OSCAR PREDICTIONS: Best Foreign Language Film

Updated: November 20, 2017

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE

1

“First They Killed My Father” (Cambodia)
Angelina Jolie

PROS:

Cambodian author and human rights activist Loung Ung recounts the horrors she suffered as a child under the rule of the deadly Khmer Rouge. (Director: Angelina Jolie)

CONS:

Cambodia has only made the lineup once in five tries. This is their sixth.

2

“In the Fade” (Germany)
Fatih Akin

PROS:

Katja's life collapses after the death of her husband and son in a bomb attack. After a time of mourning and injustice, Katja seeks revenge. (Director: Fatih Akin)

CONS:

Terrific track record with 2 wins (2002’s "Nowhere in Africa" and 2006’s "The Lives of Others"). Is the film mainstream enough for recognition?

3

“Tom of Finland” (Finland)
Dome Karukoski

PROS:

Award-winning filmmaker Dome Karukoski brings to screen the life and work of one of the most influential and celebrated figures of twentieth-century gay culture. (Director: Dome Karukoski)

CONS:

With over 30 previous nominations, only one film made the lineup ("The Man Without a Past" in 2002).

4

“A Fantastic Woman” (Chile)
Sebastián Lelio

PROS:

Marina, a waitress who moonlights as a nightclub singer, is bowled over by the death of her older boyfriend. (Director: Sebastián Lelio)

CONS:

With 21 previous submissions, their only nomination has been for "No" in 2012.

5

“Happy End” (Austria)
Michael Haneke

PROS:

A drama about a family set in Calais with the European refugee crisis as the backdrop. (Director: Michael Haneke)

CONS:

This can happen if they "default" to Haneke, if not, the film's passion isn't exactly palpable at the moment.

NEXT IN LINE

6

“The Square” (Sweden)
Ruben Östlund

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

7

“BPM (Beats Per Minute)” (France)
Robin Campillo

PROS:

120 BPM. The average heart rate. The protagonists of 120 battements par minute are passionate about fighting the indifference that exists towards AIDS. (Director: Robin Campillo)

CONS:
No data found.

8

“Sheikh Jackson” (Egypt)
Amr Salama

PROS:

An Islamic cleric has a crisis of faith when he hears the news that his childhood idol, Michael Jackson, has died. (Director: Amr Salama)

CONS:
No data found.

9

“Thelma” (Norway)
Joachim Trier

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

10

“Loveless” (Russia)
Andrey Zvyagintsev

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

OTHER TOP TIER CONTENDERS

11

“The Divine Order” (Switzerland)
Petra Volpe

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

12

“Félicité” (Senegal)
Alain Gomis

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

13

“Birdshot” (Philippines)
Mikhail Red

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

14

“Under the Tree” (Iceland)
Hafsteinn Gunnar Sigurðsson

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

15

“You Disappear” (Denmark)
Peter Schønau Fog

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

ALSO IN CONTENTION

16

“Foxtrot” (Israel)
Samuel Maoz

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

17

“Summer 1993” (Spain)
Carla Simón

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

18

“A Ciambra” (Italy)
Jonas Carpignano

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

19

“Glory” (Bulgaria)
Petar Valchanov, Kristina Grozeva

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

20

“Ice Mother” (Czech Republic)
Bohdan Sláma

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

OTHER POSSIBILITIES

21

“Amerika Square” (Greece)
Yannis Sakaridis

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

22

“A Letter to the President” (Afghanistan)
Roya Sadat

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

23

“On Body and Soul” (Hungary)
Ildikó Enyedi

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

24

“Ayiti Mon Amour” (Haiti)
Guetty Felin

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

25

“The Chronicles of Melanie” (Latvia)
Viestur Kairish

PROS:
No data found.
CONS:
No data found.

OFFICIAL SUBMISSIONS

  • Afghanistan, “A Letter to the President,” Roya Sadat, director;
  • Albania, “Daybreak,” Gentian Koçi, director;
  • Algeria, “Road to Istanbul,” Rachid Bouchareb, director;
  • Argentina, “Zama,” Lucrecia Martel, director;
  • Armenia, “Yeva,” Anahit Abad, director;
  • Australia, “The Space Between,” Ruth Borgobello, director;
  • Austria, “Happy End,” Michael Haneke, director;
  • Azerbaijan, “Pomegranate Orchard,” Ilgar Najaf, director;
  • Bangladesh, “The Cage,” Akram Khan, director;
  • Belgium, “Racer and the Jailbird,” Michaël R. Roskam, director;
  • Bolivia, “Dark Skull,” Kiro Russo, director;
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina, “Men Don’t Cry,” Alen Drljević, director;
  • Brazil, “Bingo – The King of the Mornings,” Daniel Rezende, director;
  • Bulgaria, “Glory,” Petar Valchanov, Kristina Grozeva, directors;
  • Cambodia, “First They Killed My Father,” Angelina Jolie, director;
  • Canada, “Hochelaga, Land of Souls,” François Girard, director;
  • Chile, “A Fantastic Woman,” Sebastián Lelio, director;
  • China, “Wolf Warrior 2,” Wu Jing, director;
  • Colombia, “Guilty Men,” Iván D. Gaona, director;
  • Costa Rica, “The Sound of Things,” Ariel Escalante, director;
  • Croatia, “Quit Staring at My Plate,” Hana Jušić, director;
  • The Czech Republic, “Ice Mother,” Bohdan Sláma, director;
  • Denmark, “You Disappear,” Peter Schønau Fog, director;
  • The Dominican Republic, “Woodpeckers,” Jose Maria Cabral, director;
  • Ecuador, “Alba,” Ana Cristina Barragán, director;
  • Egypt, “Sheikh Jackson,” Amr Salama, director;
  • Estonia, “November,” Rainer Sarnet, director;
  • Finland, “Tom of Finland,” Dome Karukoski, director;
  • France, “BPM (Beats Per Minute),” Robin Campillo, director;
  • Georgia, “Scary Mother,” Ana Urushadze, director;
  • Germany, “In the Fade,” Fatih Akin, director;
  • Greece, “Amerika Square,” Yannis Sakaridis, director;
  • Haiti, “Ayiti Mon Amour,” Guetty Felin, director;
  • Honduras, “Morazán,” Hispano Durón, director;
  • Hong Kong, “Mad World,” Wong Chun, director;
  • Hungary, “On Body and Soul,” Ildikó Enyedi, director;
  • Iceland, “Under the Tree,” Hafsteinn Gunnar Sigurðsson, director;
  • India, “Newton,” Amit V Masurkar, director;
  • Indonesia, “Turah,” Wicaksono Wisnu Legowo, director;
  • Iran, “Breath,” Narges Abyar, director;
  • Iraq, “Reseba – The Dark Wind,” Hussein Hassan, director;
  • Ireland, “Song of Granite,” Pat Collins, director;
  • Israel, “Foxtrot,” Samuel Maoz, director;
  • Italy, “A Ciambra,” Jonas Carpignano, director;
  • Japan, “Her Love Boils Bathwater,” Ryota Nakano, director;
  • Kazakhstan, “The Road to Mother,” Akhan Satayev, director;
  • Kenya, “Kati Kati,” Mbithi Masya, director;
  • Kosovo, “Unwanted,” Edon Rizvanolli, director;
  • Kyrgyzstan, “Centaur,” Aktan Arym Kubat, director;
  • Lao People’s Democratic Republic, “Dearest Sister,” Mattie Do, director;
  • Latvia, “The Chronicles of Melanie,” Viestur Kairish, director;
  • Lebanon, “The Insult,” Ziad Doueiri, director;
  • Lithuania, “Frost,” Sharunas Bartas, director;
  • Luxembourg, “Barrage,” Laura Schroeder, director;
  • Mexico, “Tempestad,” Tatiana Huezo, director;
  • Mongolia, “The Children of Genghis,” Zolbayar Dorj, director;
  • Morocco, “Razzia,” Nabil Ayouch, director;
  • Mozambique, “The Train of Salt and Sugar,” Licinio Azevedo, director;
  • Nepal, “White Sun,” Deepak Rauniyar, director;
  • Netherlands, “Layla M.,” Mijke de Jong, director;
  • New Zealand, “One Thousand Ropes,” Tusi Tamasese, director;
  • Norway, “Thelma,” Joachim Trier, director;
  • Pakistan, “Saawan,” Farhan Alam, director;
  • Palestine, “Wajib,” Annemarie Jacir, director;
  • Panama, “Beyond Brotherhood,” Arianne Benedetti, director;
  • Paraguay, “Los Buscadores,” Juan Carlos Maneglia, Tana Schembori, directors;
  • Peru, “Rosa Chumbe,” Jonatan Relayze, director;
  • The Philippines, “Birdshot,” Mikhail Red, director;
  • Poland, “Spoor,” Agnieszka Holland, Kasia Adamik, directors;
  • Portugal, “Saint George,” Marco Martins, director;
  • Romania, “Fixeur,” Adrian Sitaru, director;
  • Russia, “Loveless,” Andrey Zvyagintsev, director;
  • Senegal, “Félicité,” Alain Gomis, director;
  • Serbia, “Requiem for Mrs. J.,” Bojan Vuletic, director;
  • Singapore, “Pop Aye,” Kirsten Tan, director;
  • Slovakia, “The Line,” Peter Bebjak, director;
  • Slovenia, “The Miner,” Hanna A. W. Slak, director;
  • South Africa, “The Wound,” John Trengove, director;
  • South Korea, “A Taxi Driver,” Jang Hoon, director;
  • Spain, “Summer 1993,” Carla Simón, director;
  • Sweden, “The Square,” Ruben Östlund, director;
  • Switzerland, “The Divine Order,” Petra Volpe, director;
  • Syria, “Little Gandhi,” Sam Kadi, director;
  • Taiwan, “Small Talk,” Hui-Chen Huang, director;
  • Thailand, “By the Time It Gets Dark,” Anocha Suwichakornpong, director;
  • Tunisia, “The Last of Us,” Ala Eddine Slim, director;
  • Turkey, “Ayla: The Daughter of War,” Can Ulkay, director;
  • Ukraine, “Black Level,” Valentyn Vasyanovych, director;
  • United Kingdom, “My Pure Land,” Sarmad Masud, director;
  • Uruguay, “Another Story of the World,” Guillermo Casanova, director;
  • Venezuela, “El Inca,” Ignacio Castillo Cottin, director;
  • Vietnam, “Father and Son,” Luong Dinh Dung, director.

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE | DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |
FOREIGN LANGUAGE | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE |

  • lucas

    Where is France with 120 BPM ?

  • Joe Caliro

    Watch out for the Philippines submission Birdshot!!! It is an amazing film that hopes to break the 100 streak of film in the Philippines without a nomination

  • MALLAURY LABULLE

    I’m french (sorry for my english), and I think that 120 BPM is one of the greatest films of 2017. I have not seen In the Fad yet, but I watched First they killed my father and The Square. Even if this one got the Palme d’or, 120 BPM is better (And I don’t say that because I’m French). It will be nominated. I’m sure of that.

  • Bach ito

    From Latinoamerica the big contenders are ‘A Fantastic Woman’ from Chile an ‘Zama’ from Argentina. And maybe ‘Tempestad’ from Mexico (it is a documentary so I think it hast’got opportunity in this category) and ‘Bingo’ from Brazil (it wasn’t released in any festival).

  • cat

    I heard a lot of praise for “On Body and Soul” (Hungary) and Foxtrot (Israel) was huge at Venice. Also we shouldnt count out Loveless (Russia). Dont think that “In the Fade” will have a shot. The reception in Cannes wasnt that good, accept the praise for Kruger.

  • ali hassan

    No Saawan or My Pure Land….really ….they are most deserving contenders to win….UK’s My Pure Land is such a powerful Film and have won several Awards too

  • ali hassan

    You Guys need to add Saawan and My Pure Land in this list of Prediction as well

  • Alfred

    It’s great that you think worldwide and not the usual countries but you forgot some films with buzz. South Korea and Thailand share coincidentally a similar topic: the black history of their countries of the massacre of protesters and they both have many possibilities to place in the top 9 shortlist. Along with Chile, France, Finland and Norway that you fairly put so high, another LGBT film should be in, South Africa. Along with Switzerland and Afghanistan (you are so right for distinguish it), there should be two more feminist films, UK and Iraq (that deals with ISIS terror). Along with Philippines three more social realism films can make it: Albania, Portugal and Bolivia. Along with Egypt that you fairly put, Lebanon about Lebanese and Palestinians and New Zealand about Samoan New Zealanders are very strong but nothing can compared to the exclusion of Canada. The native Canadian history is a shoe in for the Oscars.

  • Alfred

    It’s great that you think worldwide and not the usual countries but you forgot some films with buzz. South Korea and Thailand share coincidentally a similar topic: the black history of their countries of the massacre of protesters and they both have many possibilities to place in the top 9 shortlist. Along with Chile, France, Finland and Norway that you fairly put so high, another LGBT film should be in, South Africa. Along with Switzerland and Afghanistan (you are so right for distinguish it), there should be two more feminist films, UK and Iraq (that deals with ISIS terror). Along with Philippines three more social realism films can make it: Albania, Portugal and Bolivia. Along with Egypt that you fairly put, Lebanon about Lebanese and Palestinians and New Zealand about Samoan New Zealanders are very strong but nothing can compared to the exclusion of Canada. The native Canadian history is a shoe in for the Oscars.

  • Pingback: ‘Birdshot’ ranked by Oscar prediction site as ‘top tier contender’ | InterAksyon()

  • Alan

    No chance for “Bingo – The King of the Mornings”?

  • Alfred

    I hope the shortlist will be as follow: 1. Chile, 2. South Korea, 3. Canada, 4. Germany, 5. France, 6. Thailand, 7. South Africa, 8. Norway, 9. Finland. Also great choices: Switzerland, Austria, Albania, Sweden, Philippines, Afghanistan, Iraq, New Zealand, UK, Lebanon, Bolivia, Italy, Egypt, Portugal.

  • fdh

    The Square is fantastic & BPM is great. I hope the two will be nominated with a victory for The Square !

    Happy End is awful. One of the worst movie I have seen this year.