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Screen Actors Guild Awards Preview

Could ‘Silver Linings Playbook’ intercept from ‘Lincoln’ from the actors…?

sag-award__111123122348-200x147The Screen Actors Guild will unveil their winners this Sunday night simultaneously on TBS and TNT.  As a very good indicator for what can happen at the Oscars, all eyes will be on the actors to see what and who they crown.  As a group, the SAG mania can be overtly misleading.  In 2003, the Best Actor race was down to then three-time nominee Sean Penn for Mystic River and first-time nominee Bill Murray for Lost in Translation.  Both gentlemen had won their Golden Globe categories respectively before being trumped over at the Screen Actors Guild Awards by pop culture tornado of Johnny Depp who had just received his first Oscar and SAG nominations for Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl.  If anything Depp winning just proved that Murray would surely lose because any votes going to a comedy performance will be split between the two.  Penn emerged victorious on Oscar night.

Last year, Oscar-winner George Clooney had started building momentum and seemed nearly assured to win his second Oscar for Alexander Payne’s The Descendants.  Clooney had won the Critics Choice and Golden Globe awards but on the night of the SAG awards, he lost to Jean Dujardin in the eventual Best Picture winner, The Artist.  Those last three weeks of the season catapulted Dujardin to the forefront and the little-known French actor beat out megastars Clooney and Brad Pitt.  I can’t help but think Daniel Day-Lewis could suffer the same fate on Sunday.

HughJackman_LesMiserables_ActorDay-Lewis has won two SAG awards thus far for There Will Be Blood (2007) and Gangs of New York (2002) and while Lincoln is making a strong case for itself to be a big winner on the night, there is a huge amount of popularity surrounding Hugh Jackman among fellow actors.  His performance in Les Miserables is the actor’s finest work and it may be one of those times that voters may feel this is the only opportunity to reward him.  You can make the same case for Bradley Cooper, who delivers the best performance in the group in my humble opinion, and who knows if Cooper can deliver the goods like this again.  I’d keep an eye on both of those good-looking movie stars to stop DDL in his tracks.

Of the Female Actor categories, Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence will be making a pull for them to jump ahead in their race.  Zero Dark Thirty has a lot of vocal protesters declaring that the film will not receive any votes and encourages fellow voters to do the same.  I was speaking with Staff Writer Michael Ward yesterday and both seem to think in a year of five, Zero Dark Thirty may not have made the cut.  The film, as previously stated in past Oscar Circuits, is too controversial though an amazing work of cinema.  David O. Russell’s Silver Linings Playbook is on a whole other level right now.  The film managed eight Academy Award nominations, is being pushed by the Weinstein Company, and is building serious momentum at the right time.  Though the film is problematic in spots, most critics and audiences cite the fantastic performances of its wonderful ensemble of talented actors.  Lawrence can become either the sole representation for the film or get the ball rolling for a potential sweep.

In the Supporting categories, Anne Hathaway, who I believe is being a tad overexposed at the moment, should be able to pull in her win for Les Miserables with no problem.  If Hathaway were to lose, which is possible, two-time Oscar-winner Sally Field has only won a SAG award once for her role on ABC’s “Brothers and Sisters” in 2009, and some may want to throw one to her at this stage in her career.  On the Male Actor side, any of the five supporting men can reign supreme.  The fact that Javier Bardem is there is beyond my comprehension but his inclusion is telling and they obviously liked him/like Skyfall.  Alan Arkin won a SAG award along with his cast members of Little Miss Sunshine but didn’t win his individual category.  If Argo is going for an unprecedented upset at the Oscars, an Arkin win along with Cast Ensemble would place it firmly in position to do so.

Not realizing, this is the first time Robert DeNiro has received an individual SAG nomination in his illustrious career.  His only other citation was part of the cast of Marvin’s Room (1996).  If they feel this is their opportunity to reward his terrific career and his welcome back, DeNiro may find himself winning over presumed frontrunner Tommy Lee Jones and SAG favorite Philip Seymour Hoffman.

The predictions for the categories are down below and don’t be afraid to include your own in the comment section.  Also, don’t forget to join us for our LIVE blog on Sunday night beginning at 7:30 pm Eastern Time.

silver_linings_playbookBest Performance by a Cast Ensemble

  • Argo
  • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
  • Les Miserables
  • Lincoln
  • Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction: Silver Linings Playbook
Alternate: Lincoln
Surprise: Argo

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
  • John Hawkes – The Sessions
  • Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
  • Denzel Washington – Flight

Prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
Alternate: Hugh Jackman for Les Miserables
Surprise: Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook

zero_dark_thirty_ver3.jpgBest Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
  • Marion Cotillard – Rust & Bone
  • Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
  • Naomi Watts – The Impossible

Prediction: Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty
Alternate: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
Surprise: Naomi Watts for The Impossible

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin – Argo
  • Javier Bardem – Skyfall
  • Robert DeNiro – Silver Linings Playbook
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
  • Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln

Prediction: Robert DeNiro for Silver Linings Playbook
Alternate: Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln
Surprise: Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master

Best Performance by a Female Actor in Supporting Role

  • Sally Field – Lincoln
  • Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
  • Helen Hunt – The Sessions
  • Nicole Kidman – The Paperboy
  • Maggie Smith – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Prediction: Anne Hathaway for Les Miserables
Alternate: Sally Field for Lincoln
Surprise: Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy

Television Categories

GalleryOutstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

  • Boardwalk Empire
  • Breaking Bad
  • Downton Abbey
  • Homeland
  • Mad Men

Prediction: Homeland
Alternate: Downton Abbey
Surprise: Breaking Bad

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

  • 30 Rock
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Glee
  • Modern Family
  • Nurse Jackie
  • The Office

Prediction: Modern Family
Alternate: 30 Rock
Surprise: The Office

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

  • Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
  • Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
  • Jeff Daniels – The Newsroom
  • Jon Hamm – Mad Men
  • Damien Lewis – Homeland

Prediction: Damien Lewis for Homeland
Alternate: Bryan Cranston for Breaking Bad
Surprise: Jon Hamm for Mad Men

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

  • Claire Danes – Homeland
  • Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey
  • Jessica Lange – American Horror Story: Asylum
  • Julianna Marguilles – The Good Wife
  • Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey

Prediction: Claire Danes for Homeland
Alternate: Maggie Smith for Downton Abbey
Surprise: Jessica Lange for American Horror Story: Asylum

LOUIE: Louis C.K. stars in LOUIE on FX.Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
  • Ty Burrell – Modern Family
  • Louie C.K. – Louie
  • Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory
  • Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family

Prediction: Louie C.K. for Louie
Alternate: Alec Baldwin for 30 Rock
Surprise: Ty Burrell for Modern Family

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
  • Tina Fey – 30 Rock
  • Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation
  • Sofia Vergara – Modern Family
  • Betty White – Hot in Cleveland

Prediction: Amy Poehler for Parks and Recreation
Alternate: Tina Fey for 30 Rock
Surprise: Sofia Vergara for Modern Family

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Mini-Series

  • Kevin Costner – Hatfields & McCoys
  • Woody Harrelson – Game Change
  • Ed Harris – Game Change
  • Clive Owen – Hemingway & Gelhorn
  • Bill Paxton – Hatfields & McCoys

Prediction: Kevin Costner for Hatfields & McCoys
Alternate: Ed Harris for Game Change
Surprise: Woody Harrelson for Game Change

gamechangeOutstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Mini-Series

  • Nicole Kidman – Hemingway & Gelhorn
  • Julianne Moore – Game Change
  • Charlotte Rampling – Restless
  • Sigourney Weaver – Political Animals
  • Alfre Woodard – Steel Magnolias

Prediction: Julianne Moore for Game Change
Alternate: Nicole Kidman for Hemingway & Gelhorn
Surprise: Sigourney Weaver for Political Animals

Comment and discuss your predictions!

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Written by Clayton Davis

Clayton Davis is the esteemed Editor and Owner of AwardsCircuit.com. Born in Bronx, NY to a Puerto Rican mother and Black father, he’s been criticizing film and television for over a decade. Clayton is a member of the Broadcast Film Critics Association where he votes and attends the kick off to the awards season, the Critics Choice Awards. He also founded the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association, the first Latino-based critics’ organization in the United States. He’s also an active member of the African-American Film Critics Association, New York Film Critics Online, International Press Academy, Black Reel Awards, and the Broadcast Television Journalists Association. Clayton has been quoted and appeared in various outlets that include The New York Times, CNN.com, Variety, Deadline, Los Angeles Times, FOX 5, Bloomberg Television, AOL, Huffington Post, Bloomberg Radio, The Wrap, Slash Film, and the Hollywood Reporter.

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Jamie

Cooper over Jackman? You have to be kidding. Cooper looked like himself from one end of the movie to the other. He had almost no emotional arc (angry man almost gets to not angry maybe). At no time did he have to do anything more difficult than run. SLP is a pleasant movie, but certainly not one for the ages.

Just give the SAG to Jackman who actually had to perform a massive emotional and physical range even better than DDL.

Joey Magidson

Here’s my take: Best Performance by a Cast Ensemble Prediction: Silver Linings Playbook Alternate: Argo Surprise: Lincoln Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role Prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln Alternate: Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook Surprise: Hugh Jackman for Les Miserables Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role Prediction: Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty Alternate: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook Surprise: Naomi Watts for The Impossible Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role Prediction: Robert DeNiro for Silver Linings Playbook Alternate: Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln Surprise: Philip… Read more »

Jack

CAST ENSEMBLE:
Prediction: Silver Linings Playbook
Alternate: Lincoln
Surprise: Argo

ACTOR:
Prediction: Daniel Day Lewis
Alternate/Surprise: Hugh Jackman

ACTRESS:
Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence
Alternate: Jessica Chastain
Surprise: Naomi Watts

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Prediction: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Alternate: Robert DeNiro
Surprise: Alan Arkin

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Prediction: Anne Hathaway
Alternate/Surprise: Sally Field

Greg

I think Jennifer Lawrence will take it over Jessica Chastain

Jamie

Best Performance by a Cast Ensemble –

Prediction – Lincoln
Alternate – Argo

Best Performance by a Male Actor

Prediction – Jackman
Alternate – Daniel Day-Lewis

Best Performance by a Female Actor

Prediction – Jessica Chastain
Alternate – Naomi Watts

Best Performance by Male Supporting Actor

Prediction – Philip Seymour Hoffman
Alternate – Tommy Lee Jones

Best Performance by Female Supporting Actor

Prediction – Anne Hathaway
Alternate – Sally Field

AJ

I want Jessica Chastain to win so bad because I hate the fact that people don’t know her name, but I feel that in five years when someone wants to look at the culture of 2012 and to see what was the movie we liked, only SLP and Argo could do this amazing year for movies justice and I can’t see Argo winning Best Picture with the two other Oscars (Screenplay,BSA) and I feel that Alan Arkin is the only person who can’t win Best Supporting Actor.

Caddie

Oddly enough, although I wouldn’t choose Les Miserables as Best Picture, I think I might choose it as Best Ensemble. I’m considering a high degree of difficulty (for all cast members), and a large enough cast of whom a significant number surmount the difficulty really well (Jackman, Hathaway, Redmayne, Barks), and a remaining bunch are also good (Tveit, Seyfried, Bonham Carter, Cohen). (Although I personally liked Russell Crowe, I know no-one else did). The other casts are good, of course, but the degree of difficulty is not as high. And the producers of Lincoln shot themselves in the foot by… Read more »

javi

Going off the SAG topic and into Oscar. I’m starting to get the feeling that Silver Linings Playbook will win Best pic at the Oscars along with David O’Russel. With 4 nominees going for their third statue on Oscar night; I just don’t see that happening. You have Spielberg going for his third (in directing), DDL, Sally Field and Robert DeNiro…I just don’t see it happening…None of them are Meryl Streep. They’re not as consistently good. DDL is always good but he makes movies once every blue moon. I think they’re going to spread the wins around. Best Picture: Silver… Read more »

Mark Johnson

I agree with just about all you have other than these: Actress: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook and Actress Comedy TV: Sofia Vergara – Modern Family.

Divya

Male Leading Actor: Whoever wins this one will end up winning the Oscar. Period. Why? This is a pattern that has been repeating itself for the last eight years – starting from Jamie Foxx to (most recently) Jean Dujardin, who went on to win the Oscar after winning SAG. If DDL wins this one on Sunday, it’s game, set and match. And the needless Cooper v/s Jackman debate can finally come to a rest. I mean, in order to favour one particular actor, is it really that necessary to pull down everybody else who is in contention? What’s wrong if… Read more »

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