2015 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress

2015 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

(UPDATED: DECEMBER 11, 2014)

SAG threw a curveball with Naomi Watts’ inclusion for “St. Vincent” and I’m not sure why or what it means.  Is it another chalk up for “Birdman” or do they genuinely love the performance?  It’d be interesting if she edged out Jessica Chastain, who missed out on SAG in her place but the Globes’ Supporting Actress lineup looks like the right one.  If there is wiggle room, Laura Dern (“Wild”) or even Rene Russo (“Nightcrawler”) could factor in.  There’s still the possibility for Carmen Ejogo from “Selma.” 

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Patricia Arquette

Boyhood
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It's one of the sure fire things to be nominated for Oscar. She's won a whole lot of awards including a Lead Actress prize from LAFCA. She's on her way.
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2. Meryl Streep

Into the Woods
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It's one of her freshest and interesting performances in sometime. Disney is backing and they believe they can win with her.
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3. Emma Stone

Birdman
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She has a critics award under her belt and she's arguably the best performance in the film. They do love their younger actresses.
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4. Keira Knightley

The Imitation Game
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She had the Hollywood Film Award to kick her off but she hasn't won anything else since. She's got Globe and SAG and that keeps her alive.
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5. Jessica Chastain

A Most Violent Year
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Her role is showy, fun, and vivacious. The SAG snub stings and I can't come up with a good enough genuine explanation for it except that the voting members didn't respond (which isn't a good thing). The Globe nod helps. I wonder if she wins the Globe?
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THE NEXT FIVE CONTENDERS

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6. Laura Dern

Wild
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I was shocked to see how many votes she received at NYFCO. She was also in the conversation at other awards groups too. She's a spoiler but no Globe and SAG are hard to overcome + her film isn't picking up Best Picture heat.
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7. Rene Russo

Nightcrawler
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Wildcard choice. Film is well liked. She's never been in the serious hunt before. I'd say she's a possible spoiler.
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8. Carmen Ejogo

Selma
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They're giving her the attention she needs but the lack of exposure at Globe and SAG is what she needed, even if it was in Ensemble.
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9. Naomi Watts

St. Vincent
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It was a shock to hear her name at SAG but here we are. Does it mean anything though? We'll see.
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10. Adriana Barraza

Cake
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Previous nominee who is just as effective as her co-star Aniston. Is she a possibility for the film as well.
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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Carrie Coon

Gone Girl
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She's a standout of the film with a well-received television run on "The Leftovers." She missed everything she really needed for Oscar love.
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12. Kristen Stewart

Still Alice
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She's proved her worth in the independent spirit community with "Camp X-Ray," "Clouds of Sils Maria," and this. She just couldn't muscle up to the Globes and SAG.
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13. Katherine Waterston

Inherent Vice
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She has a very powerful and provocative scene in "Inherent Vice" but she's been overlooked all season.
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14. Anna Kendrick

Into the Woods
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Meryl Streep is stealing all her thunder. She'll need to wait for her next film.
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15. Tilda Swinton

Snowpiercer
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Satellite nominee who stands out in a dark, demented film. You just never know.
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16. Jessica Chastain

Interstellar
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Her screen time isn't as thick and she has "A Most Violent Year."
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17. Dorothy Atkinson

Mr. Turner
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A tragic role that some may be able to cling to.
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18. Marion Bailey

Mr. Turner
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She's so sweetly wonderful in "Mr. Turner." She also has a role that some may sympathize with.
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19. Vanessa Redgrave

Foxcatcher
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Veteran actress who delivers in a strong role with little screen time.
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20. Viola Davis

The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby
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Is terrific in "Rigby" and if "Get on Up" cannot get her the attention she deserves, this is a fine representation.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Octavia Spencer – Black or White

22 Jessica Lange – The Gambler

23 Imelda Staunton – Pride

24 Marisa Tomei – Love is Strange

25 Naomi Watts – Birdman

26 Viola Davis – Get on Up

27 Lorelei Linklater – Boyhood

28 Kim Dickens – Gone Girl

29 Tessa Thompson – Dear White People

30 Minnie Driver – Beyond the Lights

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

31 Oprah Winfrey – Selma

32 Sienna Miller – American Sniper

33 Greta Gerwig – The Humbling

34 Lorraine Toussaint – Selma

35 Kirsten Dunst – The Two Faces of January

36 Robin Wright – A Most Wanted Man

37 Kelly Reilly – Calvary

38 Uma Thurman – Nymphomaniac Vol. 1

39 Samantha Morton – Miss Julie

40 Emma Watson – Noah

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed to 2015

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PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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Clayton Davis

Editor-in-Chief & Owner at The Awards Circuit
Clayton Davis started to write professionally in his sophomore year of college when Johnny Alba, the editor and owner of the old Oscar prediction site, The Oscar Igloo, had an opening for staff writers. Clayton wrote for The Igloo for nearly four years before being appointed editor and revamping and renaming The Oscar Igloo into the now popular mega-site, The Awards Circuit. Since then, Clayton has become a proud member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to awards season show, The Critics Choice Awards. Most recently, Clayton is a now an active member of the International Press Academy, which hosts the popular Satellite Awards as well as the newly integrated Broadcast Television Journalists Association, which hosts the Critics Choice Television Awards. In June 2014 he became the year's first accepted member to New York Film Critics Online. He has been quoted in various outlets (CNN.com, Bloomberg.com, TheWrap.com, AceShowbiz.com, SlashFilm.com, ScottFeinberg.com) and continues to raise the bar for film-talking enthusiasts around the globe.