2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

(UPDATED: SEPTEMBER 4, 2015)

It’s very unknown in this category who will be a standout and who will just stand.  Harvey Weinstein has two frontrunners in Jennifer Jason Leigh and Rooney Mara, which I’m sure makes him happy.  Rumblings have standouts like Meryl Streep (“Suffragette”), Diane Ladd (“Joy”), and Kate Winslet (“Steve Jobs”) saying they’re contending.  It’s always hard to tell and we still have plenty more to go.  Strap in.  

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Jennifer Jason Leigh

"The Hateful Eight"
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COMMENTARY:
Everyone sat and waited patiently to see if "Margot at the Wedding" was going to provide an opportunity to recognize this talented actress after missing out for "Georgia" (and many others). A role in Quentin Tarantino's film could be good enough for her to make a play.
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2. Rooney Mara*

"Carol"
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This former Oscar-nominee has been solid in nearly everything she's touched following. The Cannes reviews were very positive, resulting in the Best Actress win. Many consider the role a co-lead, which can do wonders for her in supporting. Will they buy it?
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3. Elizabeth Olsen

"I Saw the Light"
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They missed the boat on "Martha Marcy May Marlene" and she has a blockbuster under her belt this year with "Avengers: Age of Ultron." The supportive wife of Hank Williams can do wonders for her.
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4. Emayatzy Corinealdi

"Miles Ahead"**
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She replaced Zoe Saldana who was originally cast but this is a much more ambitious choice. Her work in "Middle of Nowhere" was a completely touching performance that if enough voters had saw the film, would have resulted in Oscar attention. The first wife of Miles Davis may provide an emotional arc that voters will love. Just needs distribution.
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5. Julie Walters

"Brooklyn"
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Sundance reviews cited her work alongside Ronan. Previous nominee and Fox Searchlight Picture backing.

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Kate Winslet

"Steve Jobs"
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She's in two high-profile projects this year. One may bring her back into the club.
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7. Elizabeth Banks

"Love & Mercy"
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Directed a financial hit with "Pitch Perfect 2" and she's one of the standouts from the first half of the year. This may start making more sense when the critics awards begin.
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8. Kristen Stewart

"Clouds of Sils Maria"
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As contenders are clearing out or unable to sustain, she's one that can rise to the top. Get ready for a big push.
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9. Amy Ryan

"Bridge of Spies"
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We have no idea how big her role is but if they bonkers for the film, they won't need it to be big. Think Catherine Keener in "Capote." Amy Ryan is a great talent who would deserve a second nomination in her career. Disney backing.
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10. Meryl Streep

"Suffragette"
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If "Ricki and the Flash" can't do it for her, this women's rights film can. There's internal competition though.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Melanie Laurent

"By the Sea"
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She's a wildcard. Don't know if her film is substantial enough. Call it a space filler for now.
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12. Helena Bonham Carter

"Suffragette"
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Early word was saying that her role is hefty but the same is being said for co-star Meryl Streep. Gotta go with the latter predictions wise.
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13. Diane Ladd

"Joy"
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Playing Jennifer Lawrence's mother. Could be our Jacki Weaver of the year.
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14. Rachel McAdams

"Spotlight"
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An early review compared her performance to a young Michelle Pfeiffer. That's a great place to start for her on the awards circuit.
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15. Diane Lane

"Trumbo"
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Another supportive wife role. Diane Lane's nomination for "Unfaithful" was one of the great citations by the Academy that year. She has the talent for one more.
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16. Jane Fonda

"Youth"
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Said to have a memorable, terrific scene in Paolo Sorrentino's follow-up to his Oscar winner. William Hurt-esque?
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17. Naomi Watts

"About Ray"
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Supportive mother to Elle Fanning's transgender teenager. As it looks that "The Sea of Trees" won't be a thing for her and "Demolition" moving to 2016, this is her best bet.
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18. Sarah Paulson

"Carol"
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Early word for her was good but it seems Mara got most of the big notices for a possible supporting player. However, this is a category that loves to double dip from the same film.
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19. Shailene Woodley

"Snowden"
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Playing Snowden's girlfriend. A role that can be very sympathetic. She's billed second and rumors say her role is pretty large.
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20. Laura Linney

"Genius"
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Because I think she's one nomination away from her own Oscar on her mantle.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Ellen Page – “Freeheld”

22 Joan Allen – “Room”

23 Judy Davis – “The Dressmaker”**

24 Keira Knightley – “Everest”

25 Jessica Chastain – “The Martian”

26 Rachel Weisz – “Youth”

27 Sienna Miller – “Burnt”

28 Katherine Waterston – “Steve Jobs”

29 Anne Marie Duff – “Suffragette”

30 Winona Ryder – “Experimenter”

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Toni Collette – “Miss You Already”

32 Ann Dowd – “Our Brand is Crisis”

33 Judi Dench – “Tulip Fever”**

34 Nicole Kidman – “Genius”*

35 Nicole Kidman – “Secret in their Eyes”

36 Renee Zellweger – “The Whole Truth”**

37 Melissa Leo – “Snowden”

38 Rose Byrne – “Spy”

39 Berenice Bejo – “The Childhood of a Leader”**

40 Rachel Weisz – “The Light Between Oceans”**

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed to 2016

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