15. Bradley Whitford

I Saw the Light
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Wild card entry. If the film hits big, he could be a pull in story.
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16. Forest Whitaker

Southpaw
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The trainer role is usually a favorite with Oscar.
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17. Chris Cooper

Demolition
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Jean Marc Vallee works magic for his actors. Cooper is a loved veteran in the community.
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18. Cillian Murphy

In the Heart of the Sea
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Murphy's past work in films like "Breakfast on Pluto" was well received and he's very much liked by the critics. Ron Howard's big epic could pull in many mentions including some acting.
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19. Kyle Chandler

Carol
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The leading male in a female cast could have him standout in the crowd, especially sharing scenes with Cate Blanchett. Reviews are good for him.
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20. Emory Cohen

Brooklyn
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Cohen's breakout in "The Place Beyond the Pines" was quite memorable. The word for his work in "Brooklyn" out of Sundance was strong.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Jude Law – Genius

22 Guy Pearce – Genius

23 Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation

24 Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight

25 Dane DeHaan – Life*

26 George Clooney – Money Monster

27 Michael Fassbender – Slow West

28 Edgar Ramirez – Joy

29 Dean Norris – The Secret in their Eyes*

30 Oscar Isaac – Ex Machina

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Benicio del Toro – Sicario

32 Seth Rogen – Steve Jobs

33 Nick Offerman – Me & Earl & the Dying Girl

34 Casey Affleck – Triple 9

35 Bruce Dern – The Hateful Eight

36 Jason Clarke – Everest

37 Gabriel Basso – The Whole Truth*

38 Albert Brooks – Concussion

39 Tye Sheridan – Last Days in the Desert

40 Aaron Paul – Fathers and Daughters

*=could go LEAD

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