2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actor

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED: JULY 9, 2015)

A lot of multiple actors from the same film in contention at the moment.  “Joy” has the likes of Bradley Cooper, Robert DeNiro, and Edgar Ramirez.  “The Hateful Eight” has seven of the hatefuls in the mix, which any of them can be a standout.  “Bridge of Spies” has veterans Alan Alda and Mark Rylance with newcomer Billy Magnussen in the mix.  “Genius” has Dominic West, Jude Law, and Guy Pearce all playing literary figures.  “Black Mass” has Benedict Cumberbatch, Kevin Bacon, and Joel Edgerton.  And more importantly, “Steve Jobs” has Jeff Daniels and Seth Rogen going for their mark.  And that’s without surprises like Harvey Keitel, receiving killer notices from “Youth” and John Cusack, who received career best notices for “Love & Mercy.”  Sit and wait.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Kurt Russell

"The Hateful Eight"
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Tarantino has done marvelous things for Supporting Actors and by early word and the looks of the film, Russel's characterl is said to be the standout.
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2. Jeff Daniels

"Steve Jobs"
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The fact that he's gone this long without an Oscar nomination is criminal. Maybe he can finally wash the stink of "Dumb & Dumber To."
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3. Tom Hardy

"The Revenant"
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With staggering performances in films like "Warrior" and "Bronson," Hardy hasn't found his way with the Academy yet. "Mad Max: Fury Road" could help him along the way.
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4. Ralph Fiennes

"A Bigger Splash"
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Missed out for "The Grand Budapest Hotel" and its been almost twenty years since he's been nominated. Opposite Tilda Swinton, he could make some noise.
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5. Harvey Keitel

"Youth"
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A veteran in supporting actor looks to good on paper. A previous nominee that could get lots of career votes. The word from Cannes was positive for him and the film.

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Benedict Cumberbatch

"Black Mass"
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Afterglow notices occur after an actor finally breaks into the Academy's graces. Heard a rumor that he's someone to watch out for.
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7. Mark Rylance

"Bridge of Spies"
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He looked like a possible standout in the trailer. Lots of internal competition. Disney backing could help.
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8. Samuel L. Jackson

"The Hateful Eight"
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Is Jackson a threat for his first Oscar? "Django" gave some hope and "Pulp" seems like ions ago. You never know.
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9. Steve Carell

"Freeheld"
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Playing a Gay rights activist and following his outstanding turn in "Foxcatcher," Carell could ride a wave of residual support.
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10. Christoph Waltz

"Tulip Fever"
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Back on the Harvey Weinstein team, and the role sounds like another sleazy one for him to chew on. Could he threaten for a third go-round?

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Dominic West

"Genius"
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Playing Ernest Hemingway. Oscar-bait role. Who knows who will stand out though? There are three literary figures in the film. They may all be glorified cameos.
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12. Billy Magnussen

"Bridge of Spies"
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There are rumors that say he's got the meatier role of the supporting cast. After "Into the Woods," you can never tell.
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13. Alan Alda

"Bridge of Spies"
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Lots of internal competition but so was the case when he was nominated for "The Aviator." He could have the vets backing him up if the film hits in a big way.
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14. Kevin Bacon

"Black Mass"
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"Black Mass" could have many possibilities for its actors. Kevin Bacon is an overdue veteran looking for recognition. Plays Charles McGuire.
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15. Bradley Cooper

"Joy"
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Playing a HSN network executive. He's three in a row. Watch out for another bout with director David O. Russell in tow.
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16. Robert DeNiro

"Joy"
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A legend in another David O. Russell film. That's all for now.
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15. Bradley Whitford

"I Saw the Light"
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Wild card entry. If the film hits big, he could be a pull in story.
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20. Emory Cohen

"Brooklyn"
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Cohen's breakout in "The Place Beyond the Pines" was quite memorable. The word for his work in "Brooklyn" out of Sundance was strong.
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19. Oscar Isaac

"Ex Machina"
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The guy is a machine right now. Cranking out great performance after great performance. He also has "Mojave" later this year which he's another standout. Though the genre isn't friendly to this category, the narrative is building substantially for the actor.
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20. Chris O'Dowd

"The Program"*
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The Lance Armstrong film that is directed by Stephen Frears but his role is considered a co-lead based on the story at hand. Could this funny guy muscle his way into an Oscar conversation?
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Benicio del Toro – “Sicario”

22 John Cusack – Love & Mercy“*

23 Kevin Kline – “Ricki and the Flash”

24 Cillian Murphy – “In the Heart of the Sea”

25 Chris Cooper – “Demolition”

26 Kyle Chandler – “Carol”

27 John Goodman – “Trumbo”

28 Seth Rogen – “Steve Jobs”

29 Billy Bob Thornton – “Our Brand is Crisis”

30 Bruce Dern – “The Hateful Eight”

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 George Clooney – “Money Monster”*

32 Jude Law – “Genius”

33 Guy Pearce – “Genius”

34 Dane DeHaan – “Life”*

35 Daniel Bruhl – “Adam Jones”

36 Michael Keaton – “Spotlight”

37 Mark Ruffalo – “Spotlight”

38 David Morse – “Concussion”

39 Gabriel Basso – “The Whole Truth”**

40 Jonathan Breck – “Everybody Wants Some”

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed back to 2016

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