UPDATED – JANUARY 17, 2017 – The official eligible films have been submitted and shockingly “Arrival” was omitted, as was “Manchester by the Sea” and “Silence.”  I think “La La Land” just locked this up unless “Rogue One” or “Lion” have something to say about it.

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

  1. La La Land” – Justin Hurwitz
  2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” – Michael Giacchino
  3. Lion” – Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka
  4. Moonlight” – Nicholas Britell
  5. Nocturnal Animals” – Abel Korzeniowski

THE NEXT FIVE

  1. Florence Foster Jenkins” – Alexandre Desplat
  2. Jackie” – Mica Levi
  3. Kubo and the Two Strings” – Dario Marianelli
  4. The BFG” – John Williams
  5. Moana” – Mark Mancina

OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS

  1. The Jungle Book” – John Debney
  2. Finding Dory” – Thomas Newman
  3. The Light Between Oceans” – Alexandre Desplat
  4. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” – James Newton Howard
  5. Patriots Day” – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
  6. Hacksaw Ridge” – Rupert Gregson-Williams
  7. Hell or High Water” – Nick Cave and Warren Ellis
  8. Hail, Caesar!” – Carter Burwell
  9. Loving” – David Wingo
  10. Denial” – Howard Shore

ALSO IN CONTENTION

  1. The Founder” – Carter Burwell
  2. Allied” – Alan Silvestri
  3. The Birth of a Nation” – Henry Jackman
  4. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” – Jeff Danna, Mychael Danna
  5. Zootopia” – Michael Giacchino
  6. Sausage Party” – Alan Menken
  7. Live By Night” – Harry Gregson-Williamson
  8. Julieta” – Alberto Iglesias
  9. The Witch” – Mark Korven
  10. Passengers” – Thomas Newman

UNRANKED CONTENDERS IN PLAY

**=could be pushed back to 2017

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  • Hey Clayton, when are you going to publish the first staff predictions?

  • #UnderTheSkin is my fav score of the year so far.

  • Johann Johannsson credited the score for The Prisoners. While Thomas Newman did for Skyfall.

  • wishing John Powell for HTTYD2 was getting the nom. Another great work.

  • Iso Ns

    I think Doctor Strange might have a chance(Michael Giacchino does the score) and the last trailer of strange has a very good score.
    As a longshot I would consider also Midnight Special. Simple score but considerable.

  • Frank Hogan

    I Counted 11 POSSIBLE Nominations And Awards For “The Birth Of A Nation” from Your Above Lists if They were To Materialize into Nominations in January And Then Go on to be ACTUAL Awards at the Ceremony itself, I for one would be Over The Moon because I’ve been tracking this Movie since January This Year when I read about the Sundance Success on Yahoo.

  • Jonathan

    Since Thomas Newman is the confirmed composer for “Passengers”, I could definitely see him as a double nominee threat (maybe even winning for “Passengers”)

  • Emil Petrov

    You should move (“Moonlight” – Nicholas Britell) waaaay up. Director confirmed the music in the trailer is original by Britell for the movie. And it is glorious!

  • Samyak Nagar

    A.R.Rahman’s Pele? It was a mind blowing original score

  • Brady Smith

    After seeing the second trailer for Assassin’s Creed with behind the scenes footage, I think you have to raise up its position. The score is incredible, just listen to it yourself. I think that movie’s going to sideline a lot of people.

  • Jonathan

    I really hope “The Jungle Book” is recognized here – beautiful score.

  • I wonder if Desplat’s score for FFJ will be disqualified due to extensive use of pre-existing period music in the film.

  • 00sas

    Where on Earth is Batman v Superman by Hans Zimmer? That’s the best score for 2017… I know the movie was the shitties thing possible, but the OST… OmG. That guy is without a doubt a genius.

    • Jonathan

      He wasn’t nominated for “Man of Steel”, which in my opinion was a better score, so he definitely isn’t making it in for “Batman v Superman”.

      • 00sas

        Man of Steel was a better score? You’re joking right? I can’t sleep without listening to the “Beautiful Lie”. That alone worth the best score… Oh well, we all know that “Oscar” is only a farce. It’s nothing but crap… No genuine judging.

        • Reece

          No it’s not. Batman v. Superman score was fine, but it doesn’t compare to that of Lion and Arrival. If the Academy Awards are so “false” than how come it’s the most watch and most popular awards show in history?

          • Reab Niloc

            I’m not sure about “Most Watched” but definitely most buzzed and talked about.

    • BvS isn’t getting anywhere near the Oscars, no matter how much you like its music. It’s just a critically pummeled summer blockbuster. Zimmer has a better shot with Hidden Figures, which falls right in AMPAS’ wheelhouse.

    • BTS

      “Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice” by Tom Holkenborg (as Junkie XL) and Hans Zimmer is an amazing score. Which sadly, for many, overshadows the movie. It’s great to listen by itself, one of my top ten of the year, but when it’s put next to the film, it works in some parts of the movie and in others it overshdows it. But that’s my opinion and why it has a hard time getting the attention it needs to be at least highly considered. Unless it’s gets major nominations from other award groups, I think it does have a chance, until then, we should wait and see.

      • 00sas

        Exactly! Finger’s crossed for GG!

        PS. Try Planet Earth II OST (Hans had a hand in). And the first series while at it. They’re simply marvelous (specially next to the documentary itself.)

  • 00sas

    So technically speaking, how do they decide, the best score in the “Oscar”?

    • BTS

      This is what the Academy states in their rulebook:
      Definition: “An original score is a substantial body of music that serves as original dramatic underscoring and is written specifically for the motion picture by the submitting composer.”

      And this is their voting guideline:

      IV. VOTING
      A. Works shall be judged on their effectiveness, craftsmanship, creative substance and relevance to the dramatic whole, and only as presented within the motion picture. Extended, revised, enhanced or alternate versions outside of the film shall not be considered.

      B. A Reminder List of works submitted and a nominations ballot for the Original Score category (and Original Musical category, if activated) will be made available to all members of the Music Branch, who shall vote in the order of their preference for not more than five achievements in each category.

      D. In all three categories, the five achievements receiving the highest number of votes will become the nominations for final voting for the award.

      H. Final voting for each category shall be restricted to active and life Academy members.

      • 00sas

        Tnx.

  • Charles Bright

    How come no mention of the score from “Elle” composed by Anne Dudley? She is a previous Oscar winner for “The Full Monty” back in 1997.

  • Oliva Sullen

    Swiss Army Man soundtrack was nothing short of original

  • Jordan De Pass

    They need to give it to Nocturnal Animals

  • Tobey

    I believe that Jackie score deserves to be top 2. Outstanding

  • John Williams

    You guys seem a little low on Mica Levi’s score for Jackie. I’d say that would make it over Nocturnal Animals.

  • Satin

    How is Rogue One even eligible with preexisting JW’s themes? Isn’t it against the Academy rules?
    Johannsson’s contribution to Arrival was much more original, and yet disqualified because of Max Richter’s song.

  • Satin

    Nocturnal Animals and Moonlight should be higher.

  • Bryce

    BFG
    La La Land
    Moonlight
    Nocturnal Animals
    Rogue One

    La La Land wins

  • Pokermask

    Here are my predictions for Best at the moment:
    The BFG (John Williams)
    Jackie (Mica Levi)
    La La Land (Justin Hurwitz)
    Lion (Hauschka, Dustin O’Halloran)
    Moonlight (Nicholas Britell)

    Top choice: La La Land

  • Jacques

    It excites me to see some new faces to the original score world. Plus I am very proud of Giacchino for his work on rogue one, he did an excellent job of keeping the star wars theme similar to John Williams’. Still pissed that Johansson is ineligible for arrival, although I completely understand why and thats just a shame. I’m gonna be rooting for either Britell or Korzeniowski, they both very much deserve a nod for their incredulous work.

  • Mangesh Gaikwad

    # Score ::
    1.La La Land

    2.Moonlight
    3.Lion
    4.Rogue One
    &
    5.Jackie /Nocturnal Animals

  • Satin

    How is La La Land even eligible for Best Score? Most of its score is derived from the songs.
    Best Song is a separate category for a reason. An average Academy member can’t tell the difference between a song and an original score, and a song would always win.

  • There’s no way in hell all those four never previously nominated folks will get in. The music branch is one of the most tightly knit in the Academy. The usual suspects are always nominated. Expect John Williams and Alexandre Desplat to make a showing.