2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
(UPDATED: JANUARY 25, 2015)
The standard five make it in. No real surprise there. Steve Carell surely got votes in Supporting but got enough to sustain in Lead Actor. Shame…he could have really contended/challenge fellow Sony Pictures Classics colleague J.K. Simmons. Edward Norton made a fine showing during the precursors but I think the real spoiler to Simmons is Ethan Hawke who could ride a “Boyhood” train on Oscar night. Mark Ruffalo and Robert Duvall will just enjoy the show.
AND THE NOMINEES ARE
1. J.K. Simmons Whiplash
At this point, he's just a runaway. Steamrolling at every award show thus far.
2. Ethan Hawke Boyhood
Oscar Sunday could be a "Boyhood" night and Hawke could be swept in for the night. He's also a song writer on "Split the Difference" which could also get him his first Oscar.
3. Edward Norton Birdman
NBR winner and has proved to be a force for Simmons. There are ugly rumors that he isn't well liked within the Academy. Don't know if those are true but they could carry some weight for him winning.
4. Mark Ruffalo Foxcatcher
While "Foxcatcher" was bleeding for a minute there, Ruffalo also always kept himself in the conversation. A once presumed frontrunner, he could be a surprise representation for the film.
5. Robert Duvall The Judge
After years of coming up sort, Duvall becomes the second oldest nominee ever.
THE NEXT FIVE MISSES
6. Steve Carell Foxcatcher
We know that surely Steve Carell received votes in supporting. Lead is where they chose.
7. Josh Brolin Inherent Vice
What a pity. With his film showing up in some places, Brolin probably got a few citations.
8. Christoph Waltz Big Eyes
They just didn't like 'Big Eyes'.
9. Tom Wilkinson Selma
They nearly passed on "Selma" entirely plus he didn't get a good boost from those who did.
10. Miyavi Unbroken
Mixed reception didn't do him any favors.
OTHER TOP-TIER MISSES
11. Chris Pine Into the Woods
So funny and steals the show in so many ways. If they are as surprised as the rest of the screening room was, then he could be a sneak attack.
12. Charlie Cox The Theory of Everything
The film is coming on very strong right now and his performance is one the film's best parts, even standing next to Jones and Redmayne.
13. Henry G. Sanders Selma
Has a very emotional and memorable scene in Ava DuVernay's film. He could factor in a la Ruby Dee in "American Gangster."
14. Alfred Molina Love is Strange
Independent Spirit Awards cited him in Supporting with a few groups choosing to do so as well. Snubbed for "An Education" and "Frida" a few years ago and he's still without a nomination. Is he a spoiler?
15. Andy Serkis Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Though this is category fraud, FOX may feel compelled to do something to finally get him a long overdue nomination.
16. Logan Lerman Fury
Even though Lerman was a standout, he's only received one sole mention this season so far. He also missed Globe and SAG.
17. Tyler Perry Gone Girl
People were surprised how charismatic and cool he was in the movie.
18. Alec Baldwin Still Alice
Moore's performance is good enough to bring someone in as well but Baldwin really doesn't have "a scene" that is his.
19. Charles Dance The Imitation Game
Veteran actor that could get swept in with a Best Picture frontrunner.
20. John Goodman The Gambler
We're always talking about Goodman as a possible nominee....but it never happens.
21 Martin Short – Inherent Vice
22 Riz Ahmed – Nightcrawler
23 Tim Roth – Selma
24 Stan Houston – Selma
25 Matthew Goode – The Imitation Game
26 Michael Caine - Interstellar
27 Domhnall Gleeson – Unbroken
28 Tony Revolori – The Grand Budapest Hotel
29 Oscar Isaac – The Two Faces of January
30 Neil Patrick Harris – Gone Girl
31 Albert Brooks – A Most Violent Year
32 Robert Pattinson – The Rover
33 James Gandolfini – The Drop
34 Johnny Depp – Into the Woods
35 Dean Norris – Men, Women & Children
36 Toby Kebbell – Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
37 Chris O’Dowd – Calvary
38 Michael Fassbender – Frank
39 Elyes Gabel – A Most Violent Year
40 Jaeden Lieberher – St. Vincent
*=could go LEAD
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