2016 Oscar Predictions – Best Supporting Actress

2016 OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

(UPDATED: MAY 18, 2015)

Supporting Actress is a complete wildcard this year with plenty of possibilities with little information to go by.  The Cannes reviews for “Carol” has thrusted Rooney Mara into the mix.  By the sound of it, it looks to be a co-lead that will surely get campaigned supporting (this is the Weinsteins we’re talking about).  TWC also has Jennifer Jason Leigh from Quentin Tarantino’s “The Hateful Eight” as the only female role in a sea of men, she could stand out easily. As the “supportive wife” of Hank Williams, Elizabeth Olsen has a meaty role to chew on.  Rachel McAdams has a few shots at attention this year.  Hopefully one of them bites.  Kristen Stewart is still a viable contender for “Clouds of Sils Maria” and should have the critics on her side at the end of the year.   We also some vets in the mix including Joan Allen, Julie Walters, and possibly Annette Bening.  Jessica Chastain will have a few things to consider while Kate Winslet looks to get back in Oscar’s graces.  Lots of different directions this could go.

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AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

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1. Jennifer Jason Leigh

The Hateful Eight
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COMMENTARY:
Everyone sat and waited patiently to see if "Margot at the Wedding" was going to provide an opportunity to recognize this talented actress after missing out for "Georgia" (and many others). A role in Quentin Tarantino's film could be good enough for her to make a play.
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2. Rooney Mara

Carol
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COMMENTARY:
This former Oscar-nominee has been solid in nearly everything she's touched following. The Cannes reviews are quite positive for her and in a role that's considered by many to be a co-lead, it can do wonders for her in supporting. Will they buy it?
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3. Elizabeth Olsen

I Saw the Light
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They missed the boat on "Martha Marcy May Marlene" and she has a blockbuster under her belt this year with "Avengers: Age of Ultron." The supportive wife of Hank Williams can do wonders for her.
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4. Rachel McAdams

Spotlight
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COMMENTARY:
In a film that tells the story of revealing of sex abuse in the Catholic church, someone is bound to stand out. McAdams has been terrific the past few years and is on the verge on breaking through with Oscar.
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COMMENTARY:
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5. Melanie Laurent

By the Sea
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COMMENTARY:
The overlooked gem (or better yet, miscategorized) of "Inglourious Basterds" is back with a plum role in Angelina Jolie's next directorial effort. Call it a hunch that she stands out.

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THE NEXT FIVE

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6. Joan Allen

Room
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COMMENTARY:
Is it possible to get Julianne Moore and Joan Allen Oscars in back to back years? A "villainous" role could do the trick.
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7. Kristen Stewart

Clouds of Sils Maria
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COMMENTARY:
She is still a standout from the first half of the year. She could muscle her way in with a calculated campaign.
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8. Jessica Chastain

The Martian
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COMMENTARY:
With Chastain missing out for "A Most Violent Year," will they feel inclined to make it up to her for one of her many roles this year? Can Ridley Scott deliver magic for her? Time will tell.
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9. Kate Winslet

Steve Jobs
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COMMENTARY:
Oscar-winner taking a possible hot role that will welcome her back into the Oscar lineup.
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10. Julie Walters

Brooklyn
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COMMENTARY:
Nearly won for "Billy Elliot" and there was love for her out of Sundance.

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OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

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11. Sarah Paulson

Carol
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Early word for her was good but it seems Mara got most of the big notices for a possible supporting player. However, this is a category that loves to double dip from the same film.
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12. Laura Linney

Genius
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Because I think she's one nomination away from her own Oscar on her mantle.
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13. Nicole Kidman

Genius
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She's Nicole and they love her. Depends on how big her role is.
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14. Amy Ryan

Bridge of Spies
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Depends on how big her role is and how much Disney wants to push for her.
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15. Ellen Page*

Freeheld
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One half of a love couple. Could be one-two choice for the Academy. She also could go lead.
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16. Julia Roberts

Money Monster
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Oscar royalty in a Jodie Foster directed film with George Clooney and Jack O'Connell.
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17. Melissa Leo

Snowden
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Cause her "CONSIDER" campaign will be everywhere no matter what the reviews.
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18. Shailene Woodley

Snowden
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Playing Snowden's girlfriend. A role that can be very sympathetic.
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19. Judi Dench

Tulip Fever
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Harvey backing and they love Dench.
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20. Helena Bonham Carter

Suffragette
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Lots of internal competition but someone can standout.
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ALSO IN CONTENTION

21 Annette Bening – Untitled Howard Hughes Film**

22 Emayatzy Corinealdi – Miles Ahead**

23 Vanessa Bayer – Trainwreck

24 Renee Zellweger – The Whole Truth**

25 Adele Exarchopoulos – The Last Face**

26 Dakota Johnson – A Bigger Splash

27 Winona Ryder – Experimenter

28 Romola Garai – Suffragette

29 Meryl Streep – Suffragette

30 Toni Collette – Miss You Already

OTHER CONTENDERS

31 Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl*

32 Helen Mirren – Trumbo

33 Judy Davis – The Dressmaker**

34 Kirsten Dunst – Midnight Special

35 Rachel McAdams – Southpaw

36 Julia Roberts – The Secret in their Eyes

37 Berenice Bejo – The Childhood of a Leader

38 Julianne Moore – Map to the Stars

39 Keira Knightley – Everest

40 Gugu Mbatha-Raw – Concussion

*=could go LEAD
**=could be pushed to 2015

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