Oscars: Predicting the Narrative with Golden Globes and SAG Guesses

The Hollywood Foreign Press Academy is an eclectic bunch.  As we constantly speculate about the Oscar conversation, the Golden Globes have become equally as important in not just predicting nominees/winners, but giving artists a platform to kick-start their road to the podium.  It’s important to gauge the temperature about what they could cite for the upcoming show.  Equally, if not slightly more important is the Screen Actors Guild awards, a much larger group that gives us an accurate idea about where the actor’s passion lies in the industry for the Oscars.  As well as an Oscar Predictions update, I’ve taken the first stab at predicting both of those award shows, which when placed next to each other, tell a narrative for the upcoming awards season.

GOLDEN GLOBES PREDICTIONS

steve jobs fassbender rogen françois duhamel universalBEST PICTURE – DRAMA

  1. Steve Jobs” (Universal Pictures)
  2. Spotlight” (Open Road Films)
  3. The Revenant” (20th Century Fox)
  4. The Hateful Eight” (The Weinstein Company)
  5. Brooklyn” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

ALTERNATE: “Bridge of Spies” (DreamWorks/Walt Disney)

the_big_short-620x302BEST PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

  1. The Martian” (20th Century Fox)
  2. The Big Short” (Paramount Pictures)
  3. Trumbo” (Bleecker Street)
  4. Love & Mercy” (Roadside Attractions)
  5. Trainwreck” (Universal Pictures)

ALTERNATE: “Burnt” (The Weinstein Company)

blackmassBEST ACTOR – DRAMA

  1. Johnny Depp – “Black Mass
  2. Leonardo DiCaprio – “The Revenant”
  3. Michael Fassbender – “Steve Jobs
  4. Eddie Redmayne – “The Danish Girl
  5. Michael Caine – “Youth”

ALTERNATE: Jake Gyllenhaal – “Southpaw

martianBEST ACTOR – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

  1. Matt Damon – “The Martian
  2. Bryan Cranston – “Trumbo”
  3. Tom Hiddleston – “I Saw the Light
  4. Paul Dano – “Love & Mercy
  5. Bradley Cooper – “Burnt”

ALTERNATE: Joaquin Phoenix – “Irrational Man

brie-larson-escapes-from-confined-space-in-roomBEST ACTRESS – DRAMA

  1. Brie Larson – “Room
  2. Jennifer Lawrence – “Joy”
  3. Cate Blanchett – “Carol
  4. Cate Blanchett – “Truth
  5. Saoirse Ronan – “Brooklyn

ALTERNATE: Carey Mulligan – “Suffragette

grandma_612x380_0BEST ACTRESS – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

  1. Lily Tomlin – “Grandma
  2. Amy Schumer – “Trainwreck
  3. Melissa McCarthy – “Spy
  4. Maggie Smith – “The Lady in the Van”
  5. Meryl Streep – “Ricki and the Flash

ALTERNATE: Sandra Bullock – “Our Brand is Crisis”

Bridge-of-Spies-Mark-RylanceBEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Mark Rylance – “Bridge of Spies
  2. Idris Elba – “Beasts of No Nation
  3. Benicio del Toro – “Sicario
  4. Tom Hardy – “The Revenant”
  5. Jason Mitchell – “Straight Outta Compton

ALTERNATE: Harvey Keitel – “Youth”

Jennifer-Jason-Leigh’s-performance-is-the-most-surprisingBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh – “The Hateful Eight”
  2. Alicia Vikander – “The Danish Girl
  3. Rooney Mara – “Carol
  4. Kate Winslet – “Steve Jobs
  5. Jane Fonda – “Youth”

ALTERNATE: Kristen Stewart – “Clouds of Sils Maria

revenant2BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE

  1. Danny Boyle – “Steve Jobs”
  2. Tom McCarthy – “Spotlight”
  3. Quentin Tarantino – “The Hateful Eight”
  4. Alejandro G. Inarritu – “The Revenant”
  5. Ridley Scott – “The Martian”

ALTERNATE: David O. Russell – “Joy”

spotlight_openroadBEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE

  1. Spotlight” – Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer
  2. Steve Jobs” – Aaron Sorkin
  3. The Hateful Eight” – Quentin Tarantino
  4. Joy” – David O. Russell, Annie Mumolo
  5. Brooklyn” – Nick Hornby

ALTERNATE: “Room” – Emma Donaghue

Inside-Out-2015-Disney-MovieBEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  1. Inside Out” (Pixar)
  2. The Good Dinosaur” (Pixar)
  3. Anomalisa” (Paramount Pictures)
  4. Shaun the Sheep” (Aardman)
  5. Home” (20th Century Fox)

ALTERNATE: “The Peanuts Movie” (20th Century Fox)

sicario_imageBEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  1. Bridge of Spies” – Thomas Newman
  2. Steve Jobs” – Daniel Pemberton
  3. Sicario” – Johann Johansson
  4. Southpaw” – James Horner
  5. The Walk” – Alan Silvestri

ALTERNATE: “Inside Out” – Michael Giacchino

spectre-posterBEST ORIGINAL SONG

  1. Furious 7” – “See You Again”
  2. Spectre” – “Writing On the Wall”
  3. Fifty Shades of Grey” – “Earned It”
  4. Southpaw” – “Phenomenal”
  5. Pitch Perfect 2” – “Flashlight”

ALTERNATE: “Love & Mercy” – “One Kind of Love”

sonofsaul_imageBEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  1. Son of Saul” – HUNGARY
  2. Labyrinth of Lies” – GERMANY
  3. The Assassin” – TAIWAN
  4. Aferim” – ROMANIA
  5. Mustang” – FRANCE

ALTERNATE: “The Second Mother” (BRAZIL)

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SCREEN ACTORS GUILD PREDICTIONS

joy_posterBEST PERFORMANCE BY A CAST ENSEMBLE

  1. Spotlight” (Open Road) –
    Michael Keaton, Mark Ruffalo, Rachel McAdams, Stanley Tucci, Liev Schreiber, John Slattery, Billy Crudup, Brian d’Arcy James
  2. Steve Jobs” (Universal Pictures) –
    Michael Fassbender, Kate Winslet, Seth Rogen, Jeff Daniels, Michael Stuhlbarg, Katherine Waterston, Sarah Snook, John Ortiz, Adam Shapiro
  3. The Hateful Eight” (The Weinstein Company) –
    Kurt Russell, Samuel L. Jackson, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Bruce Dern, Tim Roth, Demian Bichir, Michael Madsen, Channing Tatum, Walter Goggins
  4. Room” (A24 Films) –
    Brie Larson, Joan Allen, Jacob Tremblay, William H. Macy
  5. Joy” (20th Century Fox) –
    Jennifer Lawrence, Bradley Cooper, Robert DeNiro, Diane Ladd, Edgar Ramirez, Isabella Rosellini

ALTERNATE: “Straight Outta Compton”

beasts1BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  1. Johnny Depp as “Whitey Bulgar” – “Black Mass” (Warner Bros.)
  2. Leonardo DiCaprio as “Hugo Glass” – “The Revenant” (20th Century Fox)
  3. Michael Fassbender as “Steve Jobs” – “Steve Jobs” (Universal Pictures)
  4. Eddie Redmayne as “Lili Elbe” – “The Danish Girl” (Focus Features)
  5. Abraham Attah as “Agu” – “Beasts of No Nation” (Netflix)

ALTERNATE: Tom Hanks as “James Donovan” – “Bridge of Spies”

45-Years-xlargeBEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  1. Brie Larson as “Ma” – “Room” (A24 Films)
  2. Carey Mulligan as “Maud Watts” – “Suffragette” (Focus Features)
  3. Saoirse Ronan as “Ellis Lacey” – “Brooklyn” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  4. Jennifer Lawrence as “Joy” – “Joy” (20th Century Fox)
  5. Charlotte Rampling as “Kate Mercer” – “45 Years” (Sundance Selects)

ALTERNATE: Lily Tomlin as “Elle Reid” – “Grandma” (Sony Pictures Classics)

sicario-cannes-film-festivalBEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. Michael Keaton as “Walter ‘Robby’ Robinson” – “Spotlight” (Open Road)
  2. Mark Ruffalo as “Michael Rezendes” – “Spotlight” (Open Road)
  3. Mark Rylance as “Rudolf Abel” – “Bridge of Spies” (DreamWorks)
  4. Benicio del Toro as “Alejandro” – “Sicario” (Lionsgate)
  5. Jacob Tremblay as “Jack” – “Room” (A24 Films)

ALTERNATE: Jason Mitchell as “Eazy E” – “Straight Outta Compton”

aliciavikander_danishgirlBEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. Jennifer Jason Leigh as “Daisy Domergue” – “The Hateful Eight” (The Weinstein Company)
  2. Alicia Vikander as “Gerda Wegener” – “The Danish Girl” (Focus Features)
  3. Kate Winslet as “Joanna Hoffman” – “Steve Jobs” (Universal Pictures)
  4. Rooney Mara as “Therese Belivet” – “Carol” (The Weinstein Company)
  5. Jane Fonda as “Brenda Morel” – “Youth” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

ALTERNATE: Rachel McAdams as “Sacha Pfeiffer” – “Spotlight” (Open Road)

madmax_girlsBEST PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road” (Warner Bros.)
  2. In the Heart of the Sea” (Warner Bros.)
  3. Furious 7” (Universal Pictures)
  4. Jurassic World” (Universal Pictures)
  5. The Martian” (20th Century Fox)

ALTERNATE: “The Revenant” (20th Century Fox)

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CHECK OUT THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS UPDATE:

PICTURE |DIRECTOR | LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS |SUPPORTING ACTOR |SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN |CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING |VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | FOREIGN LANGUAGE | LIVE ACTION SHORT | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT