The National Board of Review kicked things off on Tuesday with their naming of “Manchester by the Sea” as Best Film of 2016. On Thursday, the east coast critics known as the New York Film Critics Circle will weigh in on their thoughts for the year.
A little bit of history on NYFCC: Last year was the first time since 2006 that their Best Picture winner did not go on to an Oscar nomination. While “Carol” seemed a sure-thing by many for an Oscar nomination, there were hints trickled throughout the season of an eventual omission from AMPAS’ ballots. In 2006, NYFCC chose the highly emotionally charged “United 93” from Paul Greengrass. While the film missed out on an Oscar nod, it can easily be argued that in a year of a “sliding scale” or “straight 10,” Greengrass’ film would have easily shown up, considering his own lone director citation.
New York has always had its own personality and interpretation of a given film year. There are many pictures that seem to fit within their own themes and values. They tend to love culturally charged films about oppression. Look at past winners like “Far from Heaven,” “Brokeback Mountain” and “Milk” for examples. They can also tend to show an early indicator of a precursor sweeper. Look at winners like “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King,” “Zero Dark Thirty” and “The Artist” for examples there.
Whatever the case may be, you can’t always tell in what direction they may go.
Let’s try to decipher those possible choices. Click through the gallery to see the final NYFCC predictions: