The official submission for Germany for the Foreign Language Oscar, “Toni Erdmann” is probably one of the surest things going into the season. Cannes loved it, Sony Pictures Classics is feeling exceptionally confident on its chances, and it could be one of those that breaks out in other categories like Original Screenplay. With a Christmas Day release, playing the festival circuit is essential to mounting a successful campaign. If we were still operating on a straight ten BP nominee system, we would be talking about this a bit more. Perhaps we still can?