2018 Oscar Predictions –

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

(UPDATED – MAY 1, 2017)

Supporting Actors can emerge from any nook or cranny of a picture, which this can be very difficult when looking this far out.  Overdue veterans like Michael Shannon (“The Current War”), Ed Harris (“Mother!”), and Bruce Dern (“Chappaquiddick”) could be in play this year.  We could be in store for some unexpected players to pop up with notices like Mark Hamill (“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”) and/or Zac Efron (“The Greatest Showman”).  If Sylvester Stallone’s nomination in “Creed” taught us anything, it is you can get a nomination for anything, at any point in your career, no matter what proceeded before it.  We already have some contenders with buzz like Jason Mitchell (“Mudbound”).  Can that carry to the end of the year?

    AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Woody Harrelson
    "The Glass Castle" (Lionsgate)

  2. Michael Shannon
    "The Current War" (The Weinstein Company)

  3. Steve Carell
    "Battle of the Sexes" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

  4. Jason Mitchell
    "Mudbound" (Netflix)

  5. Sterling K. Brown
    "Marshall" (Open Road)

  6. THE NEXT FIVE:

  7. Mark Hamill
    "Star Wars: The Last Jedi" (Walt Disney Pictures)

  8. Oscar Isaac
    "Suburbicon" (Paramount Pictures)

  9. Ed Harris
    "Mother!" (Paramount Pictures)

  10. John Hurt
    "Darkest Hour" (Focus Features)

  11. Idris Elba
    "Molly's Game" (STX Entertainment)

  12. TOP-TIER CONTENDERS:

  13. Joaquin Phoenix
    "Mary Magdalene" (Universal Pictures)

  14. Richard Graham
    "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film" (Focus Features)

  15. Bruce Dern
    "Chappaquiddick" (No U.S. Distribution)

  16. Garrett Hedlund
    "Mudbound" (Netflix)

  17. Zac Efron
    "The Greatest Showman" (20th Century Fox)

  18. Woody Harrelson
    "Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

  19. Alessandro Nivola
    "You Were Never Really Here" (Amazon Studios)

  20. Tom Hardy
    "Dunkirk" (Warner Bros.)

  21. Sam Rockwell
    "Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

  22. Justin Timberlake
    "Wonder Wheel" (Amazon Studios)

  23. OTHER CONTENDERS

  24. Chiwetel Ejiofor
    "Mary Magdalene" (Universal Pictures)

  25. Jean-Louis Tringnant
    "Happy End" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  26. Tahar Rahim
    "Mary Magdalene" (Universal Pictures)

  27. Ben Kingsley
    "War Machine" (Netflix)

  28. Jeffrey Tambor
    "The Death of Stalin" (IFC Films)

  29. Tony Goldwyn
    "Felt" (Universal Pictures)

  30. Sam Rockwell
    "Woman Walks Ahead" (No U.S. Distribution)

  31. Harrison Ford
    "Blade Runner 2049" (Warner Bros.)

  32. Sean Penn
    "The Professor and the Madman" (No U.S. Distribution)

  33. Joel Edgerton
    "Untitled Nash Edgerton Project" (STX Entertainment)

  34. OTHER POSSIBILITIES

  35. Max Greenfield
    "The Glass Castle" (Lionsgate)

  36. Michael Shannon
    "The Shape of Water" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

  37. Richard Jenkins
    "The Shape of Water" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

  38. Oscar Isaac
    "The Promise" (Open Road)

  39. Josh Gad
    "Marshall" (Open Road)

  40. Will Poulter
    "Detroit" (Annapurna Pictures)

  41. Ben Stiller
    "Yeh Din Ka Kissa" (No U.S. Distribution)

  42. Jake Gyllenhaal
    "Okja" (Netflix)

  43. Topher Grace
    "Under the Silver Lake" (A24)

  44. Patrick Stewart
    "Logan" (20th Century Fox)

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

Ashton Sanders, “Inner City” (Sony Pictures) — Ben Foster, “Hostiles” (No U.S. Distribution)  — Colin Farrell, “Inner City” (Sony Pictures) — David Thewlis, “The Mercy” (No U.S. Distribution) — Domnhall Gleeson, “Mother!” (Paramount Pictures) — Douglas Booth, “Mary Shelley” (No U.S. Distribution) — Jack Reynor, “Detroit” (Annapurna Pictures) — Jacob Tremblay, “The Book of Henry” (Focus Features) — James McAvoy, “Atomic Blonde” (Focus Features) — Jesse Plemons, “Hostiles” (No U.S. Distribution) — Josh Brolin, “The Legend of Whitetail Deerhunter” (No U.S. Distribution) — Josh Brolin, “Suburbicon” (Paramount Pictures) — Kenneth Branagh, “Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.) — Lucas Hedges, “Lady Bird” (No U.S. Distribution) — Mark Rylance, “Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.) — Matthew McConaughey, “The Dark Tower” (Sony Pictures) — Michael Fassbender, “Song to Song” (Broad Green Pictures) Michael Keaton, “American Assassin” (Lionsgate) — Steve Carell, “Last Flag Flying” (No U.S. Distribution) —  Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me By Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)* — Wes Studi, “Hostiles” (No U.S. Distribution) 

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE |DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING |
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
| ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |
| DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE |

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  • J2020

    My Predictions:
    Michael Shannon – The Current War
    Ed Harris – Mother
    Jason Mitchell – Mudbound
    Michael Stulhbarg – Call me by your name
    Sam Rockwell – TBOEM

  • Rodrigo Martins Damasceno

    Patrick Stewart?
    Don’t in play?

  • Justin Logan

    There was a recent screening of Suburbicon and apparently Josh Brolin got cut from the film. BUT word of mouth was very positive on the movie and apparently Oscar Isaac is the big breakout supporting performance.

  • AwardsWatch

    Where’s Steve Buscemi for Lean on Me?

  • Sybie

    Top Contenders
    Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
    Michael Shannon – The Current War
    Sterling K. Brown – Marshall
    Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
    Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle
    Other Contenders
    Tom Hardy – Dunkirk
    Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
    Justin Timberlake – Wonder Wheel
    Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon
    Donal Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker

  • Alan

    In my humble opinion, Patrick Stewart deserves the nomination.

  • Logan rumo ao Oscar

    Logan

  • Kian

    Probably my most unsure list:
    1. Michael Shannon – “The Current War”
    2. Michael Stuhlbarg – “Call Me by Your Name”
    3. Ben Mendelsohn – “Darkest Hour”
    4. Ed Harris – “Mother!”
    5. Idris Elba – “Molly’s Game”

  • Kian

    Probably my most unsure list:
    1. Michael Shannon – “The Current War”
    2. Joaquin Phoenix – “Mary Magdalene”
    3. Michael Stuhlbarg – “Call Me by Your Name”
    4. Ben Mendelsohn – “Darkest Hour”
    5. Idris Elba – “Molly’s Game”

  • Davey

    Armie Hammer belongs in this category.

  • Bill

    Rob Morgan has the most hype in this category for Mudbound

  • dany carrillo

    The lost city of z, has no possibility of nomination?

  • Tee

    I can’t see Jason Mitchell and Sterling K. Brown making waves in a realistic awards season. If anything, these are going to be springboard years for them. I think Idris Elba’s got the narrative for a first time nomination, and we’re underrating the Overdue factor for Joaquin Phoenix, and a posthumous nomination for an actor of Hurt’s caliber and film type is hardly outside the box.

  • Bryce

    Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
    John Hurt – Darkest Hour
    Mark Hamill – Star Wars Last Jedi
    Michael Shannon – Current War
    Patrick Stewart – Logan

    I feel like this year, the Supporting Actor category is going to be filled with actors doing swan songs. Harrison Ford returning for Blade Runner since it’s predecessors release in 1982 (correct me if I’m wrong), John Hurt’s final film, Mark Hamill’s return to the Star Wars franchise, and Patrick Stewart’s final outing as Charles Xavier in Logan. The only non-swan song nomination is Michael Shannon in Current War.