Oscars: ‘Fences’ Lands and Golden Globes Chasing the Hollywood Couples?

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The beginning of Phase 1 has officially kicked off. FYC ads and sites are up and running, pundits are chiming in with predictions and commentary, and events are taking place to put the right films and performers in front of the right voting member.

Over the next four weeks, studios are setting up special screenings for voting members of the HFPA, BFCA, SAG, etc. This past weekend, the first SAG screening took place for Denzel Washington‘s “Fences.” The Twitter-sphere exploded with many critics and pundits declaring the race over in at least two categories, Lead Actor and Supporting Actress. I am always hesitant to declare anything “over,” but it’s good to know that there is seemingly good vibes surrounding the August Wilson film adaptation.

New York and Los Angeles crowds got their first look at Warren Beatty‘s highly anticipated “Rules Don’t Apply” in preparation for its premiere at AFI. With an intimate lunch to follow, Beatty was joined for the Q&A by his fellow co-stars Matthew Broderick, Lily Collins, and his wife, Annette Bening. Beautifully put together by New York socialite Peggy Siegal and her outstanding team, the event started to place the film in front of the right voting members. While Bening’s work in “Rules” won’t bring her Oscar attention in Supporting Actress, Beatty, on several occasions at the event, brought the focus back to her extraordinary work in Mike Mills’ “20th Century Women.”

Character actor Robert Wuhl (Tim Burton’s “Batman”) would also come to the microphone, calling Bening a “national treasure” before being followed by Oscar-winning screenwriter Geoffrey Fletcher (“Precious”), an Academy voting member himself.  This was a collection of decision makers that could have a huge influence on not just the film, but Beatty’s Oscar campaign.

bening_beattyBeatty looks to challenge presumed frontrunner Ryan Gosling for his work in Damien Chazelle’s “La La Land.” The narrative seems to be on the floor for the taking at the moment: watch both Warren Beatty and Annette Bening – Hollywood royalty – win Globes on the same evening.

With that, this week’s column is going to break down the race for the Golden Globes, which have received several key submissions over the past few weeks. It has been revealed that Hugh Grant has been submitted in Best Actor (Comedy or Musical) for the Globes, while he will compete in Supporting Actor for the rest of the season. His “Florence Foster Jenkins” co-star Meryl Streep has just been announced as the recipient of the Cecil B. Demille Award at the ceremony. If her future nomination wasn’t solidified before, it’s pure steel at this point.

Walt Disney Pictures listed their categories for “Moana” with Mark Mancina being the only credited composer on the film. Lin-Manuel Miranda will have three songs in the mix: “How Far I’ll Go,” “We Know the Way” and “You’re Welcome.” Look for the Globes to go check those off on their ballots accordingly.

One thing that the HFPA loves to do is double down on the same performer or artist and there’s quite a few opportunities for that this year. The most likely on that list is Denzel Washington, who has an opportunity to pop up in Best Actor (Drama) and Best Director. Some others include Amy Adams (“Arrival” and “Nocturnal Animals“), Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge” and “Silence”), Ryan Gosling (“La La Land” and “The Nice Guys“), Adam Driver (“Paterson” and “Silence”) and Greta Gerwig (“Maggie’s Plan” and “20th Century Women“). There are a few that may get boosts based on their television work: Viola Davis (“Fences” and ABC’s “How to Get Away with Murder”) and Taraji P. Henson (“Hidden Figures” and FOX’s “Empire”).

The Golden Globes have been known for their notorious following of A-listers no matter the quality they produce. Look at past nominees like Johnny Depp and Angelina Jolie for “The Tourist” for example. This can help dark horse contenders like Kristen Stewart (“Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” or “Cafe Society“) who seems to be out of the running for her works this year.

Warner Bros. set up their first screenings for Ben Affleck‘s “Live By Night.” BFCA will have special screenings set for them between Los Angeles and New York on Nov. 16 and Nov. 18, as well as over a dozen other cities for the regional critics. The first Academy screening is set up for Nov. 19. HFPA likes Affleck, with nominations for “Hollywoodland” and a win for “Argo” under his belt. Will they want to kick start a campaign for him in Best Actor and/or Director? What if Denzel isn’t the only actor/director in the mix? “Live By Night” could also offer one of three ladies the chance to shake up the seemingly locked Supporting Actress race: Elle Fanning, Sienna Miller and Zoe Saldana.

Check out the latest predictions for the Golden Globes down below. You can also visit the Oscar Prediction pages to find the newest updates.

SilenceBEST PICTURE (DRAMA)

  1. Silence” (Paramount Pictures)
  2. Fences” (Paramount Pictures)
  3. Jackie” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  4. Arrival” (Paramount Pictures)
  5. Lion” (The Weinstein Company)
  6. Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon Studios/Roadside Attractions)
  7. Moonlight” (A24)
  8. Live By Night” (Warner Bros.)
  9. Hidden Figures” (20th Century Fox)
  10. Loving” (Focus Features)

lala-landBEST PICTURE (COMEDY OR MUSICAL)

  1. La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
  2. 20th Century Women” (A24)
  3. Florence Foster Jenkins” (Paramount Pictures)
  4. Rules Don’t Apply” (20th Century Fox)
  5. Hail, Caesar!” (Universal Pictures)
  6. The Comedian” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  7. The Lobster” (A24)
  8. Love & Friendship” (Roadside Attractions)
  9. Everybody Wants Some!!” (Paramount Pictures)
  10. Cafe Society” (Sony Pictures Classics)

fences_trailerBEST ACTOR (DRAMA)

  1. Denzel Washington – “Fences”
  2. Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea
  3. Andrew Garfield – “Silence”
  4. Tom Hanks – “Sully
  5. Joel Edgerton – “Loving
  6. Jake Gyllenhaal – “Nocturnal Animals
  7. Andrew Garfield – “Hacksaw Ridge
  8. Matthew McConaughey – “Gold”
  9. Michael Keaton – “The Founder”
  10. Joseph Gordon-Levitt – “Snowden

rules_dont_apply_h_2016BEST ACTOR (COMEDY OR MUSICAL)

  1. Warren Beatty – “Rules Don’t Apply”
  2. Ryan Gosling – “La La Land
  3. Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins
  4. Robert DeNiro – “The Comedian”
  5. Colin Farrell – “The Lobster
  6. Adam Driver – “Paterson
  7. Ryan Reynolds – “Deadpool
  8. Don Cheadle – “Miles Ahead
  9. Viggo Mortensen – “Captain Fantastic
  10. Ryan Gosling – “The Nice Guys

jackie_0BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)

  1. Natalie Portman – “Jackie
  2. Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane”
  3. Amy Adams – “Arrival
  4. Isabelle Huppert – “Elle
  5. Taraji P. Henson – “Hidden Figures”
  6. Ruth Negga – “Loving
  7. Marion Cotillard – “Allied”
  8. Jennifer Lawrence – “Passengers”
  9. Rachel Weisz – “Denial”
  10. Rebecca Hall – “Christine”

annettebening_20thcenturywomenBEST ACTRESS (COMEDY OR MUSICAL)

  1. Annette Bening – “20th Century Women
  2. Emma Stone – “La La Land
  3. Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins
  4. Kate Beckinsale – “Love & Friendship”
  5. Sally Field – “Hello My Name is Doris”
  6. Susan Sarandon – “The Meddler
  7. Greta Gerwig – “Maggie’s Plan
  8. Hailee Steinfeld – “The Edge of Seventeen”
  9. Renee Zellweger – “Bridget Jones’ Baby”
  10. Sasha Lane – “American Honey”

silence_neesonBEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE

  1. Liam Neeson – “Silence”
  2. Peter Sarsgaard – “Jackie
  3. Michael Shannon – “Nocturnal Animals
  4. Lucas Hedges – “Manchester by the Sea
  5. Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight
  6. Aaron Eckhart – “Sully
  7. Alan Rickman – “Eye in the Sky
  8. Mykelti Williamson – “Fences”
  9. Timothy Spall – “Denial”
  10. Stephen McKinley Henderson – “Fences”

violadavis_fencesBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE

  1. Viola Davis – “Fences”
  2. Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea
  3. Naomie Harris – “Moonlight
  4. Nicole Kidman – “Lion
  5. Greta Gerwig – “20th Century Women
  6. Helen Mirren – “Eye in the Sky
  7. Molly Shannon – “Other People
  8. Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures”
  9. Janelle Monae – “Hidden Figures”
  10. Lupita Nyong’o – “Queen of Katwe

La La Land - Best DirectorBEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE

  1. Damien Chazelle – “La La Land
  2. Martin Scorsese – “Silence”
  3. Denzel Washington – “Fences”
  4. Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea
  5. Denis Villeneuve – “Arrival
  6. Pablo Larrain – “Jackie
  7. Garth Davis – “Lion
  8. Ben Affleck – “Live By Night”
  9. Warren Beatty – “Rules Don’t Apply”
  10. Jeff Nichols – “Loving

manchester-by-the-sea-movie-november-2016BEST SCREENPLAY

  1. Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea
  2. August Wilson – “Fences”
  3. Damien Chazelle – “La La Land
  4. Noah Oppenheim – “Jackie
  5. Jay Cocks – “Silence”
  6. Efthimis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos – “The Lobster
  7. Luke Davies – “Lion
  8. Eric Heisserer – “Arrival
  9. Ben Affleck – “Live By Night”
  10. Maren Ade – “Toni Erdmann

ArrivalBEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  1. Johann Johansson – “Arrival
  2. John Williams – “The BFG
  3. Mica Levi – “Jackie
  4. Abel Korzeniowski – “Nocturnal Animals
  5. Mark Mancina – “Moana”
  6. John Debney – “The Jungle Book
  7. Alexandre Desplat – “Florence Foster Jenkins
  8. Alan Silvestri – “Allied”
  9. David Wingo – “Loving
  10. Howard Shore – “Denial”

MoanaBEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  1. Moana” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  2. Zootopia” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  3. Kubo and the Two Strings” (Laika)
  4. Finding Dory” (Pixar)
  5. The Little Prince” (Netflix)
  6. Sing” (Universal Pictures)
  7. The Secret Life of Pets” (Illumination)
  8. Sausage Party” (Sony Pictures)
  9. Trolls” (DreamWorks Animation)
  10. Kung Fu Panda 3” (DreamWorks Animation)

toni-erdmannBEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  1. Toni Erdmann” – Germany
  2. The Salesman” – Iran
  3. Neruda” – Chile
  4. Elle” – France
  5. Land of Mine” – Denmark
  6. Julieta” – Spain
  7. Sand Storm” – Israel
  8. Ma’Rosa” – Philippines
  9. My Life as a Zucchini” – Saudi Arabia
  10. Tanna” – Australia

lalalandBEST ORIGINAL SONG

  1. “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from “La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
  2. “We Know the Way” from “Moana” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  3. “Victory” from “Hidden Figures” (20th Century Fox)
  4. “Can’t Stop the Feeling” from “Trolls” (DreamWorks Animation)
  5. “The Great Beyond” from “Sausage Party” (Sony Pictures)
  6. “Go Now” from “Sing Street” (The Weinstein Company)
  7. “Back to Life” from “Queen of Katwe” (Walt Disney Pictures)
  8. “Rules Don’t Apply” from “Rules Don’t Apply” (20th Century Fox)
  9. “Faith” from “Sing” (Universal Pictures)
  10. “Never Give Up” from “Lion” (The Weinstein Company)

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