2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
(UPDATED: JANUARY 25, 2015)
Laura Dern prevailed over Rene Russo and Jessica Chastain. Patricia Arquette continues to win it all. Keira Knightley has Harvey Weinstein working for her behind the scenes and could push her forward in the end, don’t be surprised. Emma Stone needs “Birdman” to win Best Picture. Meryl Streep, for the first time, may be the #5 in the category. “Into the Woods” was just too even keel for the Academy to go for.
AND THE NOMINEES ARE
1. Patricia Arquette Boyhood
Is it a done deal for Arquette? Looks like it. Her speeches have been less than stellar but she has remained graceful throughout.
2. Emma Stone Birdman
Critics awards and a healthy campaign are things on her side. Can Michael Keaton pull some of her co-stars in?
3. Keira Knightley The Imitation Game
The Harvey machine is working for her. Is the Academy ready to crown this Hollywood star?
4. Laura Dern Wild
Beat out some big competition and even bigger odds to secure her second nomination in 25 years. It's a welcome back party for her. Is it too little too late for her to make headway?
5. Meryl Streep Into the Woods
She lasted the "Into the Woods" missing out on multiple key mentions. Number 4 Oscar looks to not come for this one.
THE NEXT FIVE MISSES
6. Rene Russo Nightcrawler
I'm pretty sure she was really close. She needed a better showing in the precursors to seal the deal. BAFTA came too late.
7. Jessica Chastain A Most Violent Year
Her miss is a combination of a little seen film and splitting with "Interstellar."
8. Naomi Watts St. Vincent
SAG came. That was the reward.
9. Tilda Swinton Snowpiercer
BFCA noticed but I doubt AMPAS watched it or would even go for this type of performance.
10. Carmen Ejogo Selma
She needed the precursors to go for her. She missed out on nearly everything and "Selma" needed more time to resonate.
OTHER TOP-TIER MISSES
11. Jessica Chastain Interstellar
Her screen time isn't as thick and she has "A Most Violent Year."
12. Carrie Coon Gone Girl
She's a standout of the film with a well-received television run on "The Leftovers." She missed everything she really needed for Oscar love.
13. Adriana Barraza Cake
If Aniston is on the table, this Oscar-nominated actress should get a few votes.
14. Katherine Waterston Inherent Vice
She has a very powerful and provocative scene in "Inherent Vice" but she's been overlooked all season.
15. Anna Kendrick Into the Woods
Meryl Streep is stealing all her thunder. She'll need to wait for her next film.
16. Kristen Stewart Still Alice
She's proved her worth in the independent spirit community with "Camp X-Ray," "Clouds of Sils Maria," and this. She just couldn't muscle up to the Globes and SAG.
17. Dorothy Atkinson Mr. Turner
A tragic role that some may be able to cling to.
18. Marion Bailey Mr. Turner
She's so sweetly wonderful in "Mr. Turner." She also has a role that some may sympathize with.
19. Vanessa Redgrave Foxcatcher
Veteran actress who delivers in a strong role with little screen time.
20. Viola Davis The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
Is terrific in "Rigby" and if "Get on Up" cannot get her the attention she deserves, this is a fine representation.
21 Octavia Spencer – Black or White
22 Jessica Lange – The Gambler
23 Imelda Staunton – Pride
24 Marisa Tomei – Love is Strange
25 Naomi Watts – Birdman
26 Viola Davis – Get on Up
27 Lorelei Linklater – Boyhood
28 Kim Dickens – Gone Girl
29 Tessa Thompson – Dear White People
30 Minnie Driver – Beyond the Lights
31 Oprah Winfrey – Selma
32 Sienna Miller – American Sniper
33 Greta Gerwig – The Humbling
34 Lorraine Toussaint – Selma
35 Kirsten Dunst – The Two Faces of January
36 Robin Wright – A Most Wanted Man
37 Kelly Reilly – Calvary
38 Uma Thurman – Nymphomaniac Vol. 1
39 Samantha Morton – Miss Julie
40 Emma Watson – Noah
*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed to 2015
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