DIRECTING
COMMENTARY:
Michel Hazanavicius won the Directors Guild Award which matters most. Martin Scorsese won the Golden Globe Award which in the past years has meant nothing (David Fincher, Julian Schnabel to name a few past winners). Woody Allen has won this award before and is the likely winner in the Screenplay category. “The Descendants” has nothing really going for it anymore beside an outside chance of George Clooney and perhaps Adapted Screenplay. Terrence Malick is a likely upset. After many years of creating visual brilliance Malick has defied the odds and got cited by the Academy. It’s just a matter of time before they want to throw him a bone. What hurts is we all know he won’t be there.
POSITION |
AND THE NOMINATED DIRECTORS ARE.. |
| 1 | Michel Hazanavicius for “The Artist” |
| 2 | Terrence Malick for “The Tree of Life” |
| 3 | Martin Scorsese for “Hugo” |
| 4 | Alexander Payne for “The Descendants” |
| 5 | Woody Allen for “Midnight in Paris” |
THE FINAL PREDICTIONS WERE…
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Michel Hazanavicius- |
Martin Scorsese- |
Woody Allen- |
Terrence Malick- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
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AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM:: |
AGAINST HIM: |
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THE NEXT FIVE |
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Alexander Payne- |
Nicolas Winding Refn- |
David Fincher- |
George Clooney- |
Tate Taylor- |
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FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
FOR HIM: |
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AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
AGAINST HIM: |
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ALSO IN CONTENTION |
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Bennett Miller- |
Tomas Alfredson- |
Asghar Farhadi- |
Stephen Daldry- |
Lynne Ramsay- |
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Steve McQueen- |
Clint Eastwood- |
Sean Durkin- |
Jeff Nichols- |
Jason Reitman- |
TRACKER |
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JANUARY 22, 2012 |
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Woody Allen- |
Michel Hazanavicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Martin Scorsese- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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DECEMBER 15, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Michel Hazanavicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Martin Scorsese- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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NOVEMBER 20, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Michel Hazanavicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Alexander Payne- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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OCTOBER 28, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Michel Hazanavicus- |
Terrence Malick- |
Alexander Payne- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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OCTOBER 15, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Michael Hazanavicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Alexander Payne- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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OCTOBER 1, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Michel Hazanvicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Alexander Payne- |
Steven Spielberg- |
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SEPTEMBER 11, 2011 |
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Stephen Daldry- |
Clint Eastwood- |
Michel Hazanvicius- |
Terrence Malick- |
Steven Spielberg- |
18 Comments
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I think Refn is already getting enough buzz and when the movie comes out, its going to soar. I don’t think Spielberg will score a nomination, I think they’ve grown past him. I also think they’ve gotten over Eastwood, and with Million Dollar Baby being less then 10 years away, I don’t think he’ll get much recognition. I can see DiCaprio getting an acting nod, Dustin Lance Black getting a writing nod, and maybe even a Best Picture…but I dont see this limited of a category with this much young talent will include him or Spielberg. The Academy has been trying to appeal to a younger audience for a while now. (James Franco and Anne Hathaway hosting last year.)
I think Alexander Payne will be nominated for Best Director and Best Screenplay (and may win the oscar for this one)
My current guesses:
David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tatoo *WINNNER*
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Nicolas Winding Refn – Drive
Steven Spielberg – War Horse
This category is getting very, very interesting. Right now it’s plain speculation. Payne so far has the only watched movie which gave him high praises. Malick might end up like Julian Schnabel. Everybody else is a big if. Watch out for Bennett Miller, and Steve McQueen.
what happened ot Nicolas Winding Refn for “drive”. Probably the best directed film I’ve seen this year.
I still have the same 5 I’ve been predicting for the past couple of months:
Thomas Alfredson
David Cronenberg
Alexander Payne
Jason Reitman
Steven Spielberg
Why is Moneyball behind Paris and Ides? I think it has been much better received than both, or rather more enthusiastically received. And I think that enthusiasm comes from the filmmaking not acting
@nymetsman00, not quite. The enthusiasm for “Moneyball” comes mostly from a production angle. The film has been in many dire situations, and one can say it got a miraculous resurrection after Pitt joined in the production. “Midnight In Paris” can be called the best film of the summer since it did considerably better putting forth the fact that it was being played in so few locations. Paired with blockbusters, some of which didn’t even turn so much as a profit. “Ides of March” has Clooney type of seriousness and respect. Don’t forget when it comes to a showdown between Pitt and Clooney the latter will always win based on the fact that he has not only a Directing nomination but a golden statue for acting which Pitt lacks.
Anyways, back to the list. I found very interesting the introduction of Hazanavicious to the list since most bloggers and predictors keep crossing him off based on his newbie status. Which I personally find funny based on the fact that last year’s Oscar winner for Director was also called a newbie and crossed off early in the game, until you know he wasn’t so new anymore. This race is very competitive this year, to the point where it is not even clear who will be nominated for what. Malick is an interesting choice because it’s wishful thinking. It could happen, but it very rarely does for this sort of scenario nowadays. To me Payne is the front-runner with Malick and Hazanavicious both fighting for the second spot. Allen is someone who can easily be compensated through the screenwriting department without being offended by a directing snub. Cronenberg, Alfredson and Refn have lost steam considerably, with the latter holding on for dear life with his Cannes’ award for directing has a last form of buzz. There is still room for some shake ups, specially from Mcqueen and Fincher.
My Picks: Steven Spielberg for War Horse, Nicolas Wending Refn for Drive, David Fincher for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Michael Hazanavicius for The Artist, Terrence Malick for the Tree of Life. Who I want to win: It’s a no brainer. Nicolas Wending Refn should take this award home. He’s already coming off a strong win from Cannes and the film has his powerful touch all over it. You can feel this movie. If you want to talk strictly about direction this most talented director must take the prize. Will he? Absolutely not. I’ve increasingly been losing respect for the academy and it’s voters.They always seem to choose the easy way out. Maybe they’re getting too old and its time to bring some fresh heads. I mean we are talking about the same group of people who chose Gladiator over Traffic and Crash over Brokeback Mountain. Who will win: David Fincher for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo. More times than not, and almost certainly always, academy voters usually feel that the best film of the year is a testament to the achievement of the films director. In this case I feel that David Fincher will take the prize because Dragon is my pick to win best picture. Also, it looks and feels like its very well directed so there is some justification in that. A final note: why does the editor of this web site feel so strongly about the Ides of March. Let me repeat myself this picture will not, absolutely, positively not get any love from academy voters this year. DAMN.
@Mellisa calm yourself. First “The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo” hasn’t even been seen fully by anyone so to predict that it will win anything is like closing your eyes and trying to run on a busy highway. Second, true the editor has some wishful picks here and there but “Ides of March” has a better chance in ANY category this year than “Drive”. The latter is an art house film which delivered poor box office records and is being less and less talked about in a serious way to be a contender. The Top 5 are pretty solid. And the next five as well. At any rate if Malick fails to make the cut I can picture Allen getting in. Keep an eye for both Fincher and McQueen. Two names who can still cause some stir in this category.
I really want Malick to win, partially because I doubt it will win best picture and I love it when BP and BD winners are different.
Among the nominees will be Malick and Daldry, certainly, because there’s too much fuss over Malick to ignore and Daldry can’t not be nominated, but the rest of the category is up for grabs. Spielberg, Refn, McQueen, Fincher, Payne, and Hazanavicius can all nab the other spots.
I hope Nicolas Wending Refn gets at least a nom. He deserves it. If Schnabel was nominated for Butterfly after he won the Palm d’Or, as was NWR, why cant he also capture a nom. This year I think fincher will take the award home. He was, but not by much, robbed last year for Network and the picture is captivating much buzz. Other noms will go to Hazanivicius for Artist.. Spielberg for War Horse.. Malick for Tree.. and its a two way between Payne and Daldry for the fifth slot. But the other four will be nominated. Ides of march, help, shame, midnight in paris, tinker tailor, or hugo, sorry scorsese, have no chance of capturing a nom. Oh and melissa your kinda cute. And stop being so hard on her GL dipshit she has better points than you. Don’t be such a nerd bro.
This race is quite interesting. It is essentially the legends (Scorcese/Spielberg/Allen), the established (Fincher/Payne/Daldry/Clooney/Reitman) and the newcomers (McQueen/Michael Hazanavicius/Refn/Taylor). Unlike BP, there are only 5 slots up for grabs(My Money is in Hazanavicius via “The Artist” Love keeps building………
1. Michel Hazanavicius (Frontrunner of Likely BP Winner/Is The Artist Stoppable At This Point?)
2. Terrence Malick (Visionary Director of A Divisive Pic)
3. Steven Spielberg (Solid again but does he need a 3rd Oscar?)
4. Alexander Payne (Nom lock but Win will depend on its BP Traction)
5. Martin Scorcese (Not a Lock for Nom but looking more and more likely)
6. David Fincher (Should of won last year/UNKNOWN factor)
7. Steven Daldry (UNKNOWN/will be fighting for the last spot)
8. Woody Allen (Sorry Woody. Too much competition this year)
9. Steve McQueen (Another masterpiece from a young talent/Too Bad AMPAS is so virginal minded)
10. Jason Reitman (Refer to Woody Allen)
11. Nicolas Wending Refn (Such a shame he will miss out for such a stylish and “COOL” film
12. Lars von Triers (Don’t Sympathize with Hitler next Awards Season Pls??)
13. George Clooney (Unfortunately Ides was Not Another Goodnight Good Luck/Better Luck Next Time)
At this point for Daldry to make it he really needs a DGA nod or some mention somewhere. I would still keep Payne up there, he has gotten some runner-ups and mentions here and there. I can see very easily the Academy rewarding Scorsese the director award and “The Artist” Best Picture. Both films a very similar and it would be a nice touch.
1. Martin Scorsese
2. Michel Hazanavicius
3. Alexander Payne
4. Steven Spielberg
5. Bennett Miller
Daldry, Malick, Allen, Clooney and Refn still in play I think.
I think that it’s time to take down Daldry, and replace him with Refn, and replace Spielberg with Payne. The precursors make my argument. ELAIC isnt getting much love. The term “9/11 porn” is being is tossed around quite a bit. Also, War Horse is getting the usual “it was good, but whatever” kind of reaction I thought it would get.
I think at this point Alexander Payne will move into the top five knocking out Daldry. Fincher has a good chance of making it too. Question will he knock Malick or Spielberg. I say Spielberg.
I’d replace Malick and Spielberg with Payne and Fincher/Refn. I can’t see any light at the end of the tunnel for The Tree of Life or War Horse