Emmys Circuit: Drama Supporting Actress

The supporting categories at the Emmys can often be ripe for frequent rotation, despite continual good work. Sometimes, many of the contenders die in their shows (see: Drama Supporting Actor, which we’ll get to in a few weeks), but often new contenders push perennial nominees to the sidelines. But will that happen this season?

Check out Clayton’s Prediction’s HERE, and be sure to check out the two most recent Emmys Circuits on Drama Lead Actor and Comedy Supporting Actor.

 

2014 Nominees:

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  • Anna Gunn, Breaking Badwinner
  • Morena Baccarin, Homeland
  • Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
  • Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
  • Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
  • Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Last year, we saw a great lineup for this race. After being snubbed for Homeland’s first season, the great Morena Baccarin snuck into the race. Likewise, Game of Throne’s growing success finally pulled someone other than Peter Dinklage into the TV Academy’s gaze. And best of all, Anna Gunn finally won her Emmy for playing one of the most misunderstood and, therefore, most reviled characters on TV.

The Contenders:

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ANNA GUNN — BREAKING BAD
It’s always safe to bet on the reigning champion who is acting in not only the reigning Drama Series winner, but the current Drama Series frontrunner. Indeed, Anna Gunn has a few great tapes to submit for the final season of Breaking Bad. The question isn’t whether she’ll get a nomination, but, rather: “Will she win again?”

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MAGGIE SMITH — DOWNTON ABBEY
Say what you will about Maggie Smith reinventing throwing shade week in and week out on Downton Abbey, but the TV Academy loves her (and so do I!). I’d be shocked to see Smith snubbed, despite the fact that overall, I’m predicting the TV Academy to cool its jets on Downton. Can the 2012 winner repeat?

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CHRISTINA HENDRICKS — MAD MEN
Many thought that the ever-wonderful Christina Hendricks was finally going to win Mad Men’s first acting Emmy back in 2012 for her killer submission, “The Other Woman.” Alas. With 13 episodes, it was always tough for Hendricks to get adequate screen time, and with just 7 this half-season, she had even less. Did she stand out enough for voters?

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CHRISTINE BARANSKI — THE GOOD WIFE
Emmy favorite Christine Baranski is surely to return to the lineup for her work on this much-buzzed season of The Good Wife. Even last year, when the TV Academy forgot The Good Wife existed, Baranski managed a nomination.

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EMILIA CLARKE – GAME OF THRONES
Last year’s most surprising nominee in this category is sure to return, right? I’d argue that Emilia Clarke may not have a good episode of Game of Thrones to submit—but she didn’t last year and was nominated nevertheless.

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MICHELLE MONAGHAN — TRUE DETECTIVE
While the majority of True Detective’s love was rightfully vested in its male leads, it would be foolish to diminish the accomplishment of TV and film yeo-woman Michelle Monaghan. Could she be this year’s Michelle Forbes?

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BELLAMY YOUNG – SCANDAL
Many people love Bellamy Young for her work in Scandal. But much of the palpable buzz for the show seems concentrated on either the show’s plot or its star, Kerry Washington.

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JOANNE FROGGATT — DOWNTON ABBEY
The surprising 2011 nominee, Joanne Froggatt, was not invited back in 2012 for her delightful work on Downton Abbey. While the show’s third season—er, series?—gave the Mr. and Mrs. Bates very little to do, the fourth season of the show gave them a little too much. Anna suffers a very dramatic attack midway through the season, and Froggatt nails the character study. If they’re still watching, they surely took notice.

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SOPHIE TURNER & MAISIE WILLIAMS — GAME OF THRONES
After three seasons of being sidelined for Michelle Fairley on HBO’s supporting actress submission FYC, the last two surviving female Starks—Sophie Turner and Maisie Williams—are finally getting their due. But which, if either, will voters prefer? Williams has had the better run overall, but Turner had that scene.

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MORENA BACCARIN — HOMELAND
After being nominated in 2013, the Homeland writers all but eliminated Morena Baccarin’s character from the show. I don’t even know if she’ll be submitted in this category.

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SANDRA OH – GREY’S ANATOMY
Poor Sandra Oh nearly won this race about three times for her work on Grey’s Anatomy. Now that she’s exited the long-running ABC medical drama, will voters desire to give her one last sign of life?

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MELISSA McBRIDE — THE WALKING DEAD
Fan favorite Melissa McBride managed a Critics Choice nomination for her work on The Walking Dead. However, the TV Academy has never proven to care about this show, unless it’s voting for Best Makeup.

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JESSICA PARE & JANUARY JONES — MAD MEN
Both former Mrs. Don Drapers had strong, albeit small, turns this half-season of Mad Men. Former Lead Actress nominee, January Jones, has a great tape to submit where she drinks unpasteurized milk. On the flip side, Jessica Pare has about three episodes where she breaks up with Jon Hamm. Great stuff, but will voters return to Jones or finally discover Pare?

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MOLLY PARKER – HOUSE OF CARDS
If the TV Academy likes House of Cards, and not just its glossy prestige, they could go for the less-famous co-stars, like the show’s most prominent addition in the gaping absence of Corey Stoll: Molly Parker.

I feel weird predicting six nominees all of whom have been nominated in this category before, and five of which were just nominated last year. Yet, as I look at the contenders, only Michelle Monaghan and Bellamy Young seem to be serious threats for newbies in this race. With each, I seriously question their chances. With Young, I wonder how much love they’ll throw Scandal without nominating it for Drama Series. Likewise, with Monaghan, I wonder if she can capture residual love from McConaughey and Harrelson.

Gunn has the crown; Smith has the sass and the prestige; Hendricks has Mad Men’s fans; Baranski has The Good Wife lovers and her cult; Clarke has the fanboys; and Froggatt has, hopefully, a crop of Abbey lovers who want to reward a good performance.

Predicted Nominees, In Order Of Nomination Likelihood (NOT winning likelihood):

  1. Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
  2. Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
  3. Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
  4. Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
  5. Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
  6. Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey

So did I forget anyone? Where am I wrong? Speak to me, Emmy gurus!