2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actor

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED: FEBRUARY 20, 2015) – FINAL WINNER PREDICTIONS

People argue about which acting category is more “locked” up, Best Actress for Julianne Moore or Best Supporting Actor for J.K. Simmons.  In the end, Sony Pictures Classics could care less.  They’re getting two Oscar wins for their ponies.  The spoiler, and we’ll use that word loosely, is Edward Norton.  Mark Ruffalo likely gets lots of votes too.

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AND THE NOMINEES ARE

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1. J.K. Simmons

Whiplash
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At this point, he's just a runaway. Steamrolling at every award show thus far.
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2. Edward Norton

Birdman
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NBR winner and has proved to be a force for Simmons. There are ugly rumors that he isn't well liked within the Academy. Don't know if those are true but they could carry some weight for him winning.
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3. Mark Ruffalo

Foxcatcher
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While "Foxcatcher" was bleeding for a minute there, Ruffalo also always kept himself in the conversation. A once presumed frontrunner, he could be a surprise representation for the film.
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4. Ethan Hawke

Boyhood
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Oscar Sunday could be a "Boyhood" night and Hawke could be swept in for the night. He's also a song writer on "Split the Difference" which could also get him his first Oscar.
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5. Robert Duvall

The Judge
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After years of coming up sort, Duvall becomes the second oldest nominee ever.
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THE NEXT FIVE MISSES

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6. Steve Carell

Foxcatcher
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We know that surely Steve Carell received votes in supporting. Lead is where they chose.
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7. Josh Brolin

Inherent Vice
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What a pity. With his film showing up in some places, Brolin probably got a few citations.
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8. Christoph Waltz

Big Eyes
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They just didn't like 'Big Eyes'.
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9. Tom Wilkinson

Selma
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They nearly passed on "Selma" entirely plus he didn't get a good boost from those who did.
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10. Miyavi

Unbroken
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Mixed reception didn't do him any favors.
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OTHER TOP-TIER MISSES

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11. Chris Pine

Into the Woods
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So funny and steals the show in so many ways. If they are as surprised as the rest of the screening room was, then he could be a sneak attack.
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12. Charlie Cox

The Theory of Everything
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The film is coming on very strong right now and his performance is one the film's best parts, even standing next to Jones and Redmayne.
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13. Henry G. Sanders

Selma
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Has a very emotional and memorable scene in Ava DuVernay's film. He could factor in a la Ruby Dee in "American Gangster."
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14. Alfred Molina

Love is Strange
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Independent Spirit Awards cited him in Supporting with a few groups choosing to do so as well. Snubbed for "An Education" and "Frida" a few years ago and he's still without a nomination. Is he a spoiler?
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15. Andy Serkis

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
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Though this is category fraud, FOX may feel compelled to do something to finally get him a long overdue nomination.
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16. Logan Lerman

Fury
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Even though Lerman was a standout, he's only received one sole mention this season so far. He also missed Globe and SAG.
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17. Tyler Perry

Gone Girl
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People were surprised how charismatic and cool he was in the movie.
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18. Alec Baldwin

Still Alice
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Moore's performance is good enough to bring someone in as well but Baldwin really doesn't have "a scene" that is his.
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19. Charles Dance

The Imitation Game
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Veteran actor that could get swept in with a Best Picture frontrunner.
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20. John Goodman

The Gambler
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We're always talking about Goodman as a possible nominee....but it never happens.
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ALSO MISSED

21 Martin Short – Inherent Vice

22 Riz Ahmed – Nightcrawler

23 Tim Roth – Selma

24 Stan Houston – Selma

25 Matthew Goode – The Imitation Game

26 Michael Caine - Interstellar

27 Domhnall Gleeson – Unbroken

28 Tony Revolori – The Grand Budapest Hotel

29 Oscar Isaac – The Two Faces of January

30 Neil Patrick Harris – Gone Girl

OTHER MISSED

31 Albert Brooks – A Most Violent Year

32 Robert Pattinson – The Rover

33 James Gandolfini – The Drop

34 Johnny Depp – Into the Woods 

35 Dean Norris – Men, Women & Children

36 Toby Kebbell – Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

37 Chris O’Dowd – Calvary

38 Michael Fassbender – Frank

39 Elyes Gabel – A Most Violent Year

40 Jaeden Lieberher – St. Vincent

*=could go LEAD

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor and Owner of AwardsCircuit.com. Born in Bronx, NY to a Puerto Rican mother and Black father, he’s been criticizing film and television for over a decade. Clayton is a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Movie Awards. He's also an active member of New York Film Critics Online, the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards, and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. He has been quoted and appeared in various outlets that include the New York Times, CNN.com, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, The Wrap, Slash Film, and the Hollywood Reporter. He resides in New Jersey with his wife and two children.