The 2015 Toronto Film Festival is coming to a close soon and the People’s Choice Award will likely be announced on Sunday. Films like “Spotlight,” “Room,” or “Brooklyn” look like likely candidates to take the prize. My guess is “Spotlight” to take it based on all that love it. The last three winners of the audience award have gone on to be nominated and/or win at the Oscars.
Oscar Predictions have been given a tweak, but they’re pretty substantial. Saturday morning, The Film Stage dropped this little tweet.
The Hateful Eight had first test screening. 3+ hours w/ overture & intermission. @SamuelLJackson & JJL have biggest roles. Strong response.
— The Film Stage (@TheFilmStage) September 19, 2015
The internet acted accordingly, screaming from long and far that this is the year for Quentin Tarantino to win his prize for Best Picture and Best Director, along with Samuel L. Jackson to take Supporting Actor. With reservations, I’m excited for this. Harvey Weinstein will have plenty to say on the matter when it drops at some point but he also has “Carol” to play with and that could eat up a lot of his focus.
You’ll see based on the updates, “Inside Out” from Pixar and “Son of Saul” from Sony Pictures Classics have made their first appearance in the Best Picture lineup. “Spotlight’s” Tom McCarthy sits one spot behind presumed frontrunner Steven Spielberg for “Bridge of Spies” in Best Director but he sits at the #1 spot in Best Original Screenplay.
Going by a presumed switcheroo that may be coming from Open Road Films, Michael Keaton moves to the lead charts while Mark Ruffalo sits comfortably in Supporting Actor. It’s a performance that can surely win the category if campaigned there. Brie Larson is on the cusp on entering the Best Actress lineup for “Room” and Rooney Mara could do battle with fellow Weinstein counterpart Jennifer Jason Leigh if “The Hateful Eight” tweets are correct.
Many films are moving their way out of the 2015 slate including Open Roads’ “Snowden,” which looks like a strong tactic to focus on “Spotlight” and “The Little Prince” will likely sit this year out after landing big at Cannes. That bodes extremely well for Charlie Kaufman’s “Anomalisa” which joins the Animated Feature predictions. Films without release dates are being moved out of the predictions in most places. That includes “Genius,” “The Program,” “Miles Ahead,” “The Light Between Oceans,” “Tulip Fever,” “The Whole Truth,” “The Last Face,” and “The Great Gilly Hopkins.” By this time, we need to be cleaning up the slate. If it isn’t being announced yet as a 2015 release, it’s likely never going to be.
The first awards screener was received this week in the form of “I’ll See You In My Dreams” for Best Actress hopeful Blythe Danner. Its as good a time as any to launch the “Awards Season Tracker” formerly called the FYC Tracker. This will be the place to keep an eye on all marketing materials that are going out over the next few months and which films and performances have the backing from the studio. Bleecker Street believes in Danner based on the faith.
Check out the updated predictions on the sidebar and by clicking on the categories below. You should expect either weekly or bi-weekly Oscar Predictions moving forward because it’s that time of the year.
Share your thoughts on the race in the comments below!
CLICK ON THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:
PICTURE | DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT