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  • Screen Actors Guild Predictions

    Predicting how the Actor's branch will choose the year's favorites...

    June 9, 2012

    EDITOR PREDICTIONS

    Updated: 01/24/2012

    Best Performance by a Cast Ensemble

    • Argo
    • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
    • Les Miserables
    • Lincoln
    • Silver Linings Playbook

    Prediction: Silver Linings Playbook
    Alternate: Lincoln
    Surprise: Argo

    Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

    • Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
    • Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
    • John Hawkes - The Sessions
    • Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
    • Denzel Washington - Flight

    Prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
    Alternate: Hugh Jackman for Les Miserables
    Surprise: Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook

    Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

    • Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
    • Marion Cotillard – Rust & Bone
    • Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
    • Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
    • Naomi Watts – The Impossible

    Prediction: Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty
    Alternate: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
    Surprise: Naomi Watts for The Impossible

    Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

    • Alan Arkin - Argo
    • Javier Bardem - Skyfall
    • Robert DeNiro - Silver Linings Playbook
    • Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
    • Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln

    Prediction: Robert DeNiro for Silver Linings Playbook
    Alternate: Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln
    Surprise: Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master

    Best Performance by a Female Actor in Supporting Role

    • Sally Field - Lincoln
    • Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
    • Helen Hunt - The Sessions
    • Nicole Kidman - The Paperboy
    • Maggie Smith - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    Prediction: Anne Hathaway for Les Miserables
    Alternate: Sally Field for Lincoln
    Surprise: Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy

    Television Categories

    Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

    • Boardwalk Empire
    • Breaking Bad
    • Downton Abbey
    • Homeland
    • Mad Men

    Prediction: Homeland
    Alternate: Downton Abbey
    Surprise: Breaking Bad

    Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

    • 30 Rock
    • The Big Bang Theory
    • Glee
    • Modern Family
    • Nurse Jackie
    • The Office

    Prediction: Modern Family
    Alternate: 30 Rock
    Surprise: The Office

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

    • Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
    • Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
    • Jeff Daniels – The Newsroom
    • Jon Hamm – Mad Men
    • Damien Lewis – Homeland

    Prediction: Damien Lewis for Homeland
    Alternate: Bryan Cranston for Breaking Bad
    Surprise: Jon Hamm for Mad Men

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

    • Claire Danes – Homeland
    • Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey
    • Jessica Lange – American Horror Story: Asylum
    • Julianna Marguilles – The Good Wife
    • Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey

    Prediction: Claire Danes for Homeland
    Alternate: Maggie Smith for Downton Abbey
    Surprise: Jessica Lange for American Horror Story: Asylum

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

    • Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
    • Ty Burrell – Modern Family
    • Louie C.K. – Louie
    • Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory
    • Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family

    Prediction: Louie C.K. for Louie
    Alternate: Alec Baldwin for 30 Rock
    Surprise: Ty Burrell for Modern Family

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

    • Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
    • Tina Fey – 30 Rock
    • Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation
    • Sofia Vergara – Modern Family
    • Betty White – Hot in Cleveland

    Prediction: Amy Poehler for Parks and Recreation
    Alternate: Tina Fey for 30 Rock
    Surprise: Sofia Vergara for Modern Family

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Mini-Series

    • Kevin Costner – Hatfields & McCoys
    • Woody Harrelson – Game Change
    • Ed Harris – Game Change
    • Clive Owen – Hemingway & Gelhorn
    • Bill Paxton – Hatfields & McCoys

    Prediction: Kevin Costner for Hatfields & McCoys
    Alternate: Ed Harris for Game Change
    Surprise: Woody Harrelson for Game Change

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Mini-Series

    • Nicole Kidman – Hemingway & Gelhorn
    • Julianne Moore – Game Change
    • Charlotte Rampling – Restless
    • Sigourney Weaver – Political Animals
    • Alfre Woodard – Steel Magnolias

    Prediction: Julianne Moore for Game Change
    Alternate: Nicole Kidman for Hemingway & Gelhorn
    Surprise: Sigourney Weaver for Political Animals

    Comment and discuss your predictions!

    26 Comments

    1. Why isn’t Leonardo DiCaprio listed for Best Supporting Actor? I f anything he will most definitely be nominated. He is the favourite to win the Oscar, isn’t he?

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    2. CAST PERFORMANCES:
      The Master
      Django Unchained
      Lincoln
      Les Miserables
      Silver linings Playbook

      ACTOR:
      Joaquin Phoenix
      John Hawkes
      Daniel Day Lewis
      Denzel Washington- Flight
      Richard Gere- NOT OSCAR NOMINATED

      ACTRESS:
      Quvenzhane Wallis
      Jennifer Lawrence- thought I predict her to win Oscar
      Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone
      Maggie Smith- Quartet
      Keira Knightley- NOT OSCAR NOMINATED

      SUPPORTING ACTOR:
      Philip Seymour Hoffman
      Leonardo DiCaprio
      Robert DeNiro
      Russell Crowe
      Tommy Lee Jones- NOT OSCAR NOMINATED

      SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
      Anne Hathaway
      Amy Adams-NOT OSCAR NOMINATED
      Helen Hunt
      Nicole Kidman- The Paperboy- NOT OSCAR NOMINATED
      Sally Field

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    3. The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination. Marion is gonna win. She is praised by a lot of actors and directors for her commitment to work, her perfect career’s choices and the fact that she lost to Julie C. right before wining the oscar, so they kind of own her big! And I’m not talking about the fact that she’s been totally forgot for previous performances (“Nine”, “Inception” or “Midnight in Paris”) despite several others nominations ( Golden Globe, cesar…)

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      • The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination.

        Sorry, but this is a ridiculous statement. Jennifer Lawrence can win, even she got the SAG nom in 2010 against more famous names like Julianne Moore, Michelle Williams and Halle Berry. If she’s the favorite to win, she’ll win doesn’t matter her age, or the personal perception… Also, SAG loves child and young actors.

        The youngest winner ever for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role was 26 (Gweneth Paltrow). Except maybe Angelina Jolie who was 24 but It was for a TV role.

        Let me ask this: How many times, an early 20s. actress have a real chance for winning in these 17 years of SAG?

        They didn’t gave it Marion Cotillard back in 2008 for “la vie en rose” so I think they will make up for it.

        They didn’t make up for it for George Clooney this season, even with three unsuccesful individual nominations, or maybe Alan Arkin, even when he’s veteran against Eddie Murphy

        Amanda/Antonio, I seriously think you’re Mika -The same troll / person from thefilmexperience and awardsdaily-, I love Marion Cotillard as an actress, but really dismissing Lawrence as an “average actress” who doesn’t win at any chance is troublesome for me. Please, give us a favor for the racional Cotillard fans, don’t make us as hooligans.

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      • I agrre with the nice things you said about Cotillard but come on! No nomination, seriously? You must really don’t like her.

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    4. Speaking frankly, and especially considering the fact that Argo isn’t likely to be nominated in the leading categories (and even if it was) the acting powerhouse that is Lincoln should win this prize walking away. It’s main competitor would be Les Mis. Also wouldn’t be shocked to see Best Exotic replaced by Silver Linings.

      Seriously, though. Lincoln for the Win.

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    5. “and I’m not talking about the fact that she’s been totally forgot for previous performances (“Nine”, “Inception” or “Midnight in Paris”) ”

      She had no chemistry with DiCaprio in Inception and fine but not really a standout in Midnight in Paris. These weren’t exactly major snubs.

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    6. Absolutely have nothing against Cottilard though.

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    7. The youngest winner ever for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role was 26 (Gweneth Paltrow). Except maybe Angelina Jolie who was 24 but It was for a TV role.
      I don’t see how Jennifer Lawrence could win.
      They didn’t gave it Marion Cotillard back in 2008 for “la vie en rose” so I think they will make up for it.

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      • The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination.
        Sorry, but this is a ridiculous statement. Jennifer Lawrence can win, even she got the SAG nom in 2010 against more famous names like Julianne Moore, Michelle Williams and Halle Berry. If she’s the favorite to win, she’ll win doesn’t matter her age, or the personal perception… Also, SAG loves child and young actors.
        The youngest winner ever for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role was 26 (Gweneth Paltrow). Except maybe Angelina Jolie who was 24 but It was for a TV role.
        Let me ask this: How many times, an early 20s. actress have a real chance for winning in these 17 years of SAG?
        They didn’t gave it Marion Cotillard back in 2008 for “la vie en rose” so I think they will make up for it.
        They didn’t make up for it for George Clooney this season, even with three unsuccesful individual nominations, or maybe Alan Arkin, even when he’s veteran against Eddie Murphy
        Amanda/Antonio, I seriously think you’re Mika -The same troll / person from thefilmexperience and awardsdaily-, I love Marion Cotillard as an actress, but really dismissing Lawrence as an “average actress” who doesn’t win at any chance is troublesome for me. Please, give us a favor for the racional Cotillard fans, don’t make us as hooligans.

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      • The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination.
        Sorry, but this is a ridiculous statement. Jennifer Lawrence can win, even she got the SAG nom in 2010 against more famous names like Julianne Moore, Michelle Williams and Halle Berry. If she’s the favorite to win, she’ll win doesn’t matter her age, or the personal perception… Also, SAG loves child and young actors.

        The youngest winner ever for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role was 26 (Gweneth Paltrow). Except maybe Angelina Jolie who was 24 but It was for a TV role.
        Let me ask this: How many times, an early 20s. actress have a real chance for winning in these 17 years of SAG?

        They didn’t gave it Marion Cotillard back in 2008 for “la vie en rose” so I think they will make up for it.
        They didn’t make up for it for George Clooney this season, even with three unsuccesful individual nominations, or maybe Alan Arkin, even when he’s veteran against Eddie Murphy

        Amanda/Antonio, I seriously think you’re Mika -The same troll / person from thefilmexperience and awardsdaily-, I love Marion Cotillard as an actress, but really dismissing Lawrence as an “average actress” who doesn’t win at any chance is troublesome for me. Please, give us a favor for the racional Cotillard fans, don’t make us as hooligans.

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        • It’s not me who said “The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination.”
          So please don’t attack me for something I didn’t said.
          I also didn’t said a word about Jennifer Lawrence or her chances. You clearly are a super Fan of her because you automatically thinks of her when I say that Marion Cotillard should win and you try to find any argument for proving me wrong.

          Are you in their head for knowing what they love or not? I don’t think so so speak for yourself.

          What I said are my personal thoughts and you should tell yourself that if I think this way others can too. Even if she wins it’s not gonna be by 70%. BTW That doesn’t mean J. Lawrence is not deserving of a SAG too. It just an observation about the past winners and their age when they won. BTW Jean Dujardin was too good so that’s not a good example.

          If you actually saw Silver Linings Playbook , you would know that she has less time on screen that Berenice Bejo in “The Artist” for example. BTW Cotillard gives a performance with multiple strong sex scenes + No makeup + she cries a lot + lot of anger… Compare to the crowed-pleasing performance of Jennifer Lawrence I personally thinks she won’t win. Again These are my personal thoughts.

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          • And I relly don’t understand what you are saying about this Amand or Mika but I’m ANTONIO so don’t try to lie only for discrediting my comments. BTW I’ve never post any comments on the websites you’re talking about.

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    8. Bare in mind that the SAG noms are announced on December 12th and Django Unchained is not released in North America until Christmas Day. As a result, unless Harvey Weinstein goes for the option of doing a limited release qualifying run before its release date, DiCaprio has no chance of making the final ballot…

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      • Screeners will be sent out for sure. They’re not gonna miss an opportunity to have their films at SAG especially given the new deadlines for Oscar.

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    9. Sorry for repeting these comments. Promise:

      My Predictions:
      1. Les Misérables
      2. Argo
      3. Lincoln
      4. Zero Dark Thirty
      5. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
      Alt: Silver Linings Playbook

      1. Denzel Washington
      2. Hugh Jackman
      3. John Hawkes
      4. Daniel Day-Lewis
      5. Joaquin Phoenix
      Alt: Bradley Cooper

      1. Jessica Chastain
      2. Jennifer Lawrence
      3. Marion Cotillard
      4. Helen Mirren
      5. Judi Dench
      Alt: Elle Fanning

      1. Leonardo DiCaprio
      2. Tommy Lee Jones
      3. Robert DeNiro
      4. Philip Seymour Hoffman
      5. Michael Peña
      Alt: Whoever from ZDT

      1. Anne Hathaway
      2. Amy Adams
      3. Maggie Smith
      4. Helen Hunt
      5. Sally Field
      Alt: Scarlett Johansson

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    10. No Tommy Lee Jones for Supporting? What’s the rationale there?

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    11. Will the actors finally give Hugh Jackman his due (not win, but at least a nomination)? I mean, he is an immensely popular actor (I’m not citing THAT as the reason for his nomination), but EVERYBODY keeps talking about his insane talent, be it acting, singing, dancing, entertainer, etc. Where’s the recognition though? He’s won TWO Tony Awards. It’s funny that the Broadway community recognizes his achievements much more than his on-screen peers. Therefore, it would be a real icing on the cake if he gets nominated for playing such an iconic literary character (belonging to a legendary Broadway / West End musical).

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    12. Supporting Actress – same line-up for the Oscars.
      I think the Brits in the Academy could push Hugh Jackman for an Oscar nomination (Jackman’s not a Brit, but the film has a heavy Brit connection, and the Brit voting bloc is quite significant; remember, Gary Oldman last year).
      Lead Actress – Jennifer L v/s Marion C.
      Supporting Actor – Philip Seymour Hoffman.
      Cast – Does not necessarily mean Best Pic. The cast that works well together the most – too tough to call right now.

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    13. I’m confused how you have three performances from The Master as very likely nominees and even possible winners but don’t have it being nominated for Ensemble. Surely it’s a more likely pick than Zero Dark Thirty, which seems to mostly be Chastain’s show.

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      • I would assume this is because it’s not exactly a large enough group of performances to qualify as a true ensemble. The three (likely) nominees are really the main focus of the movie. If some of the “supporting” roles had been expanded…maybe it would be more of a threat for a nomination.

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    14. Some of the people on here have suggested performers who haven’t even had their films released yet! How can you nominate stars you haven’t seen?. Just goes to show its not about the quality of the actual performance its popularity of the star.Just like the awards ,all based on studio politics, ‘ad campaigns’, who people are fans of. Its all about personal likes/ dislikes so the awards don’t really mean anything.Just enjoy the films.some good ones this year.

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      • They get to screen the films before they are released… they have seen them…

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    15. Comment by Roger on October 21, 2012 12:55 am

      The SAG are voted by THE ACTORS and there is no chances Jennifer Lawrence get even a nomination.

      Sorry, but this is a ridiculous statement. Jennifer Lawrence can win, even she got the SAG nom in 2010 against more famous names like Julianne Moore, Michelle Williams and Halle Berry. If she’s the favorite to win, she’ll win doesn’t matter her age, or the personal perception… Also, SAG loves child and young actors.

      The youngest winner ever for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role was 26 (Gweneth Paltrow). Except maybe Angelina Jolie who was 24 but It was for a TV role.

      —> Actually, Roger, Marlee Matlin is the youngest winner – being 21 when she won for Children of a Lesser God. Janet Gaynor was 23 when she won in 1929, and Hilary Swank was 25 when she won for Boys Don´t Cry.

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