2018 Oscar Predictions –

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

(UPDATED – MARCH 31, 2017)

Lots of “original” ideas are on the table like the story of a man shrinking himself (“Downsizing”) or a janitor falling in love with an aquatic man (“The Shape of Water”).  With that, there are beloved writers in the mix like Woody Allen (“Wonder Wheel”), Paul Thomas Anderson (“Untitled Project”), and the Coen Brothers, teamed with George Clooney and Grant Heslov (“Suburbicon”).  There’s also some animation (“Coco”) along with last year’s team behind “The Lobster.”

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    AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project" (Focus Features)
    Paul Thomas Anderson

  2. "Darkest Hour" (Focus Features)
    Anthony McCarten

  3. "Suburbicon" (Paramount Pictures)
    George Clooney, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Grant Heslov

  4. "Downsizing" (Paramount Pictures)
    Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor

  5. "Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
    Martin McDonagh

  6. THE NEXT FIVE:

  7. "Battle of the Sexes" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
    Simon Beaufoy

  8. "Untitled Kathryn Bigelow-Detroit Riots Project" (Annapurna Pictures)
    Mark Boal

  9. "Dunkirk" (Warner Bros.)
    Christopher Nolan

  10. "Coco" (Pixar)
    Adrian Molina

  11. "The Killing of a Sacred Deer" (A24)
    Efthymis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos

  12. TOP-TIER CONTENDERS:

  13. "The Shape of Water" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
    Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor

  14. "The Solutrean" (Sony Pictures)
    Dan Wiedenhaupt

  15. "The Current War" (The Weinstein Company)
    Michael Mitnick

  16. "Untitled A.A. Milne Project" (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
    Frank Cottrell Boyce, Simon Vaughan

  17. "Happy End" (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Michael Haneke

  18. "Mother!" (Paramount Pictures)
    Darren Aronofsky

  19. "The Greatest Showman" (20th Century Fox)
    Michael Arndt, Jenny Bicks, Bill Condon

  20. "Wonder Wheel" (Amazon Studios)
    Woody Allen

  21. "Felt" (Universal Pictures)
    Peter Landesman

  22. "Tully" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Diablo Cody

  23. OTHER CONTENDERS

  24. "Mute" (Netflix)
    Michael Robert Johnson, Duncan Jones, Damon Peoples

  25. "Wind River" (The Weinstein Company)
    Taylor Sheridan

  26. "Okja" (Netflix)
    Bong Joon-ho, Jon Ronson

  27. "Under the Silver Lake" (A24)
    David Robert Mitchell

  28. "Hostiles" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Donald E. Stewart, Scott Cooper

  29. "Lady Bird" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Greta Gerwig

  30. "Ismael's Ghosts" (Magnolia Pictures)
    Arnaud Desplechin, Lea Mysius, Julie Peyr

  31. "The Book of Henry" (Lionsgate)
    Gregg Hurwitz

  32. "Get Out" (Paramount Pictures)
    Jordan Peele

  33. "High Wire Act" (Caravan Pictures)
    Tony Gilroy

  34. OTHER POSSIBILITIES:

  35. "Granite Mountain" (Lionsgate)
    Ken Nolan, Eric Warren Singer

  36. "The Mercy" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Scott Z. Burns

  37. "Mary Shelley" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Emma Jensen, Conor McPherson

  38. "The Florida Project" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Sean Baker, Chris Bergoch

  39. "The Legacy of a Whitetail Deerhunter" (No U.S. Distribution)
    John Carcieri, Jody Hill, Danny McBride

  40. "It Comes at Night" (A24)
    Trey Edward Shults

  41. "Journeyman" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Paddy Considine

  42. "Yeh Din Ka Kissa" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Noah Baumbach

  43. "The Lovers" (A24)
    Azazel Jacobs

  44. "Roma" (No U.S. Distribution)
    Alfonso Cuaron

UNRANKED CONTENDERS

“Brawl in Cell Block 99” (No U.S. Distribution) – S. Criag Zahler; “The Dinner” (The Orchard) – Oren Moverman; “Song to Song” (Broad Green Pictures) – Terrence Malick; “Zoe” (No U.S. Distribution) – Richard Greenberg

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE |DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
| PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING |
| MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
| ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |
| DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE |

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  • Mister Sushi

    I really think Get Out has a strong chance in this category. Jordan Peele’s screenplay is brilliant.

    • Tee

      I would feel strong about it if there weren’t two huge factors going against it:
      1. It’s a horror film- the Oscars avoid those like the plague even more than comedies or superhero films.
      2. It’s still very early in the year- it’d need to last against a lot of competition, and I don’t see it having that staying power.

      • Mister Sushi

        True, I just see it being higher on the list. Also, Get Out is also a comedy, and it seems there’s usually a spot saved for a comedy in the Original Screenplay category. Not saying Get Out is the one to take that spot, just pointing it out.