After a slow January and a sleepy start to February, the box office year seems ready to begin in earnest. This weekend features something for everyone. “The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part” is likely to win the weekend, but the Taraji P. Henson led “What Men Want” is likely to get off to an impressive start as well. There is also the action thriller, “Cold Pursuit,” and Orion’s latest horror offering, “The Prodigy,” which are each set to open in over 2500 theaters. Four openings that size makes this a crowded weekend.
“The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part” should easily finish #1 this weekend opening in over 4,300 theaters. The studio is forecasting anywhere from $50-55M and IMDb page views suggest it should open in the neighborhood of other similarly situated animated sequels like “Hotel Transylvania 2.” The franchise has so far enjoyed mixed results with “The LEGO Movie” opening with a hefty $69M en route to a $257M domestic run and the more recent The “LEGO Batman Movie” and “The LEGO Ninjago Movie” seeing more modest results. “The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part” will likely fall somewhere in between.
Paramount’s “What Men Want” looks to go after an entirely different audience segment this weekend. The film is currently tracking somewhere between last year’s “Nobody’s Fool” on the low end and 2017’s “Girls Trip” on the high end. That range points to somewhere around a $20M opening.
Perhaps the most talked about release this weekend is Lionsgate’s “Cold Pursuit,” which sees Liam Neeson continue his streak of action thrillers in the vein of “Taken.” Unfortunately, much of the attention comes in the form of backlash against Neeson’s recent comments. It is unclear what impact that will have on the film, but the film profile’s like Neeson’s previous release, The Commuter, which debuted around $10M. Look for “Cold Pursuit” to do similar business this weekend.
The last major opener this weekend is “The Prodigy” from Orion. Horror is notoriously difficult to forecast, but films like “The Witch” and “The Gift” look like likely comps, which would suggest a debut just below the $10M range.
Beyond these new additions to the marketplace, the holdovers will be looking to add to their tallies. “The Upside” is likely to continue its trend of smaller than usual dips, but the rest of the top 10 looks more fluid and bunched together.
- The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part (4,303 theaters) – $55.0 M
- What Men Want (2,912 theaters) – $21.0 M
- Cold Pursuit (2,630 theaters) – $9.5 M
- The Prodigy (2,530 theaters) – $7.0 M
- The Upside (3,372 theaters) – $5.7 M
- Glass (3,253 theaters) – $5.5 M
- Miss Bala (2,203 theaters) – $3.8 M
- Aquaman (2,202 theaters) – $3.0 M
- Green Book (2,149 theaters) – $2.7 M
- Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse (1,726 theaters) – $2.4 M