2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actor

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED: DECEMBER 11, 2014)

We seem to have the standard five in place with Duvall, Hawke, Norton, Ruffalo, and Simmons.  Is there wiggle room for someone else.  Could be.  Josh Brolin is still on the table, Waltz’s nomination from the Globes in Lead helps, and Miyavi could still be in the equation.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. J.K. Simmons

Whiplash
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Has been sweeping the critics awards. It doesn't look like anything can stop him at this point. Enjoy the ride Mr. Simmons.
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2. Edward Norton

Birdman
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NBR winner and has proved to be a force for Simmons. There are ugly rumors that he isn't well liked within the Academy. Don't know if those are true but they could carry some weight, right?
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3. Ethan Hawke

Boyhood
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Oscar Sunday could be a "Boyhood" night and Hawke could be swept in for the night. He's also a song writer on "Split the Difference" which could also get him his first Oscar.
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4. Mark Ruffalo

Foxcatcher
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While "Foxcatcher" was bleeding for a minute there, Ruffalo also always kept himself in the conversation. A once presumed frontrunner, he could be a surprise representation for the film.
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5. Robert Duvall

The Judge
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A living legend that is riding in on his good name. The performance was also well liked despite poor reviews for the movie itself. Is he vulnerable though despite Golden Globe and SAG nods?
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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

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6. Christoph Waltz

Big Eyes
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Two-time Oscar winner at it again, stealing the show, and being all kinds of awesome. They could still continue the lovefest. Weinstein backing. The Golden Globe nomination in Lead Actor may help him a bit here.
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7. Tom Wilkinson

Selma
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If they love "Selma," this two-time nominee could walk right into a nomination. Do they love the movie THAT much?
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8. Miyavi

Unbroken
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Despite the film's mixed reception, many have praised his work. He needed SAG though to contend.
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9. Josh Brolin

Inherent Vice
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It's his best performance and he's so much fun in it. The word from AMPAS screenings is that they really love him in it. Dark horse?
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10. Charlie Cox

The Theory of Everything
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The film is coming on very strong right now and his performance is one the film's best parts, even standing next to Jones and Redmayne.
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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Henry G. Sanders

Selma
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Has a very emotional and memorable scene in Ava DuVernay's film. He could factor in a la Ruby Dee in "American Gangster."
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12. Alec Baldwin

Still Alice
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Moore's performance is good enough to bring someone in as well but Baldwin really doesn't have "a scene" that is his.
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13. Logan Lerman

Fury
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Even though Lerman was a standout, he's only received one sole mention this season so far. He also missed Globe and SAG.
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14. Chris Pine

Into the Woods
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So funny and steals the show in so many ways. If they are as surprised as the rest of the screening room was, then he could be a sneak attack.
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15. Andy Serkis

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
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Though this is category fraud, FOX may feel compelled to do something to finally get him a long overdue nomination.
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16. Martin Short

Inherent Vice
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Because people are talking about this as a possibility. I don't see it but you never know.
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17. Tyler Perry

Gone Girl
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People were surprised how charismatic and cool he was in the movie.
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18. Charles Dance

The Imitation Game
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Veteran actor that could get swept in with a Best Picture frontrunner.
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19. John Goodman

The Gambler
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We're always talking about Goodman as a possible nominee....but it never happens.
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20. Michael Caine

Interstellar
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He's the push from Paramount Pictures from the film. His he a factor at all?

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Matthew Goode – The Imitation Game

22 Tim Roth – Selma

23 Stan Houston – Selma

24 Domhnall Gleeson – Unbroken

25 Oscar Isaac – The Two Faces of January

26 Joel Edgerton – Exodus: Gods and Kings

27 Riz Ahmed – Nightcrawler

28 Tony Revolori – The Grand Budapest Hotel

29 Anthony Mackie – Black or White

30 Neil Patrick Harris – Gone Girl

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Albert Brooks – A Most Violent Year

32 Robert Pattinson – The Rover

33 James Gandolfini – The Drop

34 Johnny Depp – Into the Woods 

35 Dean Norris – Men, Women & Children

36 Toby Kebbell – Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

37 Chris O’Dowd – Calvary

38 Michael Fassbender – Frank

39 Elyes Gabel – A Most Violent Year

40 Jaeden Lieberher – St. Vincent

*=could go LEAD

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.