2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

(UPDATED: JULY 28, 2014)

This is the category for double dipping from the same film.  “Into the Woods” has Emily Blunt and Anna Kendrick, “Men, Women, & Children” has Jennifer Garner and Judy Greer, “Birdman” has Emma Stone and Naomi Watts, “Inherent Vice” has Maya Rudolph and Jena Malone, and “Selma” has Oprah Winfrey and Carmen Ejogo.  Then there’s anyone from “Carol,” “Mr. Turner,” and “Suite Francaise” that could surprise in the form of Sarah Paulson, Lesley Manville, and Kristin Scott Thomas

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Julianne Moore

Map to the Stars
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: 4 Oscar nominations later this brilliant actress is still without. After winning at the Cannes Film Festival, this could finally get her that long overdue recognition.

AGAINST HER: We've been down this road before and she always comes up short. Also, she could be campaigned lead.

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2. Emily Blunt

Into the Woods
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: With performances like "The Devil Wears Prada," "The Young Victoria," and "Looper" under her belt, it's surprising this hasn't happened yet. A lead-ish role in supporting could do the trick.

AGAINST HER: Will they buy the campaign? The role was nominated Lead at the Tonys.

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3. Patricia Arquette

Boyhood
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: She takes on much of the emotion of the film on herself. She could be a great representation for the film.

AGAINST HER: The film is smaller and rather ambitious and the Academy has been known to ignore those types of films unfortunately. The campaign will be key.

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4. Anna Kendrick

Into the Woods
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Previous nominee for "Up in the Air" and continues to consistently deliver in blockbusters like "Pitch Perfect." This could be a winning ticket for her based on the role.

AGAINST HER: Internal competition, namely Meryl Streep and Emily Blunt who could both swing in this category.

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5. Jennifer Garner

Men, Women, & Children
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Mrs. Ben Affleck gave her finest performance in the last Jason Reitman film in which she starred. She was also probably a near miss last year for "Dallas Buyers Club" based on how great that film did.

AGAINST HER: Internal competition.

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COMMENTARY:
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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

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6. Jessica Chastain

A Most Violent Year
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Another interesting role that Chastain may be able to sink her teeth into (based on the rumors). It looks to be her year again.

AGAINST HER: Too many roles, especially if they're all good, will leave the Academy confused on a choice.

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COMMENTARY:
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7. Judy Greer

Men, Women, & Children
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: This great actress has been a dependable supporting player for years. I'm sure she siphoned votes from Shailene Woodley for "The Descendants." Teamed up with Jason Reitman might give her some much needed recognition.

AGAINST HER: Internal competition with Jennifer Garner. Will she get the shaft?

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8. Felicity Jones

The Theory of Everything
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: The supportive wife role is on full display here. Is there enough for Jones to crack the five?

AGAINST HER: This could go lead or be all about Redmayne.

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9. Keira Knightley

The Imitation Game
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Is in quite a bit of films this year. This Weinstein film could be her ticket to nomination #2.

AGAINST HER: Too many films can be overkill or cause a vote split.

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10. Emma Stone

Birdman
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: The film looks like an interesting mix of drama and weirdness. With the Cameron Crowe film out of the picture, is this her chance?

AGAINST HER: Naomi Watts, if she's a standout.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Vanessa Redgrave

Foxcatcher
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The mother role got some good ink. The "Atonement" and "Coriolanus" snub lingers.
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12. Kristen Scott Thomas

Suite Francaise
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She has this and "My Old Lady." One nomination under her name is not enough.
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13. Shohreh Aghdashloo

Rosewater
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The "repeat" by the magazine that went back in time had voters choose her over Renee Zellweger. That has nothing to do with this but there's some respect for her out there still.
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14. Carmen Ejogo

Selma
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Playing Coretta Scott King, another very well known supportive wife.
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15. Naomi Watts

Birdman
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As a love interest, she may have some key scenes.
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16. Laura Dern

Wild
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Has this, "The Fault in Our Stars" and "99 Homes." She's a busy lady these days.
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17. Kristen Stewart

The Clouds of Sils Maria
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The Cannes reception was good and she's proven herself before in films like "Into the Wild." Is she putting her stardom to good use?
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18. Oprah Winfrey

Selma
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Cause her name is Oprah.
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19. Jane Fonda

This is Where I Leave You
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This Oscar-winner doing something funny and sexy. The old men could be drooling.
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20. Jena Malone

Inherent Vice
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Cause somebody has to breakthrough in supporting. Could be her.

ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Carrie Coon – Gone Girl

22 Lesley Manville - Mr. Turner

23 Dorothy Atkinson - Mr. Turner

24 Sarah Paulson – Carol

25 Marisa Tomei – Love is Strange

26 Holly Hunter – Manglehorn

27 Melonie Diaz – The Cobbler

28 Vera Farmiga – The Judge

29 Krysten Ritter - Big Eyes

30 Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Imelda Staunton – Pride

32 Indira Varma – Exodus: Gods and Kings

33 Kristen Scott Thomas – My Old Lady

34 Kelly Reilly - Calvary

35 Sigourney Weaver - Exodus: Gods and Kings

36 Lily Rabe - Pawn Sacrifice

37 Anne Hathaway - Interstellar

38 Jessica Chastain – Interstellar

39 Maya Rudolph - Inherent Vice

40 Anne-Marie Duff – Suffragette

GO AND CHECK OUT OTHER CATEGORIES:

PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.