Comment by GL on September 27, 2011 4:16 am

Right now is Clooney, Dujardin, and Pitt. I still think DiCaprio is going to walk out as the winner.He is working with Eastwood. Enough said. A lot of people are pushing for Goldman, but his film needs to hit strong when it premiers or it will just be forgotten like it has been over seas. Fassbender and Shannon are getting huge pushes so watch out for them. Forget about Hardy, Banderas, their film received mute reviews and receptions, with “The Warrior” tanking at the box office and “The Skin I Inhabit” receiving mixed criticism from Cannes. Everyone else a big if.

Comment by GL on October 3, 2011 3:24 am

Leo is definitely still the front runner. Even though I agree with Mikael, his performance based on the trailer, is disappointing and very Howard Hughes-esque. But I still think he will win. It is his time, Eastwood, multiple nominations under his belt. On another note, Oldman should not be that high. His film is dead, and only a strong box office will resuscitate that thing. Dujardin is Leo’s biggest competition right now. Clooney and Pitt have settled into the veteran but yet “too good looking/or too nice” to actually win place. Oldman’s position is definitely up for grabs. All of the Next Five names can easily touch that fifth spot from him, except Bichir. Le’t put it this way, Shannon’s “Taking Shelter” is a really small film, Birchir’s “A Better Life” is but a microscope in this race right now. Bump Christoph Waltz, NYFF seems to have resuscitate that film, plus he broke something during one of his projects so that should give him so sympathy votes. Put Horn supportive. He seems good during the trailer but someone that the veterans can make it supporting very easily ala “True Grit”

Comment by GL on October 20, 2011 1:06 am

I think it’s foolish to put Oldman in second place and discard DiCaprio all together to the next five. People forget very easily that “Invictus” was also a major let down from Eastwood but still scored acting noms for Freeman and Damon. Oscar lover DiCaprio. He is in the club for sure. Oldman’s film is buzzless and he is in very few “wishful” thinking lists. I want to see how long you will keep hyping his place in the race. It took you one update to face the facts with Gosling, maybe it’s time to do the same and start pushing back Mr. Oldman now. The truth right now is that the race is between Clooney and Dujardin. But for one to win a second statue, one has to kill it, and unless the film does major box office damage and precursor love, Clooney is pretty much stuck with a nom. In which Pitt is facing right now. What goes against Dujardin is that he doesn’t conform. As I sat for the Q&A for “The Artist” at NYFF he was the only one with a translator even though he could quick of some words in English. As he put it best, “[He] is very French”. What won Cotillard and Benigni their respective statues was their conformity to the race. But trust me, that smile can swoon even the harshest of the Academy members so we’ll have to see how precursors play for him. When it comes to DiCaprio he is going to make it. The question is, is he a major player or just a space filler? I have said it before and the fact is there is only one true spot available and Fassbender is the likest contender to get it behind Shannon, of course Oldman, or even Gosling. Levitt’s chances are dim. His film failed to impact the box office or film conversation for that matter. Same goes for Giamatti and Hardy.Waltz and his costars may go supporting according to the buzz where they will have a better chance of breaking in. Everyone else is still pretty much in the game, lol, now put back DiCaprio in the top 5 lol.

Comment by GL on November 21, 2011 4:59 pm

Well at least you are pushing Oldman to the back which is about time. He is not going to make it. I still don’t think he will make it. Fassbender is taking that spot. And I still think DiCaprio will win this one. A lot of the reviews were more against the writing. Plus it’s going to be one of those cases where everyone is just going with “just hand him the damn thing already”. But I do admit, if he doesn’t score Globes or SAGS it’s going to be hard.

Comment by GL on December 18, 2011 3:36 am

This is possibly the list of Oscar nominees this year. At this point I think it’s rather obvious DiCaprio is getting that nomination. Fassbender has the 5 spot tied to his belt unless BAFTA goes crazy for Oldman. I think all the accolades and mentions possible for Shannon and Birchir were given. There isn’t much they can do unless they campaigh really hard or get the Acting branch behind them like Barden last year. I think the battle is really between those top 3 actors. But my bet is with Dujardin. I think it’s obvious people are falling in love with that film and the Academy will be no different. Dujardin is a big part of the picture just like Cotilliard was for “La Vien Rose”.