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Final SAG Predictions – Will the SAG Ensemble Curse Be Broken?

Shape of Water

The SAG Nominations are tomorrow, lighting up an epicenter of talk about which performers and films will land Oscar nominations on Jan. 23.  As always, we’re looking at what films the membership may not have seen in time, anticipating snubs as just “mishaps” on the awards circuit.

We know the voting body has not seen Ridley Scott’s “All the Money in the World” so we can scratch that off for an Ensemble mention along with stars Michelle Williams and Christopher Plummer, who both received Golden Globe nominations earlier this week.

Word was the Paul Thomas Anderson’s “Phantom Thread” didn’t send out screeners in time to enough members so names like Daniel Day-Lewis and/or Lesley Manville may not be read.  We know for a fact that the voting committee didn’t see Michael Gracey’s “The Greatest Showman” with Hugh Jackman or Rian Johnson’s “Star Wars: The Last Jedi.”

Last year, the SAG Ensemble stat remained intact as “La La Land” failed to win Best Picture without a corresponding SAG nomination.  This year, honestly, any of the ten films could theoretically miss out on a nomination, and still be in the hunt for a Best Picture win.  Which film will it be?

Check out the predictions down below:

gallery 1510127037 tom hanks the postBEST PERFORMANCE BY A CAST ENSEMBLE

  1. THE POST” (20th Century Fox)
  2. LADY BIRD” (A24)
  3. THE FLORIDA PROJECT” (A24)
  4. MUDBOUND” (Netflix)
  5. THE SHAPE OF WATER” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  6. THE BIG SICK” (Amazon Studios)
  7. DUNKIRK” (Warner Bros.)
  8. DARKEST HOUR” (Focus Features)
  9. GET OUT” (Universal Pictures)
  10. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

14095 darkest hour trailer 1BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  1. GARY OLDMAN, “Darkest Hour” (Focus Features)
  2. TOM HANKS, “The Post” (20th Century Fox)
  3. JAMES FRANCO, “The Disaster Artist” (A24)
  4. TIMOTHEE CHALAMET, “Call Me by Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  5. CHRISTIAN BALE, “Hostiles” (Entertainment Studios)
  6. DENZEL WASHINGTON, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.” (Sony Pictures)
  7. DANIEL DAY-LEWIS, “Phantom Thread” (Focus Features)
  8. JAKE GYLLENHAAL, “Stronger” (Lionsgate)
  9. ANDREW GARFIELD, “Breathe” (Bleecker Street)
  10. DANIEL KALUUYA, “Get Out” (Universal Pictures)

itonya margotrobbieBEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

  1. MARGOT ROBBIE, “I, Tonya” (NEON)
  2. SALLY HAWKINS, “The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  3. MERYL STREEP, “The Post” (20th Century Fox)
  4. FRANCES MCDORMAND, “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  5. SAOIRSE RONAN, “Lady Bird” (A24)
  6. JESSICA CHASTAIN, “Molly’s Game” (STX Entertainment)
  7. EMMA STONE, “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  8. JUDI DENCH, “Victoria and Abdul” (Focus Features)
  9. BROOKLYNN PRINCE, “The Florida Project” (A24)
  10. GAL GADOT, “Wonder Woman” (Warner Bros.)

willemdafoeBEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. WILLEM DAFOE, “The Florida Project” (A24)
  2. SAM ROCKWELL, “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  3. ARMIE HAMMER, “Call Me by Your Name” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  4. RICHARD JENKINS, “The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  5. PATRICK STEWART, “Logan” (20th Century Fox)
  6. MARK RYLANCE, “Dunkirk” (Warner Bros.)
  7. BRYAN CRANSTON, “Last Flag Flying” (Amazon Studios)
  8. WOODY HARRELSON, “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  9. DONALD SUTHERLAND, “The Leisure Seeker” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  10. STEVE CARELL, “Battle of the Sexes” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

t Laurie Metcalf Lady BirdBEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. LAURIE METCALF, “Lady Bird” (A24)
  2. ALLISON JANNEY, “I, Tonya” (NEON)
  3. MARY J. BLIGE, “Mudbound” (Netflix)
  4. OCTAVIA SPENCER, “The Shape of Water” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
  5. LOIS SMITH, “Marjorie Prime” (FilmRise)
  6. HONG CHAU, “Downsizing” (Paramount Pictures)
  7. MELISSA LEO, “Novitiate” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  8. TIFFANY HADDISH, “Girls Trip” (Universal Pictures)
  9. HOLLY HUNTER, “The Big Sick” (Amazon Studios)
  10. TATIANA MASLANY, “Stronger” (Lionsgate)

Share your SAG Predictions in the comments below!

CLICK THE CATEGORY TO SEE THE OSCAR PREDICTIONS:

MOTION PICTURE | DIRECTOR |
LEAD ACTOR | LEAD ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE |
PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND MIXING | SOUND EDITING | VISUAL EFFECTS |
ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG |
FOREIGN LANGUAGE | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE |

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Written by Clayton Davis

Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor and Owner of AwardsCircuit.com. Born in Bronx, NY to a Puerto Rican mother and Black father, he’s been criticizing film and television for over a decade. Clayton is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to the awards season, the Critics Choice Awards. He also founded the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association, the first Latino-based critics’ organization in the United States. He’s also an active member of the African-American Film Critics Association, New York Film Critics Online, International Press Academy, Black Reel Awards, and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association. Clayton has been quoted and appeared in various outlets that include The New York Times, CNN.com, Variety, Deadline, Los Angeles Times, FOX 5, Bloomberg Television, AOL, Huffington Post, Bloomberg Radio, The Wrap, Slash Film, and the Hollywood Reporter.

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