Since Oscar nominations, everyone is trying to get their heads around what each nomination means and which films are building momentum after the Critics Choice Movie Awards and Golden Globe Awards. On January 27, the Screen Actors Guild Awards will weigh in on their choices for the best of 2012 and then four weeks will go by until the Oscar ceremony. The only thing in between that time will the BAFTA on February 10 with Oscar ballots due nine days later.
The leading nomination tally for Steven Spielberg’s Lincoln and Ang Lee’s Life of Pi puts them in a prime position to battle it out for the rest of the season however, Ben Affleck’s Argo, a film without a Best Director nomination attached, has done exceedingly well in the televised award shows. Could Argo become the first film since Driving Miss Daisy to win the top award without a directing nomination? Argo has won the Critics Choice and the Golden Globe Awards which many are calling the kiss of death since only two films in the last ten years have gone on to win the Oscar.
The Weinstein Company will be putting a lot of money behind David O. Russell’s Silver Linings Playbook where all four actors are nominated along with Adapted Screenplay, Director, and Film Editing. In the most recent podcast, I stated that Russell’s film is beginning to feel reminiscent of James L. Brooks’ Terms of Endearment in awards focus and aura. Granted Brooks’ film was a heavy drama with more unlikely key nominations like Sound and Art Direction.
The natural comparison to the season is 1999 when Saving Private Ryan went up against Shakespeare in Love, the big drama against the big dramedy. I wonder if because the race is so tight on all ends, if we are in store for a Picture-Director split? Could Ang Lee or Steven Spielberg win their directing categories with something like Argo and Silver Linings Playbook taking it in the end? You never know when it comes to a race as unpredictable as this has been. Perhaps the Writers and Producers Guild can offer some insight when they announce their winners soon enough.
Check out all the major Oscar Predictions (PICTURE, DIRECTOR, LEAD ACTOR, LEAD ACTRESS, SUPPORTING ACTOR, SUPPORTING ACTRESS, ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY, ADAPTED SCREENPLAY, ANIMATED FEATURE) and the race could be as of today. All the technical categories will be updated before the end of the week.
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