2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actor

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED: AUGUST 20, 2014)

Nothing much changed, which pretty much means that no answers have been put out about the year’s potentials.  I’m looking towards Tim Roth to be a possible standout in “Selma” while Domnhall Gleeson may be the breakout of “Unbroken.”  There are a little bit of rumblings of Dominic West in “Pride” as well.  This is all a mystery right now.  Bring on TIFF and NYFF. 

_________________________________________________________
AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

arrow

1. Mark Ruffalo

Foxcatcher
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Previous nominee for "The Kids are All Right." Has another praised performance in "Begin Again." Was said to be a true standout in Cannes.

AGAINST HIM: There's still a chance that Steve Carell joins him in a Supporting bid which may steal a lot of votes.

arrow

2. Edward Norton

Birdman (or the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Two nominations under his belt and he hasn't been in the hunt in over fifteen years. If co-star Michael Keaton is as great as we think he may be, he could pull someone like Norton in for the ride.

AGAINST HIM: How big is his part?

arrow

3. J.K. Simmons

Whiplash
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: A veteran who is said to deliver one of his best turns yet. In a category that loves to reward vets, he may be a near shoo-in..

AGAINST HIM: There's still no telling if the Sundance buzz will translate to all of the U.S.. This could be a smaller film which leaves him out.

arrow

4. Logan Lerman

Fury
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Trailer showed that he could be a standout. After being completely ignored for "The Perks of Being a Wallflower," this could be an entry way for him. Maybe this generation's Timothy Hutton?

AGAINST HIM: It's hard to standout in war films with this many male players. Look at people like Nick Nolte, Tom Sizemore, etc.

arrow

5. Robert Duvall

The Judge
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: A veteran who has proven that he still has it after all these years as we have seen in "The Road." Has what seems like a very complex, and complicated role.

AGAINST HIM: How much do the much publicized rewrites actually mean?.

close
COMMENTARY:
Content

_________________________________________________________
THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

arrow

6. Christoph Waltz

Big Eyes
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Two-time Academy Award winner in a villainous type role. This could be another great turn for him.

AGAINST HIM: Could go lead.

arrow

7. Josh Brolin

Inherent Vice
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Was semi-good in "Labor Day" and is looking for his second nomination following "Milk." If this Anderson film is a big player, someone could get swept in.

AGAINST HIM: Internal competition.

arrow

8. Domhnall Gleeson

Unbroken
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Has a lot of the tricks that warrant Oscar attention like massive weight loss. Early word is very positive.

AGAINST HIM: Rather unknown and has internal competition.

close
COMMENTARY:
Content
arrow

9. Tim Roth

Selma
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: Former Oscar nominee for "Rob Roy." Plays George Wallace, a pretty ruthless historical figure. Could be one to watch.

AGAINST HIM: It's co-lead-ish. May not buy it here.

arrow

10. James Corden

Into the Woods
close
COMMENTARY:

FOR HIM: It's a performance that is said to be borderline lead. He has some terrific songs as well. If they go for the film in a big way, could he "John C. Reilly" himself into the lineup?

AGAINST HIM: Rather unknown. This seems to be more about the ladies.

_________________________________________________________
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

arrow

11. John Lithgow

Love is Strange
close
info:
Outstanding performance that straddles the line of co-lead, which helps in Supporting.
arrow

12. Michael Shannon

99 Homes
close
info:
"Revolutionary Road" and "Take Shelter" were just the tip of the iceberg. This could be something substantial. Playing at TIFF.
arrow

13. James Franco

True Story
close
info:
Playing a murderer which could offer him some new and exciting things.
arrow

14. Albert Brooks

A Most Violent Year
close
info:
Because that "Drive" snub still stings for some.
arrow

15. Robert Pattinson

Map to the Stars
close
info:
Is beginning to show his range. He also has "Queen of the Desert." His "Twilight" days may be long behind him.
arrow

16. Adam Sandler

Men, Women, & Children
close
info:
Sandler has proven his talent in films like "Reign Over Me" and "Punch Drunk Love." Will Reitman push him over the edge?
arrow

17. Joel Edgerton

Exodus: Gods and Kings
close
info:
Surprisingly did not look terrible in the trailer. That's all we can say for now.
arrow

18. Dominic West

Pride
close
info:
Thomas McCarthy often gets very special things from his actors. His miss for "Ghost World" still remains inexcusable.
arrow

19. Tom Wilkinson

Selma
close
info:
Playing Lyndon B. Johnson. Baity role.
close
info:
Content
arrow

20. James Gandolfini

The Drop
close
info:
Another posthumous possibility.
close
info:
Content

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Takamasa Ishihara – Unbroken

22 Johnny Depp - Into the Woods

23 Paul Dano - Love & Mercy

24 Steve Buscemi – The Cobbler

25 Dustin Hoffman - The Cobbler

26 Stan Houston – Selma

27 Michael Fassbender – Slow West

28 Jon Bernthal – Fury

29 Michael Pena – Fury

30 Neil Patrick Harris – Gone Girl

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Oscar Isaac – Mojave

32 Peter Sarsgaard – Pawn Sacrifice

33 Ethan Hawke - Boyhood

34 Jason Schwartzman – Big Eyes

35 Ansel Elgort – Men, Women, & Children

36 Ed Harris – Cymbeline

37 Liev Schreiber – Pawn Sacrifice

38 Robert Pattinson – Queen of the Desert

39 Paul Giamatti - Madame Bovary

40 Chris Pine – Into the Woods

*=could go LEAD

GO AND CHECK OUT OTHER CATEGORIES:

PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

The following two tabs change content below.

Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.