2014 Golden Globe Awards Preview – A Big Comedy Year Ahead!

InsideLlewynDavis_OscarIsaacThis Oscar race is heating folks, and in a big way.  By my calculations, there are three overly stacked categories that will inevitably have worthy contenders sitting on the sidelines this year.  Obviously, Best Picture always has more than nine films that are more than worthy of a nomination.  They’ll likely include a film or two that have no business being there but nonetheless, it’s amazingly stacked.  The hyperbolic phrases and praise coming from Toronto, Telluride, and Venice have twenty films in the lineup.  AMPAS will have the chance to bring that down to about nine pictures.  Lead Actor and Lead Actress are stacking up to impossible heights at the moment.  I can’t wait to see some of the films over the next few weeks and weigh in on them with logic.

As I gear up to update the official Oscar Predictions later this week (awaiting more films to screen and more deals to be made before unveiling them), I thought this would be a good time to take a look at where the Hollywood Foreign Press Association can kick-start the season.  Dubbed as a “star-loving” voting body, the Golden Globes have included some eclectic choices in their lineup.  Last year was the first time that their Best Picture (Drama) winner lined up with Oscar’s Best Picture winner since “Slumdog Millionaire.”  Been known to go with the populist choice like “Avatar,” “The Social Network,” and “The Descendants” – the HFPA loves to please the studios and the audiences.

This year, they will have some A-list stars and filmmakers to choose from.  Some weird choices you will see down below will be explained.

  • BruceDern_NebraskaI’m unsure where they could place Alexander Payne’s “Nebraska” in either Drama or Comedy/Musical.  My initial take is it goes the way of Drama but even with that, they’ll likely look at stars like Leonardo DiCaprio and Hugh Jackman over star Bruce Dern, and not be able to resist.  Especially if Robert Redford is at the top of the heap of their choices for “All is Lost.”
  • I’m guessing John Lee Hancock’s “Saving Mr. Banks” could get the push into Comedy/Musical by Walt Disney Studios even though those who have read the script say its a hard-hitting drama.  Even with Tom Hanks set up to be campaigned Supporting for his role as Walt Disney, he could get bumped up to lead for the Globes like past nominees who have followed suit like Catherine Zeta-Jones (“Chicago”) and Jake Gyllenhaal (“Brokeback Mountain”), who did not get cited.
  • I held off on the inclusion of John Carney’s “Can a Song Save Your Life” in any major categories until a release date is told.
  • Though the trailer showed some very tender moments from Joaquin Phoenix and his voice-box narrated by Scarlett Johansson, Spike Jonze’s upcoming “Her” may have a better shot of recognition in Comedy/Musical.  Last year, Sarah Polley’s “Take this Waltz,” a film darkly dramatic with very few comedic undertones was campaigned here.  Same goes for Stephen Chbosky’s “The Perks of Being a Wallflower.”
  • Many of us, including myself, believe in the power of Chiwetel Ejiofor and his performance in Steve McQueen’s “12 Years a Slave.”  I ignored the film in many categories including Lead Actor and Director, something that the HFPA may pass over for something “easier.”  They did pass on “Milk” and “Capote” in a big way and both still went on to gain major Oscar traction.
  • Speaking of laughing, the Comedy/Musical category is very thick this year with contenders.  The Weinstein Company could push Stephen Frears’ “Philomena” there in order to secure the film along with Judi Dench and possibly Steve Coogan in their categories.  Woody Allen’s “Blue Jasmine” and Ben Stiller’s “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty” should both hit big, given the latter gets the positive words we expect.  Cate Blanchett should walk away with her third Golden Globe award easily.  I wonder if something like “The Bling Ring” and “Before Midnight” could wiggle their way into the lineup.

Check out the predictions down below.  Predicted winners are in BOLD.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Wolf of Wall Street

ALTERNATES:
Lee Daniels’ The Butler
August: Osage County
Foxcatcher
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Labor Day

BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Blue Jasmine
Inside Llewyn Davis
Philomena

The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Saving Mr. Banks

ALTERNATES:
Can a Song Save Your Life?
Enough Said
Her
The Bling Ring
The Way, Way Back

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE – DRAMA
Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford – All is Lost

ALTERNATES:
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Hugh Jackman – Prisoners
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Forest Whitaker – Lee Daniels’ The Butler

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
Joaquin Phoenix – Her
Ben Stiller – The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

ALTERNATES:
Ethan Hawke – Before Midnight
James Franco – Spring Breakers
Steve Carell – The Way, Way Back
Robert DeNiro – The Family
Johnny Depp – The Lone Ranger

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE – DRAMA
Amy Adams – American Hustle
Sandra Bullock – Gravity
Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
Kate Winslet – Labor Day

ALTERNATES:
Nicole Kidman – Grace of Monaco
Berenice Bejo – The Past
Marion Cotillard – The Immigrant
Rooney Mara – Ain’t Them Bodies Saints
Scarlett Johansson – Under the Skin

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Julie Delpy – Before Midnight
Judi Dench – Philomena
Greta Gerwig – Frances Ha
Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks

ALTERNATES:
Kristen Wiig – The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Emma Watson – The Bling Ring
Michelle Pfeiffer – The Family
Keira Knightley – Can a Song Save Your Life?
Shailene Woodley – The Spectacular Now

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
George Clooney – Gravity
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher

ALTERNATES:
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
John Goodman – Inside Llewyn Davis
Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners
Benedict Cumberbatch – August: Osage County
Matthew McConaughey – Mud

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
Margo Martindale – August: Osage County
Carey Mulligan – Inside Llewyn Davis
Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniels’ The Butler

ALTERNATES:
Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine
Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station
Cameron Diaz – The Counselor
Jennifer Garner – Dallas Buyers Club
Kristin Scott Thomas – Only God Forgives

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis
Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
David O. Russell – American Hustle
Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street

ALTERNATES:
Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
George Clooney – The Monuments Men
John Lee Hancock – Saving Mr. Banks
John Wells – August: Osage County
Alexander Payne – Nebraska

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Foxcatcher
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis

ALTERNATES:
The Wolf of Wall Street
Captain Phillips
Before Midnight
Fruitvale Station
The Place Beyond the Pines

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Hans Zimmer – 12 Years a Slave
John Williams – The Book Thief
Mychael Danna – Foxcatcher
Steven Price – Gravity
Thomas Newman – Saving Mr. Banks

ALTERNATES:
Alexandre Desplat – The Monuments Men
Randy Newman – Monsters University
Hans Zimmer – Rush
Howard Shore – The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Rolfe Kent – Labor Day

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Young and Beautiful” from The Great Gatsby
“Please Mr. Kennedy” from Inside Llewyn Davis
“Sweeter than Fiction” from One Chance
“Best Song Ever” from This Is Us
UNKNOWN from Can a Song Save Your Life?

ALTERNATES:
Frozen
Jack Ryan
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Black Nativity
Machete Kills

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Croods
Free Birds
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

ALTERNATES:
Ernest & Celestine
Epic
Despicable Me 2
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
Disney’s Planes

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Blue is the Warmest Color
Child’s Pose
Gloria
The Lunchbox
The Past

ALTERNATES:
The Hunt
Pioneer
Two Lives
The Yellow Affair
The Notebook

Discuss in the comments.