2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

(UPDATED: OCTOBER 21, 2014)

There’s really only about nine possibilities on the table at the moment but there are always contenders that emerge that we underestimate.  That could be any of the ladies from “Mr. Turner” or perhaps even a second “Birdman” woman with Naomi Watts.  I think we have to keep an eye on Kristen Stewart from “Still Alice” and maybe even Carrie Coon from “Gone Girl.”  They both have their fans that could make some noise for them. 

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Patricia Arquette

Boyhood
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: She takes on much of the emotion of the film on herself. She could be a great representation for the film.

AGAINST HER: The film is smaller and rather ambitious and the Academy has been known to ignore those types of films unfortunately. The campaign will be key.

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2. Keira Knightley

The Imitation Game
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Is in quite a bit of films this year. This Weinstein film could be her ticket to nomination #2. She has the role and the feisty persona that Oscar loves.

AGAINST HER: Too many films can be overkill or cause a vote split.

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3. Meryl Streep

Into the Woods
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: It's a meaty role and there's no denying that Oscar will write Meryl's name down for anything. Disney is preparing a very big campaign.

AGAINST HER: They do take Meryl breaks from time to time.

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4. Emma Stone

Birdman
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: The film looks like an interesting mix of drama and weirdness. With the Cameron Crowe film out of the picture, is this her chance?

AGAINST HER: Naomi Watts, if she's a standout.

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5. Jessica Chastain

Interstellar
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Stellar year and there are rumors starting to circle that this is a winning performance.

AGAINST HER: A winning performance in a science fiction film? I'll believe it when I see it. That doesn't stop a nomination from occurring though.

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COMMENTARY:
Content

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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

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6. Carmen Ejogo

Selma
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Playing Coretta Scott King is a massive opportunity for attention. The supportive wife is an Academy favorite.

AGAINST HER: How big will the role be? Will the Academy go for the film?Just lots of questions with no answers yet.

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7. Laura Dern

Wild
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Stellar year and there are rumors starting to circle that this is a winning performance.

AGAINST HER: A winning performance in a science fiction film? I'll believe it when I see it. That doesn't stop a nomination from occurring though.

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8. Katherine Waterston

Inherent Vice
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Daughter of veteran actor Sam Waterston, early word is that she's a standout in Paul Thomas Anderson's film. If they love it, Oscar would love to welcome a new face.

AGAINST HER: She does have internal competition and there's no telling if AMPAS will respond to it.

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9. Anna Kendrick

Into the Woods
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: Previous nominee for "Up in the Air" and continues to consistently deliver in blockbusters like "Pitch Perfect." This could be a winning ticket for her based on the role.

AGAINST HER: Internal competition, namely Meryl Streep and Emily Blunt who could both swing in this category.

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10. Sienna Miller

American Sniper
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COMMENTARY:

FOR HER: She has been a formidable talent over the years. Playing the supportive wife of Bradley Cooper, may give her a leg up. She is also great in "Foxcatcher.".

AGAINST HER: How large is her screen time?

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COMMENTARY:
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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Kristen Stewart

Still Alice
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Who would think we'd see her name in contention so many times this year, this soon?
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12. Carrie Coon

Gone Girl
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Plays Affleck's twin sister. She is second best in show. She could be a dark horse.
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13. Imelda Staunton

Pride
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FOR HER: Previous nominee for "Vera Drake" and has been in need of another role that people notice. She seems to have found it here.

AGAINST HER: Will enough people see the film?

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14. Rene Russo

Nightcrawler
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People may not remember how awesome she was in the 90's with films like "Lethal Weapon 3" and "Ransom." Many praised her turn out of TIFF. If Jake Gyllenhaal starts contending in a big way, she can easily come in for the ride (possibly even without him).
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15. Marion Bailey

Mr. Turner
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She's so sweetly wonderful in "Mr. Turner." She also has a role that some may sympathize with.
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16. Dorothy Atkinson

Mr. Turner
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A tragic role that some may be able to cling to.
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17. Naomi Watts

St. Vincent
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Russian, pregnant, prostitute. Everything Oscar can love.
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18. Melissa McCarthy

St. Vincent
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The word out of TIFF was very positive for her. Previous Oscar nominee for "Bridesmaids" that may just ride the wave back in. The "Tammy" reviews may detract some.
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19. Jessica Lange

The Gambler
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Trust me, if she shows any semblance of her old Oscar self, they will leap at the opportunity to get this recent Emmy-winner (and two-time Oscar winner) to the ceremony.
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20 Vanessa Redgrave

Foxcatcher
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Veteran actress who has two big snubs under her belt. Though with only two scenes, she's great in both.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Octavia Spencer – Black or White

22 Naomi Watts – Birdman

23 Viola Davis – Get on Up

24 Marisa Tomei – Love is Strange

25 Jennifer Garner – Men, Women & Children

26 Kirsten Dunst – The Two Faces of January

27 Kaitlyn Dever – Men, Women & Children

28 Kim Dickens – Gone Girl

29 Brie Larson – The Gambler

30 Lorelei Linklater – Boyhood

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Oprah Winfrey – Selma

32 Tilda Swinton – Snowpiercer

33 Lorraine Touissant – Selma

34 Krysten Ritter – Big Eyes

35 Indira Varma – Exodus: Gods and Kings

36 Shohreh Aghdashloo – Rosewater

37 Kelly Reilly – Calvary

38 Uma Thurman – Nymphomaniac Vol. 1

39 Robin Wright – A Most Wanted Man

40 Cameron Diaz – Annie

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed to 2015

GO AND CHECK OUT OTHER CATEGORIES:

PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.