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Oscars: Golden Globes and SAG Add to a Wide Open Season

helenmirre trumbo

spotlight-mark-ruffalo-rachel-mcadams-600x466What a crazy two days it has been.  Nominations for the SAG Awards and Golden Globes were announced and made more than few heads spin.  Completely changing the landscape of a couple of categories, while solidifying some others accordingly.  Let’s try to digest it all (at least some of it):

SAG made jaws drop with some of their choices.  In Cast Ensemble, they opted for some of the suspected films like Open Road’s “Spotlight,” Paramount Pictures’ “The Big Short,” and even Universal Pictures’ “Straight Outta Compton,” which we knew was performing very well with voters and is heavily admired.  Not sure how could foresee the inclusion of Netflix’s “Beasts of No Nation” and Bleecker Street’s “Trumbo” making the cut, especially over presumed lock “The Martian” from 20th Century Fox.  Some have looked back to the 2007 lineup when “No Country for Old Men” was running the gauntlet on critics and industry voters and SAG placed films like “3:10 to Yuma,” “American Gangster,” and “Hairspray” along side it, three movies that had no shot at a Best Picture nod.  While you can make the argument that four of these films may be considered longshots, this is happening at a time where the year is ending and AMPAS will return home to watch their pile of screeners with their families.  This has definitely enticed them to pop in “Trumbo,” a film that can heavily appeal to an Academy voter and “The Big Short,” another movie that could carry some weight.

Best Actor is looking more and more made for Leonardo DiCaprio for his extraordinary work in “The Revenant.”  Scoring both SAG and Golden Globes has solidified his case.  It does hurt his co-star Tom Hardy, who missed both mentions.  In all fairness, the entire Supporting Actor race has been thrown into flux.  No men from “Spotlight” has been nominated yet, more specifically Michael Keaton and Mark Ruffalo, who we all assumed would easily make the lineup, if not be the frontrunners.  There’s an easy to explain it.  It becomes like a “Team Jacob/Team Edward” situation.  There are those who believe one is far and away the better performer in the film while there’s another group who believe the exact opposite.  It’s also been learned that members of the HFPA even voted for either Liev Schreiber and/or Stanley Tucci. It’s interesting that the only female performer in the film Rachel McAdams managed the SAG lineup but missed out on the Golden Globes when contenders like Alicia Vikander and Rooney Mara were out of the way.

On the women’s side, Helen Mirren has emerged as a possible double nominee for her work in “Woman in Gold” and “Trumbo,” and in the case of the latter, I think its going to peak its head at the end of the day.  There’s also the possibility of frontrunners Rooney Mara (possibly making a play in lead) and Alicia Vikander splitting with herself for both “The Danish Girl” and “Ex Machina.”  What a day that would be if both were missing from supporting, eh?  In the Lead Actress race, it is shaping up to be a death match between “Room’sBrie Larson and “Brooklyn’sSaoirse Ronan, both of which are running the gauntlet in critics prizes.  “Room” has been performing very well on the nomination front while “Brooklyn” hasn’t been popping up at the places we thought it would particularly Best Picture (Drama) at the Globes.

For now, Oscar Predictions are updated to reflect thoughts on the past few days.  Click through all the categories to read commentary or look at the sidebar for the collective bunch

Include your thoughts in the comments below.

CHECK OUT ALL THE PREDICTIONS FOR THE OSCARS:

PICTURE |DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS |SUPPORTING ACTOR |SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN |CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING |VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT

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Written by Clayton Davis

Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor and Owner of AwardsCircuit.com. Born in Bronx, NY to a Puerto Rican mother and Black father, he’s been criticizing film and television for over a decade. Clayton is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to the awards season, the Critics Choice Awards. He also founded the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association, the first Latino-based critics’ organization in the United States. He’s also an active member of the African-American Film Critics Association, New York Film Critics Online, International Press Academy, Black Reel Awards, and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association. Clayton has been quoted and appeared in various outlets that include The New York Times, CNN.com, Variety, Deadline, Los Angeles Times, FOX 5, Bloomberg Television, AOL, Huffington Post, Bloomberg Radio, The Wrap, Slash Film, and the Hollywood Reporter.

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Jamie Teller

I would be stunned if Mirren actually got an Oscar nomination. It’s not that she’s not fun to hate, but…come on, world.

I don’t mind Ruffalo losing ground; Keaton got screwed last year–that much will become more obvious as time goes on–but if they don’t make up for it this year, my heart won’t break.

Fingers crossed that the Academy remembers Ex Machina.

Billie_Dawn

Wouldn’t Fury Road be considered an adapted screenplay? I thought the Academy had a blanket “all sequels are adapted” rule.

Luke McGowan

Why is Depp below Smith? Depp got SAG, Smith got Globe – everyone knows what’s a more reliable precursor

Nikos Jordan

How does Jennifer Lawrence not being nominated for SAG effect her chances of being nominated for an Oscar?

Alec Glass

Here’s what I’m wondering is happening in supporting actor: the very public love for Spotlight having GG/SAG voters place them a bit lower in favor of the SWATHS of options in this very competitive category that they all felt NEEDED to be fought for (cause there’s no end to the contenders that keep popping up and being remembered), assuming Michael and Mark were the only ones safe. On top of that, I wonder if those who were voting with Spotlight in mind were responding to the public love for Michael Keaton and Mark Ruffalo over the rest of the cast… Read more »

Phillip Milner

I was just telling my brother the other day that if Leo loses this year, he will probably never win.

Luke McGowan

Blythe Danners massive campaign doesn’t seem to be going well for her.

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