Emmy Circuit: Will Netflix Finally Breakthrough with Wins?

Five Came Back

 

Not long ago, the question wasn’t “when will Netflix finally win a big Emmy?” but rather: “Will Netflix actually break into big categories?”  The online streaming service came out of the gate semi-strong with the first season of House of Cards.  I’ve always questioned the genuine passion behind that first season, given that its small handful of nominations were segregated to its Famous People–Kevin Spacey, Robin Wright, and David Fincher while overlooking its strong contingent of Not Famous People like Corey Stoll, Kate Mara, and its creator Beau Willimon.  It won only for Famous Fincher, following the time-honored Emmy tradition of giving directing Emmys to famous people who do pilots of TV shows.  The following year, Orange is the New Black broke onto the scene in comedy series while Cards nearly doubled its nomination haul, landing lower-key nominations for Reg E. Cathey, etc.  Following two Emmy wins for Orange/Black breakout star Uzo Aduba, Cathy, and an shockingly good freshman performance from Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, Netflix has more than proven its a real network.  Any yet, its only above-the-line wins hav been for Aduba and Fincher…can it win Series or a lead race?

DRAMA CATEGORIES

House of Cards

Netflix’s unofficial “original” original TV show seems to be one of their most divisive.  Some people think the show has gotten progressively better while others thinks it’s getting decidedly worse with with episode.  Nevertheless, one cannot argue that the shocking wasteland that is Best Actor in a Drama Series might finally pave the way for two-time Oscar winner Spacey’s long overdue Emmy.  Robin Wright was winning this category two years ago until a foolish tape submission foiled her chances.  Reg E. Cathey WON Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series last year, despite a so-so tape; he’s got an equally ho-hum episode this year, so I expect a similar showing.  Especially with the non-stop coverage of the 2016 Presidential Election, I’d be very surprisingly to see Cards loose steam this season.

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Drama Series
  • Best Directing
  • Best Writing
  • Best Actor in a Drama Series (Kevin Spacey)
  • Best Actress in a Drama Series (Robin Wright)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (Joel Kinnaman)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (Michael Kelly)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Ellen Burstyn)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Cicely Tyson)
  • Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series (Reg E. Cathey)
  • Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series (Sebastian Arcelus)
  • Best Casting
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Single Camera Picture Editing
  • Best Sound Mixing
  • Best Music Composition for a Series (Original Dramatic Score)

Orange is the New Black

orange-is-the-new-black-crazy-eyes

If Orange is the New Black were still a comedy in the eyes of the TV Academy, I think it’d be in line for a lot more nominations.  And yet, its switch to the drama races resulted in a paltry FOUR nominations and one win last year, following a first season of twelve nominations and three wins.  I don’t expect much of a S3 bump, despite its greatness.  Back-to-back Emmy winner Uzo Aduba is essentially the only safe bet, despite Crazy Eyes having a less-than-compelling season vis-a-vis the first two seasons.

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Drama Series
  • Best Direction
  • Best Writing
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series (Uzo Aduba)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series (Kate Mulgrew)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (Nick Sandow)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Natasha Lyonne)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Matt McGorry)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series (Mary Steenburgen)
  • Best Casting
  • Best Single Camera Picture Editing (x3)

Bloodline

Are they watching this?  Will they have time to binge the show between Memorial Day and when ballots are due?

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Drama Series
  • Best Actor in a Drama Series (Kyle Chandler)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (Ben Mendelsohn)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series (Sissy Spacek)
  • Best Cinematography
MARVEL'S JESSICA JONES
MARVEL’S JESSICA JONES

Marvel’s Jessica Jones

Awards Circuit has already dug into the brilliant first season’s Emmy chances, and I’ll happily add my glowing endorsement of Krysten Ritter and David Tenant, who’s in too many episodes (all) to be considered a Guest performer under the new, silly Emmy rules instituted last year that laid waste to Orange is the New Black’s domination of the guest races.

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Actress in a Drama Series (Krysten Ritter)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (David Tenant)
  • Best Directing
  • Best Writing
  • Best Stunt Coordination
  • Best Supporting VFX
  • Best Main Title Design
  • Best Sound Mixing
  • Best Sound Editing

Marvel’s Daredevil

Season 2 got good reviews, but will they see it on the same dramatic scale as Jessica Jones or is this just a stunt play?

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Stunts
  • Best Sound Mixing
  • Best Sound Editing
  • Best Supporting VFX
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series (Jon Bernthal)

COMEDY CATEGORIES

“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

unbreakable-kimmy-schmidt1

Reviews of the second season of the Ellie Kemper vehicle we’re as passionate as those for its freshman season.  With no Edie Falco, Lisa Kudrow, or Amy Poehler in Comedy Actress, can Kemper find room?  Will Oscar nominee Carol Kane find her way to a support actress nomination for a season that finally found use for her?  Will Emmy-winner (!!!) Jon Hamm get a guest nomination for 15 seconds of work?

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Comedy Series
  • Best Directing
  • Best Writing
  • Best Actress in a Comedy Series (Ellie Kemper)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series (Tituss Burgess)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series (Carol Kane)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series (Jane Krakowski)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series (Tina Fey)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series (Lisa Kudrow)
  • Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series (David Cross)
  • Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series (Jon Hamm)
  • Best Casting
  • Best Stunts in a Comedy

“Master of None”

masterofnone_aziz

Much ado was made over Aziz Ansari‘s masterful Master of None when it premiered last fall, which topped off with a Best Comedy Series win at the Critics Choice Awards.

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Comedy Series
  • Best Directing
  • Best Writing
  • Best Actor in a Comedy Series (Aziz Ansari)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series (Noël Wells)
  • Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series (Shoukath Ansari)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series (Claire Danes)
  • Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series (Condola Rashad)

“Grace & Frankie”

Whether you’re in the small group who like this show or the much larger group who’s never watched it, Grace & Frankie is an Emmy player until the TV Academy tells us otherwise.  While it unquestionably underperformed last season, scrapping a mere single nomination for Lily Tomlin, there’s always room for the rest of the cast to suddenly burst onto the scene.

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Actress in a Comedy Series (Jane Fonda)
  • Best Actress in a Comedy Series (Lily Tomlin)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series (Sam Waterston)
  • Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series (Martin Sheen)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series (June Diane Raphael)

MOVIE/MINISERIES

“A Very Murray Christmas”

Quite the surprising contender on its face, and yet Sofia Coppola‘s film has scrapped together and impressive list of precursor nominations, including a SAG nod for recent Emmy-winner Bill Murray, a PGA nod for Movie/Mini, and a DGA nod for Coppola.  We are talking about the same TV Academy that gave Grace of Monaco a handsome sum of nominations. All bets are off?

Likely Nominations:

  • Best Made for TV Movie
  • Best Director
  • Best Writing
  • Best Actor in a Movie/Mini (Bill Murray)
  • Best Supporting Actress in a Movie/Mini (Miley Cyrus)

Netflix also has Narcos and Sens8 in Drama Series along with Love and Wet Hot American Summer in Comedy Series, but I doubt any of those 4 will make waves.

What are your favorite Netflix shows?  Sound off in the comments!