With nominations set, it is the peak of Oscar season. As such, several films are getting a second run or adding theaters. Meanwhile, “Glass” looks poised to repeat as box office champion, with very little new competition entering the fray. So far, January is running 13% behind last January. Perhaps a stronger weekend can help to close that gap with no competition from the NFL this weekend.
“Glass” is likely to drop by around 60% from its opening weekend last week. This would mean a weekend gross around $16.5M, and a domestic total of around $70M by the end of the weekend.
“The Upside” is expected to drop by only 20% this weekend as it adds a few theaters and continues to play well with Kevin Hart’s name in the headlines. The film looks likely to deliver around $12M this weekend.
“The Kid Who Would Be King” debuts in over 3,500 theaters this weekend and the studio is looking for somewhere in the $10M range. Look for the film to fall just short of this number, despite solid reviews, as it finishes in third place.
“Aquaman” and “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” look set to continue their strong performances by adding around $6M to their respective tallies. This would bring “Aquaman” to around $315M domestically and bring “Spider-Man” to $168M domestically.
Limited competition means “A Dog’s Way Home” gets to hang on to almost all of its theaters, as it looks set to deliver around $5.5M this weekend.
The big question mark for the weekend is Aviron’s “Serenity,” starring Matthew McConaughey and Anne Hathaway. Opening in 2,500 theaters in a sparse weekend should be enough to deliver a top five finish, but lackluster reviews might dampen its performance. The film currently sits at 24% on Rotten Tomatoes. Couple that with a lack of promotion and the film might disappoint on even its humble $5M projection.
The rest of the top 10 is likely to be filled in with holdovers and Oscar hopefuls that are adding theaters to capitalize on nominations. “Vice,” “A Star Is Born,” “Bohemian Rhapsody,” “The Favourite,” “Green Book” and “BlacKkKlansman” will all add hundreds of theaters this weekend in an attempt to capitalize on their Oscar momentum.
- Glass (3,843 theaters) – $16.5 M
- The Upside (3,377 theaters) – $12.0 M
- The Kid Who Would be King (3,521 theaters) – $9.0 M
- Aquaman (3,134 theaters) – $6.3 M
- Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse (2,383 theaters) – $5.6 M
- Dragon Ball Super: Broly (??? theaters) – $5.5 M
- A Dog’s Way Home (3,081 theaters) – $5.4 M
- Green Book (2,426 theaters) – $5.2 M
- Serenity (2,561 theaters) – $5.0 M
- Escape Room (2,192 theaters) – $3.4 M